Italy
Electricity Supply Configurations for Green Hydrogen Hubs: A European Case Study on Decarbonizing Urban Transport
Aug 2024
Publication
In this study a techno-economic analysis tool for conducting detailed feasibility studies on the deployment of green hydrogen hubs for fuel cell bus fleets is developed. The study evaluates and compares five green hydrogen hub configurations’ operational and economic performance under a typical metropolitan bus fleet refuelling schedule. Each configuration differs based on its electricity sourcing characteristics such as the mix of energy sources capacity sizing financial structure and grid interaction. A detailed comparative analysis of distinct green hydrogen hub configurations for decarbonising a fleet of fuel-cell buses is conducted. Among the key findings is that a hybrid renewable electricity source and hydrogen storage are essential for cost-optimal operation across all configurations. Furthermore bi-directional grid-interactive configurations are the most costefficient and can benefit the electricity grid by flattening the duck curve. Lastly the paper highlights the potential for cost reduction when the fleet refuelling schedule is co-optimized with the green hydrogen hub electricity supply configuration.
Industrial Decarbonization through Blended Combustion of Natural Gas and Hydrogen
Aug 2024
Publication
The transition to cleaner energy sources particularly in hard-to-abate industrial sectors often requires the gradual integration of new technologies. Hydrogen crucial for decarbonization is explored as a fuel in blended combustions. Blending or replacing fuels impacts combustion stability and heat transfer rates due to differing densities. An extensive literature review examines blended combustion focusing on hydrogen/methane mixtures. While industrial burners claim to accommodate up to 20% hydrogen theoretical support is lacking. A novel thermodynamic analysis methodology is introduced evaluating methane/hydrogen combustion using the Wobbe index. The findings highlight practical limitations beyond 25% hydrogen volume necessitating a shift to “totally hydrogen” combustion. Blended combustion can be proposed as a medium-term strategy acknowledging hydrogen’s limited penetration. Higher percentages require burner and infrastructure redesign.
Hydrogen in Natural Gas Grids: Prospects and Recommendations About Gas Flow Meters
Aug 2024
Publication
To inject green hydrogen (H2) into the existing natural gas (NG) infrastructure is one way to decarbonize the European energy system. However asset readiness is necessary to be successful. Preliminary analysis and experimental results about the compatibility of hydrogen and natural gas mixtures (H2NG) with the actual gas grids make the scientific community confident about the feasibility. Nevertheless specific technical questions need more research. A significant topic of debate is the impact of H2NG mixtures on the performance of state-ofthe-art fiscal measuring devices which are essential for accurate billing. Identifying and addressing any potential degradation in their metrological performance due to H2NG is critical for decision-making. However the literature lacks data about the gas meters’ technologies currently installed in the NG grids such as a comprehensive overview of their readiness at different concentrations while data are fragmented among different sources. This paper addresses these gaps by analyzing the main characteristics and categorizing more than 20000 gas meters installed in THOTH2 project partners’ grids and by summarizing the performance of traditional technologies with H2NG mixtures and pure H2 based on literature review operators experience and manufacturers knowledge. Based on these insights recommendations are given to stakeholders on overcoming the identified barriers to facilitate a smooth transition.
Energy Hub Model for the Massive Adoption of Hydrogen in Power Systems
Sep 2024
Publication
A promising energy carrier and storage solution for integrating renewable energies into the power grid currently being investigated is hydrogen produced via electrolysis. It already serves various purposes but it might also enable the development of hydrogen-based electricity storage systems made up of electrolyzers hydrogen storage systems and generators (fuel cells or engines). The adoption of hydrogen-based technologies is strictly linked to the electrification of end uses and to multicarrier energy grids. This study introduces a generic method to integrate and optimize the sizing and operation phases of hydrogen-based power systems using an energy hub optimization model which can manage and coordinate multiple energy carriers and equipment. Furthermore the uncertainty related to renewables and final demands was carefully assessed. A case study on an urban microgrid with high hydrogen demand for mobility demonstrates the method’s applicability showing how the multi-objective optimization of hydrogen-based power systems can reduce total costs primary energy demand and carbon equivalent emissions for both power grids and mobility down to −145%. Furthermore the adoption of the uncertainty assessment can give additional benefits allowing a downsizing of the equipment.
