Applications & Pathways
Analysis of Hydrogen Value Chain Events: Implications for Hydrogen Refueling Stations’ Safety
Apr 2024
Publication
Renewable hydrogen is emerging as the key to a sustainable energy transition with multiple applications and uses. In the field of transport in addition to fuel cell vehicles it is necessary to develop an extensive network of hydrogen refueling stations (hereafter HRSs). The characteristics and properties of hydrogen make ensuring the safe operation of these facilities a crucial element for their successful deployment and implementation. This paper shows the outcomes of an analysis of hydrogen incidents and accidents considering their potential application to HRSs. For this purpose the HIAD 2.0 was reviewed and a total of 224 events that could be repeated in any of the major industrial processes related to hydrogen refueling stations were analyzed. This analysis was carried out using a mixed methodology of quantitative and qualitative techniques considering the following hydrogen value chain: production storage delivery and industrial use. The results provide general information segmented by event frequency damage classes and failure typology. The analysis shows the main processes of the value chain allow the identification of key aspects for the safety management of refueling facilities.
Machine Learning Models for the Prediction of Turbulent Combustion Speed for Hydrogen-natural Gas Spark Ignition Engines
May 2024
Publication
The work carried out in this paper focused on “Machine learning models for the prediction of turbulent combustion speed for hydrogen-natural gas spark ignition engines”. The aim of this work is to develop and verify the ability of machine learning models to solve the problem of estimating the turbulent flame speed for a spark-ignition internal combustion engine operating with a hydrogen-natural gas mixture then evaluate the relevance of these models in relation to the usual approaches. The novelty of this work is the possibility of a direct calculation of turbulent combustion speed with a good precision using only machine learning model. The obtained models are also compared to each other by considering in turn as a comparison criterion: the precision of the result calculation time and the ability to assimilate original data (which has not undergone preprocessing). An important particularity of this work is that the input variables of the machine learning models were chosen among the variables directly measurable experimentally based on the opinion of experts in combustion in internal combustion engines and not on the usual approaches to dimensionality reduction on a dataset. The data used for this work was taken from a MINSEL 380 a 380-cc single-cylinder engine. The results show that all the machine learning models obtained are significantly faster than the usual approach and Random Forest (R2: R-squared = 0.9939 and RMSE: Root Mean Square Error = 0.4274) gives the best results. With a forecasting accuracy of over 90 % both approaches can make reasonable predictions for most industrial applications such as designing engine monitoring and control systems firefighting systems simulation and prototyping tools.
Cost-optimal Design and Operation of Hydrogen Refueling Stations with Mechanical and Electrochemical Hydrogen Compressors
Sep 2024
Publication
Hydrogen refueling stations (HRS) can cause a significant fraction of the hydrogen refueling cost. The main cost contributor is the currently used mechanical compressor. Electrochemical hydrogen compression (EHC) has recently been proposed as an alternative. However its optimal integration in an HRS has yet to be investigated. In this study we compare the performance of a gaseous HRS equipped with different compressors. First we develop dynamic models of three process configurations which differ in the compressor technology: mechanical vs. electrochemical vs. combined. Then the design and operation of the compressors are optimized by solving multi-stage dynamic optimization problems. The optimization results show that the three configurations lead to comparable hydrogen dispensing costs because the electrochemical configuration exhibits lower capital cost but higher energy demand and thus operating cost than the mechanical configuration. The combined configuration is a trade-off with intermediate capital and operating cost.
Identification of Hydrogen-Energy-Related Emerging Technologies Based on Text Mining
Dec 2023
Publication
As a versatile energy carrier hydrogen possesses tremendous potential to reduce greenhouse emissions and promote energy transition. Global interest in producing hydrogen from renewable energy sources and transporting storing and utilizing hydrogen is rising rapidly. However the high costs of producing clean hydrogen and the uncertain application scenarios for hydrogen energy result in its relatively limited utilization worldwide. It is necessary to find new promising technological paths to drive the development of hydrogen energy. As part of technological innovation emerging technologies have vital features such as prominent impact novelty relatively fast growth etc. Identifying emerging hydrogen-energy-related technologies is important for discovering innovation opportunities during the energy transition. Existing research lacks analysis of the characteristics of emerging technologies. Thus this paper proposes a method combining the latent Dirichlet allocation topic model and hydrogen-energy expert group decision-making. This is used to identify emerging hydrogen-related technology regarding two features of emerging technologies novelty and prominent impact. After data processing topic modeling and analysis the patent dataset was divided into twenty topics. Six emerging topics possess novelty and prominent impact among twenty topics. The results show that the current hotspots aim to promote the application of hydrogen energy by improving the performance of production catalysts overcoming the wide power fluctuations and large-scale instability of renewable energy power generation and developing advanced hydrogen safety technologies. This method efficiently identifies emerging technologies from patents and studies their development trends. It fills a gap in the research on emerging technologies in hydrogen-related energy. Research achievements could support the selection of technology pathways during the low-carbon energy transition.