Towards the Design of a Hydrogen-powered Ferry for Cleaner Passenger Transport
Aug 2024
Publication
The maritime transportation sector is a large and growing contributor of greenhouse gas and other emissions. Therefore stringent measures have been taken by the International Maritime Organization to mitigate the environmental impact of the international shipping. These lead to the adoption of new technical solutions involving clean fuels such as hydrogen and high efficiency propulsion technologies that is fuel cells. In this framework this paper proposes a methodological approach aimed at supporting the retrofit design process of a car-passenger ferry operating in the Greece’s western maritime zone whose conventional powertrain is replaced with a fuel cell hybrid system. To this aim first the energy/power requirements and the expected hydrogen consumption of the vessel are determined basing on a typical operational profile retrieved from data provided by the shipping company. Three hybrid powertrain configurations are then proposed where fuel cell and batteries are balanced out according to different design criteria. Hence a new vessel layout is defined for each of the considered options by taking into account on-board weight and space constraints to allocate the components of the new hydrogen-based propulsion systems. Finally the developed vessel configurations are simulated in a virtual towing tank environment in order to assess their hydrodynamic response and compare them with the original one thus providing crucial insights for the design process of new hydrogen-fueled vessel solutions. Findings from this study reveal that the hydrogen-based configurations of the vessel are all characterized by a slight reduction of the payload mainly due to the space required to allocate the hydrogen storage system; instead the hydrodynamic behavior of the H2 powered vessels is found to be similar to the one of the original Diesel configuration; also from a hydrodynamic point of view the results show that mid load operating conditions get relevance for the design process of the hybrid vessels.
A Comprehensive Literature Review on Hydrogen Tanks: Storage, Safety, and Structural Integrity
Oct 2024
Publication
In recent years there has been a significant increase in research on hydrogen due to the urgent need to move away from carbon-intensive energy sources. This transition highlights the critical role of hydrogen storage technology where hydrogen tanks are crucial for achieving cleaner energy solutions. This paper aims to provide a general overview of hydrogen treatment from a mechanical viewpoint and to create a comprehensive review that integrates the concepts of hydrogen safety and storage. This study explores the potential of hydrogen applications as a clean energy alternative and their role in various sectors including industry automotive aerospace and marine fields. The review also discusses design technologies safety measures material improvements social impacts and the regulatory landscape of hydrogen storage tanks and safety technology. This work provides a historical literature review up to 2014 and a systematic literature review from 2014 to the present to fill the gap between hydrogen storage and safety. In particular a fundamental feature of this work is leveraging systematic procedural techniques for performing an unbiased review study to offer a detailed analysis of contemporary advancements. This innovative approach differs significantly from conventional review methods since it involves a replicable scientific and transparent process which culminates in minimizing bias and allows for highlighting the fundamental issues about the topics of interest and the main conclusions of the experts in the field of reference. The systematic approach employed in the paper was used to analyze 55 scientific articles resulting in the identification of six primary categories. The key findings of this review work underline the need for improved materials enhanced safety protocols and robust infrastructure to support hydrogen adoption. More importantly one of the fundamental results of the present review analysis is pinpointing the central role that composite materials will play during the transition toward hydrogen applications based on thin-walled industrial vessels. Future research directions are also proposed in the paper thereby emphasizing the importance of interdisciplinary collaboration to overcome existing challenges and facilitate the safe and efficient use of hydrogen.
Towards Sustainable Hydrogen Production: An Integrated Approach for Sustainability, Complexity, and Systems Thinking in the Energy Sector
Mar 2024
Publication
The energy sector constitutes a dynamic and complex system indicating that its actions are influenced not just by its individual components but also by the emergent behavior resulting from interactions among them. Moreover there are crucial limitations of previous approaches for addressing the sustainability challenge of the energy sector. Changing transforming and integrating paradigms are the most relevant leverage points for transforming a given system. In other words nowadays the integration of new predominant paradigms in order to provide a unified framework could aim at this actual transformation looking for a sustainable future. This research aims to develop a new unified framework for the integration of the following three paradigms: (1) Sustainability (2) Complexity and (3) Systems Thinking which will be applied to achieving sustainable energy production (using hydrogen production as a case study). The novelty of this work relies on providing a holistic perspective through the integration of the aforementioned paradigms considering the multiple and complex interdependencies among the economy the environment and the economy. For this purpose an integrated seven-stage approach is introduced which explores from the starting point of the integration of paradigms to the application of this integration to sustainable energy production. After applying the Three-Paradigm approach for sustainable hydrogen production as a case study 216 feedback loops are identified due to the emerged complexity linked to the analyzed system. Additionally three system dynamics-based models are developed (by increasing the level of complexity) as part of the application of the Three-Paradigm approach. This research can be of interest to a broad professional audience (e.g. engineers policymakers) as looks into the sustainability of the energy sector from a holistic perspective considering a newly developed Three-Paradigm model considering complexity and using a Systems Thinking approach.
Exploiting the Ocean Thermal Energy Conversion (OTEC) Technology for Green Hydrogen Production and Storage: Exergo-economic Analysis
Nov 2024
Publication
This study presents and analyses three plant configurations of the Ocean Thermal Energy Conversion (OTEC) technology. All the solutions are based on using the OTEC system to obtain hydrogen through an electrolyzer. The hydrogen is then compressed and stored. In the first and second layouts a Rankine cycle with ammonia and a mixture of water and ethanol is utilised respectively; in the third layout a Kalina cycle is considered. In each configuration the OTEC cycle is coupled with a polymer electrolyte membrane (PEM) electrolyzer and the compression and storage system. The water entering the electrolyzer is pre-heated to 80 ◦C by a solar collector. Energy exergy and exergo-economic studies were conducted to evaluate the cost of producing compressing and storing hydrogen. A parametric analysis examining the main design constraints was performed based on the temperature range of the condenser the mass flow ratio of hot and cold resource flows and the mass fraction. The maximum value of the overall exergy efficiency calculated is equal to 93.5% for the Kalina cycle and 0.524 €/kWh is the minimum cost of hydrogen production achieved. The results were compared with typical data from other hydrogen production systems.
Functional Resonance Analysis for Emerging Risks in Hydrogen Handling: An Analysis of an Experimental Test
Oct 2024
Publication
Hydrogen is on the rise as a substitute for fossil fuel in the energy sector. While this substitution does not happen dramatically the steady increase in hydrogen related research might be a good indicator of such desire. As it stands there are issues regarding its safe handling and use; consequently the health and safety subsectors observe the situation conspicuously. As we yet to know the behavior of hydrogen in critical situations uncertainties make these tasks prone to emerging risks. Thus hydrogen safety falls under emerging risk studies. Conventional perspective on safety especially regarding the flammable material focuses on calculating the hypothetical risks of failures in system. Resilience Engineering has another perspective as it focuses on normal operations offering new perspectives to tackle emerging risks from a new angle. Born from the heart of Resilience Engineering the Functional Resonance Analysis Method (FRAM) captures sociotechnical systems’ essence in a tangible way. In this study FRAM has been used to model a series of experiments done on hydrogen management to analyze its jet fire. FRAM is used to test whether the method could be suitable to model a system in which emerging risks are present. It is the conclusion of this study that FRAM seems promising in raising risk awareness especially when available data is limited.