An Assessment of Decarbonisation Pathways for Intercontinental Deep-sea Shipping Using Power-to-X Fuels
Aug 2024
Publication
Shipping corridors act as the arteries of the global economy. The maritime shipping sector is also a major source of greenhouse gas emissions accounting for 2.9% of the global total. The international nature of the shipping sector combined with issues surrounding the use of battery technology means that these emissions are considered difficult to eliminate. This work explores the transition to renewable fuels by examining the use of electrofuels (in the form of liquid hydrogen methane methanol ammonia and Fischer-Tropsch fuel) to decarbonise large container ships from a technical economic and environmental perspective. For an equivalent range to current fossil fuel vessels the cargo capacity of vessels powered by electrofuels decreases by between 3% and 16% depending on the fuel of choice due to the lower energy density compared with conventional marine fuels. If vessel operators are willing to sacrifice range cargo space can be preserved by downsizing onboard energy storage which necessitates more frequent refuelling. For a realistic green hydrogen cost of €3.5/kg (10.5 €c/kWh) in 2030 the use of electrofuels in the shipping sector results in an increase in the total cost of ownership of between 124% and 731% with liquid hydrogen in an internal combustion engine being the most expensive and methanol in an internal combustion engine resulting in the lowest cost increase. Despite this we find that the increased transportation costs of some consumer goods to be relatively small adding for example less than €3.27 to the cost of a laptop. In general fuels which do not require cryogenic storage and can be used in internal combustion engines result in the lowest cost increases. For policymakers reducing the environmental impact of the shipping sector is a key priority. The use of liquid hydrogen which results in the largest cost increase offers a 70% reduction in GHG emissions for an electricity carbon intensity of 80 gCO2e/ kWh which is the greatest reduction of all fuels assessed in this work. A minimum carbon price of €400/tCO2 is required to allow these fuels to reach parity with conventional shipping operations. To meet European Union emissions reductions targets electricity with an emissions intensity below 40 gCO2e/kWh is required which suggests that for electrofuels to be truly sustainable direct connection with a source of renewable electricity is required.
Characterizing Hydrogen-diesel Dual-fuel Performance and Emissions in a Commercial Heavy-duty Diesel Truck
Sep 2024
Publication
This study investigates hydrogen (H2) as a supplementary fuel in heavy-duty diesel engines using pre-manifold injection. A H2-diesel dual-fuel (H2DF) system was implemented on a commercial class-8 heavy-duty diesel truck without modifying the original diesel injection system and engine control unit (ECU). Tests were conducted on a chassis dynamometer at engine speeds between 1000 and 1400 rpm with driver-demanded torques from 10 to 75%. The hydrogen energy fraction (HEF) was strategically controlled in the range between 10 and 30%. Overall CO2 reduction (comparable to the HEF level) was achieved with similar brake-specific energy consumption (BSEC) at all loads and speeds. To maintain the same shaft torque the driver-demanded torque was reduced in H2DF operation which resulted in a lower boost pressure. At higher loads engine-out BSNOx slightly decreased while BSCO and black carbon (BC) increased significantly due to lower oxygen concentration resulting from the lower boost pressure. At lower loads engine-out BSCO and BSBC decreased moderately while NO2/NO ratio increased substantially in H2DF operation. Deliberate air path and diesel injection control are expected to enable higher HEF and GHG reductions.