Total Cost of Ownership Analysis for Hydrogen and Battery Powertrains: A Comparative Study in Finnish Heavy-duty Transport
Sep 2024
Publication
The road transport sector is one of the major contributors to greenhouse gas emissions as it still largely relies on traditional powertrain solutions. While some progress has been made in the passenger car sector with the diffusion of battery electric vehicles heavy-duty transport remains predominantly dependent on diesel internal combustion engines. This research aims to evaluate and compare three potential solutions for the decarbonisation of heavy-duty freight transport from an economic perspective: Battery Electric Trucks (BETs) Fuel Cell Electric Trucks (FCETs) and Hydrogen-fuelled Internal Combustion Engine Trucks (H2ICETs). The study focuses on the Finnish market and road network where affordable and low-carbon electricity creates an ideal environment for the development of alternative powertrain vehicles. The analysis employs the Total Cost of Ownership (TCO) method which allows for a comprehensive assessment of all cost components associated with the vehicles throughout their entire lifecycle encompassing both initial expenses and operational costs. Among the several factors affecting the results the impact of the three powertrain technologies on the admissible payloads has been taken into account. The study specifically focuses on the costs directly incurred by the truck owner. Additionally to evaluate the cost effectiveness of the proposed powertrain technologies under different scenarios a sensitivity analysis on electricity and hydrogen prices is conducted. The outcomes of this study reveal that no single powertrain solution emerges as universally optimal as the most cost-effective choice depends strongly on the truck type and its use (i.e. daily mileage). For relatively small trucks (18 t) covering short driving distances (approximately 100 to 200 km/day) BETs prove to be the best solution due to their higher efficiency and lower vehicle costs compared to FCETs. Conversely for larger trucks (42 and 76 t) engaged in longer hauls (>300 km/day) H2ICETs exhibit larger cost benefits due to their lower vehicle costs among the three options under investigation. Finally for small trucks (18 t) travelling long distances (200 km/day or more) FCETs represent a competitive choice due to their high efficiency and costeffective energy storage system. Considering future advancements in FCETs and BETs in terms of improved performance and reduced investment cost the fuel cell-based solution is expected to emerge as the best option across various combinations of truck sizes and daily mileages.
Net-zero Energy Management through Multi-criteria Optimizations of a Hybrid Solar-Hydrogen Energy Production System for an Outdoor Laboratory in Toronto
Apr 2024
Publication
Hydrogen production and storage in hybrid systems is a promising solution for sustainable energy transition decoupling the energy generation from its end use and boosting the deployment of renewable energy. Nonetheless the optimal and cost-effective design of hybrid hydrogen-based systems is crucial to tackle existing limitations in diffusion of these systems. The present study explores net-zero energy management via a multi-objective optimization algorithm for an outdoor test facility equipped with a hydrogen-based hybrid energy production system. Aimed at enabling efficient integration of hydrogen fuel cell system the proposed solution attempts to maximize the renewable factor (RF) and carbon mitigation in the hybrid system as well as to minimize the grid dependency and the life cycle cost (LCC) of the system. In this context the techno-enviroeconomic optimization of the hybrid system is conducted by employing a statistical approach to identify optimal design variables and conflictive objective functions. To examine interactions in components of the hybrid system a series of dynamic simulations are carried out by developing a TRNSYS code coupled with the OpenStudio/EnergyPlus plugin. The obtained results indicate a striking disparity in the monthly RF values as well as the hydrogen production rate and therefore in the level of grid dependency. It is shown that the difference in LCC between optimization scenarios suggested by design of experiments could reach $15780 corresponding to 57% of the mean initial cost. The LCOE value yielded for optimum scenarios varies between 0.389 and 0.537 $/kWh. The scenario with net-zero target demonstrates the lowest LCOE value and the highest carbon mitigation i.e. 828 kg CO2/yr with respect to the grid supply case. However the LCC in this scenario exceeds $57370 which is the highest among all optimum scenarios. Furthermore it was revealed that the lowest RF in optimal scenarios is equal to 66.2% and belongs to the most economical solution.
Life Cycle Assessment Comparison of Orchard Tractors Powered by Diesel and Hydrogen Fuel Cell
Sep 2024
Publication
To reduce the impact of the agricultural sector on the environment human health and resource depletion several steps should be taken to develop innovative powertrain systems. The agricultural sector must be involved in this innovation since diesel-powered tractors are an important source in terms of pollution. In this context fuel-cell systems have gained importance making them one of the possible substitutes due to their characteristics featuring almost zero local emissions low refueling time and high efficiency. However to effectively assess the sustainability of a fuel-cell tractor a cradle-to-grave life cycle assessment comprising production use phase and end of life must be performed. This article presents a comparative analysis according to different impact categories of the life cycle impacts of a traditional diesel-powered tractor and a fuel-cell hybrid tractor designed considering operative requirements and functional constraints. The study was conducted according to the LCA technique (defined by ISO 14040 and ISO 14044 standards) combining secondary data mainly derived from studies and reports available in the literature with the use of the Ecoinvent 3.0 database. The results are presented according to ten different impact categories defined by ReCiPe 2016 v 1.03 at the midpoint level. The findings obtained showed that the fuel-cell tractor allows for a relevant reduction in all the considered categories. The highest-impact reduction more than 92% was obtained in the human toxicity non-carcinogenic category while the lowest reduction around 4.55% was observed for the fossil fuel scarcity category mainly due to the adoption of gray hydrogen which is produced from fossil fuels. As for the climate change category the fuel-cell tractor showed a reduction of more than 34% in the life cycle impact. Finally the authors also considered the case of green hydrogen produced using solar energy. In this case further reductions in the impact on climate change and fossil fuel resource depletion were obtained. However for the other impact categories the results were worse compared to using gray hydrogen.
Computational Predictions of Hydrogen-assisted Fatigue Crack Growth
May 2024
Publication
A new model is presented to predict hydrogen-assisted fatigue. The model combines a phase field description of fracture and fatigue stress-assisted hydrogen diffusion and a toughness degradation formulation with cyclic and hydrogen contributions. Hydrogen-assisted fatigue crack growth predictions exhibit an excellent agreement with experiments over all the scenarios considered spanning multiple load ratios H2 pressures and loading frequencies. These are obtained without any calibration with hydrogen-assisted fatigue data taking as input only mechanical and hydrogen transport material properties the material’s fatigue characteristics (from a single test in air) and the sensitivity of fracture toughness to hydrogen content. Furthermore the model is used to determine: (i) what are suitable test loading frequencies to obtain conservative data and (ii) the underestimation made when not pre-charging samples. The model can handle both laboratory specimens and large-scale engineering components enabling the Virtual Testing paradigm in infrastructure exposed to hydrogen environments and cyclic loading.
Hydrogen in Burners: Economic and Environmental Implications
Nov 2024
Publication
For centuries fossil fuels have been the primary energy source but their unchecked use has led to significant environmental and economic challenges that now shape the global energy landscape. The combustion of these fuels releases greenhouse gases which are critical contributors to the acceleration of climate change resulting in severe consequences for both the environment and human health. Therefore this article examines the potential of hydrogen as a sustainable alternative energy source capable of mitigating these climate impacts. It explores the properties of hydrogen with particular emphasis on its application in industrial burners and furnaces underscoring its clean combustion and high energy density in comparison to fossil fuels and also examines hydrogen production through thermochemical and electrochemical methods covering green gray blue and turquoise pathways. It discusses storage and transportation challenges highlighting methods like compression liquefaction chemical carriers (e.g. ammonia) and transport via pipelines and vehicles. Hydrogen combustion mechanisms and optimized burner and furnace designs are explored along with the environmental benefits of lower emissions contrasted with economic concerns like production and infrastructure costs. Additionally industrial and energy applications safety concerns and the challenges of large-scale adoption are addressed presenting hydrogen as a promising yet complex alternative to fossil fuels.
Review of the Hydrogen Supply Chain and Use in Africa
Oct 2024
Publication
The high potential in renewable energy sources (RES) and the availability of strategic minerals for green hydrogen technologies place Africa in a promising position for the development of a climate-compatible economy leveraging on hydrogen. This study reviews the potential hydrogen value chain in Africa considering production and final uses while addressing perspectives on policies possible infrastructures and facilities for hydrogen logistics. Through scientific studies research and searching in relevant repositories this review features the collection analysis of technical data and georeferenced information about key aspects of the hydrogen value chain. Detailed maps and technical data for gas transport infrastructure and liquefaction terminals in the continent are reported to inform and elaborate findings about readiness for hydrogen trading and domestic use in Africa. Specific maps and technical data have been also collected for the identification of potential hydrogen offtakers focusing on individual industrial installations to produce iron and steel chemicals and oil refineries. Finally georeferenced data are presented for main road and railway corridors as well as for most important African ports as further end-use and logistic platforms. Beyond technical information this study collects and discusses more recent perspectives about policies and implementation initiatives specifically addressing hydrogen production logistics and final use also introducing potential criticalities associated with environmental and social impacts.