Greening of European Sea Ports - Final Report
Mar 2024
Publication
The report addresses the environmental challenges faced by European sea ports and aims to provide guidance to smaller ports for improving their environmental performance while achieving sustainability goals through experiences gained by implementing noteworthy green initiatives in practice. Larger ports possess significant advantages in terms of financial resources risk tolerance and organisational capacity. They often have the means to invest in innovative solutions and actively participate in research and development projects leading to co-funded pilot implementation of green initiatives. They typically have more skilled personnel stronger influence and stakeholder leverage which position them better to lead the way in sustainability efforts. Finally larger ports often form robust collaborations to drive collective action towards sustainable goals. Smaller ports face unique challenges stemming from typically limited resources and risk aversion. They often prioritise mature solutions relying on tested practices to mitigate potential risks. They may lack internal expertise requiring guidance and capacity-building programmes to navigate the selection and implementation of green practices. Also they require financial and technical support particularly as they may underutilise available funding mechanisms and have limited participation in R&D programmes. They may benefit from partnerships with other ports and stakeholders to create synergies and gain experience from their lessons learned to boost their capacity to implement green practices
Green Transformation of Mining towards Energy Self-Sufficiency in a Circular Economy—A Case Study
Jul 2024
Publication
This article presents the concept of green transformation of the coal mining sector. Pump stations that belong to Spółka Restrukturyzacji Kopal´n S.A. (SRK S.A. Bytom Poland) pump out approximately 100 million m3 of mine water annually. These pump stations protect neighboring mines and lower-lying areas from flooding and protect subsurface aquifers from contamination. The largest cost component of maintaining a pumping station is the expenditure for purchasing electricity. Investment towards renewable energy sources will reduce the environmental footprint of pumping station operation by reducing greenhouse gas emissions. The concept of liquidation of an exemplary mining site in the context of a circular economy by proposing the development/revitalization of a coal mine site is presented. This concept involves the construction of a complex consisting of photovoltaic farms combined with efficient energy storage in the form of green hydrogen produced by water electrolysis. For this purpose the potential of liquidated mining sites will be utilized including the use of pumped mine wastewater. This article is conceptual. In order to reach the stated objective a body of literature and legal regulations was analyzed and an empirical study was conducted. Various scenarios for the operation of mine pumping stations have been proposed. The options presented provide full or nearly full energy self-sufficiency of the proposed pumping station operation concept. The effect of applying any option for upgrading the pumping station could result in the creation of jobs that are alternatives to mining jobs and a guarantee of efficient asset management.
Hydrogen Refueling Station Cost Model Applied to Five Real Case Studies for Fuel Cell buses
Oct 2021
Publication
Hydrogen Refueling Stations (HRS) are a key infrastructure to the successful deployment of hydrogen mobility. Their cost-effectiveness will represent an increasingly crucial issue considering the foreseen growth of vehicle fleets from few captive fleets to large-scale penetration of hydrogen vehicles. In this context a detailed component-oriented cost model is important to assess HRS costs for different design concepts layout schemes and possible customizations respect to aggregate tools which are mostly available in literature. In this work an improved version of a previously developed component-oriented scale-sensitive HRS cost model is applied to 5 different European HRS developed within the 3Emotion project with different refueling capacities (kgH2/day) hydrogen supply schemes (in-situ production or delivery) storage volumes and pressures and operational strategies. The model output allows to assess the upfront investment cost (CAPEX) the annual operational cost (OPEX) and the Levelized Cost of Hydrogen (LCOH) at the dispenser and identify the most crucial cost components. The results for the five analyzed HRS sites show an LCOH at the nozzle of around 8-9 €/kg for delivery based HRSs which are mainly dominated by the H2 retail price and transport service price and around 11-12 €/kg for on-site producing HRS for which the electrolyzer CAPEX and electricity price plays a key role in the cost structure. The compression storage and dispensing sections account for between 1-3 €/kg according to the specific design & performance requirements of the HRS. The total LCOH values are comparable with literature standard market prices for similar scale HRSs and with the 3Emotion project targets.
Optimal Integration of Hybrid Renewable Energy Systems for Decarbonized Urban Electrification and Hydrogen Mobility
Aug 2024
Publication
This study addresses cost-optimal sizing and energy management of a grid-integrated solar photovoltaic wind turbine hybrid renewable energy system integrated with electrolyzer and hydrogen storage tank to simultaneously meet electricity and hydrogen demands considering the case study of Dijon France. Mixed Integer Linear Programming optimization problem is formulated to evaluate two objective case scenarios: single objective and multi-objective minimizing total annual costs and grid carbon emission footprint. The study incorporates various technical economic and environmental indicators focusing on the impact of sensitivity lying on various grid electricity purchase rates within the French electricity market prices. The results highlight that rising grid prices drive increased integration of renewable sources while lower prices favor ultimate grid dependency. Constant hydrogen demand necessitates the installation of two electrolyzers. Notably grid electricity prices above 60 e/MWh result increase in the size of the hydrogen tank and electrolyzer operation to prevent renewable energy losses. Grid prices above 140 e/MWh depict 70% of electrical and 80% of electrolyzer demand provided by the renewable generation resulting in a carbon emission below 0.0416 Mt of CO2 and 0.643 kgCO2 /kgH2 . Conversely grid prices below 20 e/MWh lead ultimately to 100% grid dependency with a higher carbon emission of approximately 0.14 Mt of CO2 and 4.13 kgCO2 /kgH2 reducing the total annual cost to 41.63 Million e. Increase in grid prices from 20e/MWh to 180 e/MWh resulted in increase of hydrogen specific costs from 1.23 to 3.58 e/kgH2 . Finally the Pareto front diagram is employed to illustrate the trade-off between total annual cost and carbon emission due to grid imports aiding in informed decision-making.
Research on the Optimal Scheduling Strategy of the Integrated Energy System of Electricity to Hydrogen under the Stepped Carbon Trading Mechanism
Sep 2024
Publication
Under the guidance of energy-saving and emission reduction goals a lowcarbon economic operation method for integrated energy systems (IES) has been proposed. This strategy aims to enhance energy utilization efficiency bolster equipment operational flexibility and significantly cut down on carbon emissions from the IES. Firstly a thorough exploration of the two-stage operational framework of Power-to-Gas (P2G) technology is conducted. Electrolyzers methane reactors and hydrogen fuel cells (HFCs) are introduced as replacements for traditional P2G equipment with the objective of harnessing the multiple benefits of hydrogen energy. Secondly a cogeneration and HFC operational strategy with adjustable heat-to-electricity ratio is introduced to further enhance the IES’s low-carbon and economic performance. Finally a step-by-step carbon trading mechanism is introduced to effectively steer the IES towards carbon emission control.
Climate Change Mitigation Potentials of on Grid-connected Power-to-X Fuels and Advanced Biofuels for the European Maritime Transport
Jul 2023
Publication
This study proposes a country-based life-cycle assessment (LCA) of several conversion pathways related 10 to both on grid-connected Power-to-X (PtX) fuels and advanced biofuel production for maritime transport 11 in Europe. We estimate the biomass resource availability (both agricultural and forest residues and 12 second-generation energy crops from abandoned cropland) electricity mix and a future-oriented 13 prospective LCA to assess how future climate change mitigation policies influence the results. Our results 14 indicate that the potential of PtX fuels to achieve well-to-wake greenhouse gas intensities lower than 15 those of fossil fuels is limited to countries with a carbon intensity of the electricity mix below 100 gCO2eq kWh-1 16 . The more ambitious FuelEU Maritime goal could be achieved with PtX only if connected to electricity sources below ca. 17 gCO2eq kWh-1 17 which can become possible for most of the national 18 electricity mix in Europe by 2050 if renewable energy sources will become deployed at large scales. For 19 drop-in and hydrogen-based biofuels biomass residues have a higher potential to reduce emissions than 20 dedicated energy crops. In Europe the potentials of energy supply from all renewable and low-carbon 21 fuels (RLFs) range from 32-149% of the current annual fuel consumption in European maritime transport. 22 The full deployment of RLFs with carbon capture and storage technologies could mitigate up to 184% of 23 the current well-to-wake shipping emissions in Europe. Overall our study highlights how the strategic use 24 of both hydrogen-based biofuels and PtX fuels can contribute to the climate mitigation targetsfor present 25 and future scenarios of European maritime transport.
Hydrogen as Fuel in the Maritime Sector: From Production to Propulsion
Nov 2024
Publication
The maritime sector plays a crucial role in global trade yet its contribution to greenhouse gas emissions remains significant. The adoption of hydrogen as a clean energy solution is gaining traction to address this. This review paper delves into the opportunities and challenges of integrating hydrogen as a marine fuel. The entire hydrogen supply chain is investigated from production to end use highlighting advancements limitations and potential safety risks. Key findings reveal that while hydrogen offers promise for reducing emissions its widespread adoption requires a well-established production storage and distribution infrastructure. Challenges persist in large-scale storage transportation and bunkering particularly in addressing space limitations and ensuring safety protocols. Propulsion systems such as internal combustion engines gas turbines and fuel cells show po tential for hydrogen adoption yet further research is needed to optimize efficiency and address technical con straints. Safety considerations also appear prominently necessitating comprehensive bunkering operations and hazard management protocols. Addressing knowledge gaps is imperative for successfully integrating hydrogen as a marine fuel. Future research should focus on optimizing storage methods developing efficient propulsion systems and enhancing safety measures to enhance hydrogen utilization in the maritime sector.