0-D Dynamic Performance Simulation of Hydrogen-Fueled Turboshaft Engine
Oct 2024
Publication
In the last few decades the problem of pollution resulting from human activities has pushed research toward zero or net-zero carbon solutions for transportation. The main objective of this paper is to perform a preliminary performance assessment of the use of hydrogen in conventional turbine engines for aeronautical applications. A 0-D dynamic model of the Allison 250 C-18 turboshaft engine was designed and validated using conventional aviation fuel (kerosene Jet A-1). A dedicated experimental campaign covering the whole engine operating range was conducted to obtain the thermodynamic data for the main engine components: the compressor lateral ducts combustion chamber high- and low-pressure turbines and exhaust nozzle. A theoretical chemical combustion model based on the NASA-CEA database was used to account for the energy conversion process in the combustor and to obtain quantitative feedback from the model in terms of fuel consumption. Once the engine and the turbomachinery of the engine were characterized the work focused on designing a 0-D dynamic engine model based on the engine’s characteristics and the experimental data using the MATLAB/Simulink environment which is capable of replicating the real engine behavior. Then the 0-D dynamic model was validated by the acquired data and used to predict the engine’s performance with a different throttle profile (close to realistic request profiles during flight). Finally the 0-D dynamic engine model was used to predict the performance of the engine using hydrogen as the input of the theoretical combustion model. The outputs of simulations running conventional kerosene Jet A-1 and hydrogen using different throttle profiles were compared showing up to a 64% reduction in fuel mass flow rate and a 3% increase in thermal efficiency using hydrogen in flight-like conditions. The results confirm the potential of hydrogen as a suitable alternative fuel for small turbine engines and aircraft.
Thermodynamic Modelling, Testing and Sensitive Analysis of a Directly Pressurized Hydrogen Refuelling Process with a Compressor
Mar 2024
Publication
This paper presents the development of a thermodynamic model for the hydrogen refuelling station (HRS) to simulate the process of refuelling which involves the transfer of hydrogen gas from a high-pressure storage tank to the onboard tank of a fuel cell electric vehicle (FCEV). This model encompasses the fundamental elements of an HRS which consists of a storage tank compressor piping system heat exchanger and an on-board vehicle tank. The model is implemented and validated using experimental data from SAE J2601. Various simulations are conducted to assess the impact of the Joule-Thomson effect and compression on the temperature of hydrogen flow specifically focusing on an average pressure rate of 18 MPa/min. Furthermore a comprehensive analysis is conducted to examine the impact of pressure variations in the storage tank (10–90 MPa) and the initial pressure within the vehicle tank (5–35 MPa) as well as variations in ambient temperature (0–40 °C). The study revealed that the energy consumption in the cooling system surpasses the average power consumption in the more advantageous scenario of 60 MPa by a range of 36% to over 220% when the pressure in the storage system drops below 30 MPa. Furthermore it was noted that the impact of ambient temperature is comparatively less significant when compared to the initial pressure of the vehicle's tank. The impact of an ambient temperature change of 10 °C on the final temperature of a hydrogen vehicle is found to be approximately 2 °C. Similarly a variation in the initial vehicle pressure of 10 MPa results in a modification of the final hydrogen vehicle temperature by approximately 8.5 °C.
Techno-economic Feasibility of Integrating Hybrid-battery Hydrogen Energy Storage in Academic Buildings
Apr 2024
Publication
Green hydrogen production and storage are vital in mitigating carbon emissions and sustainable transition. However the high investment cost and management requirements are the bottleneck of utilizing hybrid hydrogen-based systems in microgrids. Given the necessity of cost-effective and optimal design of these systems the present study examines techno-economic feasibility of integrating hybrid hydrogen-based systems into an outdoor test facility. With this perspective several solar-driven hybrid scenarios are introduced at two energy storage levels namely the battery and hydrogen energy storage systems including the high-pressure gaseous hydrogen and metal hydride storage tanks. Dynamic simulations are carried out to address subtle interactions in components of the hybrid system by establishing a TRNSYS model coupled to a Fortran code simulating the metal hydride storage system. The OpenStudio-EnergyPlus plugin is used to simulate the building load validate against experimental data according to the measured data and monitored operating conditions. Aimed at enabling efficient integration of energy storage systems a techno-enviro-economic optimization algorithm is developed to simultaneously minimize the levelized cost of the electricity and maximize the CO2 mitigation in each proposed hybrid scenario. The results indicate that integrating the gaseous hydrogen and metal hydride storages into the photovoltaic-alone scenario enhances 22.6% and 14.4% of the annual renewable factor. Accordingly the inclusion of battery system to these hybrid scenarios gives a 30.4% and 20.3 % boost to the renewable factor value respectively. Although the inclusion of battery energy storage into the hybrid systems increases the renewable factor the results imply that it reduces the hydrogen production rate via electrolysis. The optimized values of the levelized cost of electricity and CO2 emission for different scenarios vary in the range of 0.376–0.789 $/kWh and 6.57–9.75 ton respectively. The multi-criteria optimizations improve the levelized cost of electricity and CO2 emission by up to 46.2% and 11.3% with respect to their preliminary design.
Optimal Decarbonisation Pathways for the Italian Energy System: Modelling a Long-term Energy Transition to Achieve Zero Emission by 2050
May 2024
Publication
The goal of achieving a zero-emission energy system by 2050 requires accurate energy planning to minimise the overall cost of the energy transition. Long-term energy models based on cost-optimal solutions are extremely dependent on the cost forecasts of different technologies. However such forecasts are inherently uncertain. The aim of the present work is to identify a cost-optimal pathway for the Italian energy system decarbonisation and assess how renewable cost scenarios can affect the optimal solution. The analysis has been carried out with the H2RES model a single-objective optimisation algorithm based on Linear Programming. Different cost scenarios for photovoltaics on-shore and off-shore wind power and lithium-ion batteries are simulated. Results indicate that a 100% renewable energy system in Italy is technically feasible. Power-to-X technologies are crucial for balancing purposes enabling a share of non-dispatchable generation higher than 90%. Renewable cost scenarios affect the energy mix however both on-shore and off-shore wind saturate the maximum capacity potential in almost all scenarios. Cost forecasts for lithium-ion batteries have a significant impact on their optimal capacity and the role of hydrogen. Indeed as battery costs rise fuel cells emerge as the main solution for balancing services. This study emphasises the importance of conducting cost sensitivity analyses in long-term energy planning. Such analyses can help to determine how changes in cost forecasts may affect the optimal strategies for decarbonising national energy systems.
Assessing the Carbon Intensity of e-fuels Production in European Countries: A Temporal Analysis
Nov 2024
Publication
The transport sector heavily relies on the use of fossil fuels which are causing major environmental concerns. Solutions relying on the direct or indirect use of electricity through efuel production are emerging to power the transport sector. To ensure environmental benefits are achieved over this transition an accurate estimation of the impact of the use of electricity is needed. This requires a high temporal resolution to capture the high variability of electricity. This paper presents a previously unseen temporal analysis of the carbon intensity of e-fuels using grid electricity in countries that are members of the European Network of Transmission System Operators (ENTSO-E). It also provides an estimation of the potential load factor for producing low-carbon e-fuels according to the European Union legislative framework. This was achieved by building on top of the existing EcoDynElec tool to develop EcoDynElec_xr a python tool enabling—with an hourly time resolution—the calculation visualisation and analysis of the historical time-series of electricity mixing from the ENTSO-E. The results highlight that in 2023 very few European countries were reaching low carbon intensity for electricity that enables the use of grid electricity for the production of green electrolytic hydrogen. The methodological assumptions consider the consumption of the electricity mix instead of the production mix and the considered time step is of paramount importance and drastically impacts the potential load factor of green hydrogen production. The developed tools are released under an open-source license to ensure transparency result reproducibility and reuse regarding newer data for other territories or for other purposes.
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