Energy Hub Model for the Massive Adoption of Hydrogen in Power Systems
Sep 2024
Publication
A promising energy carrier and storage solution for integrating renewable energies into the power grid currently being investigated is hydrogen produced via electrolysis. It already serves various purposes but it might also enable the development of hydrogen-based electricity storage systems made up of electrolyzers hydrogen storage systems and generators (fuel cells or engines). The adoption of hydrogen-based technologies is strictly linked to the electrification of end uses and to multicarrier energy grids. This study introduces a generic method to integrate and optimize the sizing and operation phases of hydrogen-based power systems using an energy hub optimization model which can manage and coordinate multiple energy carriers and equipment. Furthermore the uncertainty related to renewables and final demands was carefully assessed. A case study on an urban microgrid with high hydrogen demand for mobility demonstrates the method’s applicability showing how the multi-objective optimization of hydrogen-based power systems can reduce total costs primary energy demand and carbon equivalent emissions for both power grids and mobility down to −145%. Furthermore the adoption of the uncertainty assessment can give additional benefits allowing a downsizing of the equipment.
Techno-Economic Analysis of Cement Decarbonization Techniques: Oxygen Enrichment vs. Hydrogen Fuel
Feb 2024
Publication
The Paris Agreement aims to limit global warming and one of the most polluting sectors is heavy industry where cement production is a significant contributor. This work briefly explores some alternatives recycling reducing clinker content waste heat recovery and carbon capture discussing their advantages and drawbacks. Then it examines the economic viability and benefits of increasing oxygen concentration in the primary burning air from 21 to 27 vol.% which could improve clinker production by 7% and the production of hydrogen through PEM electrolysis to make up 5% of the fuel thermal fraction considering both in a cement plant producing 3000 tons of clinker per day. This analysis used reference values from Secil an international company for cement and building materials to determine the required scale of the oxygen and hydrogen production respectively and calculate the CAPEX of each approach. It is concluded that oxygen enrichment can provide substantial fuel savings for a relatively low cost despite a possible significant increase in NOx emissions. However hydrogen production at this scale is not currently economically viable.
A Multi-agent Optimal Operation Methodology of Electric, Thermal, and Hydrogen Integrated Energy System based on ADMM Algorithm
Aug 2024
Publication
This article presents a study on the distributed optimization operation method for micro-energy grid clusters within an electric thermal and hydrogen integrated energy system. The research focuses on precisely modeling the Power-toHydrogen (P2H) conversion process in electrolytic cells by considering their startup characteristics. An optimization operation model is established with each micro-energy grid as the principal entity to cater to their individual interests and demands. The Alternating Direction Method of Multipliers (ADMM) algorithm is adopted for distributed solution. Case studies demonstrate that the connection topology between micro-energy grids significantly impacts the total operating cost and the effectiveness of the ADMM algorithm is validated through a comparison with centralized optimization approaches.
A Comprehensive Review on the Hydrogen–Natural Gas–Diesel Tri-Fuel Engine Exhaust Emissions
Aug 2024
Publication
Natural gas (NG) is favored for transportation due to its availability and lower CO2 emissions than fossil fuels despite drawbacks like poor lean combustion ability and slow burning. According to a few recent studies using hydrogen (H2 ) alongside NG and diesel in Tri-fuel mode addresses these drawbacks while enhancing efficiency and reducing emissions making it a promising option for diesel engines. Due to the importance and novelty of this the continuation of ongoing research and insufficient literature studies on HNG–diesel engine emissions that are considered helpful to researchers this research has been conducted. This review summarizes the recent research on the HNG–diesel Tri-fuel engines utilizing hydrogen-enriched natural gas (HNG). The research methodology involved summarizing the effect of engine design operating conditions fuel mixing ratios and supplying techniques on the CO CO2 NOx and HC emissions separately. Previous studies show that using natural gas with diesel increases CO and HC emissions while decreasing NOx and CO2 compared to pure diesel. However using hydrogen with diesel reduces CO CO2 and HC emissions but increases NOx. On the other hand HNG–diesel fuel mode effectively mitigates the disadvantages of using these fuels separately resulting in decreased emissions of CO CO2 HC and NOx. The inclusion of hydrogen improves combustion efficiency reduces ignition delay and enhances heat release and in-cylinder pressure. Additionally operational parameters such as engine power speed load air–fuel ratio compression ratio and injection parameters directly affect emissions in HNG–diesel Tri-fuel engines. Overall the Tri-fuel approach offers promising emissions benefits compared to using natural gas or hydrogen separately as dual-fuels.
Research on the Dynamic Energy Conversion and Transmission Model of Renewable Energy DC Off-grid Hydrogen System
Sep 2024
Publication
The dynamic response characteristics between the multiple energy flows of electricity-hydrogen-heat in the renewable energy DC off-grid hydrogen production system are highly coupled and nonlinear which leads to the complexity of its energy conversion and transmission law. This study proposes a model to describe the dynamic nonlinear energy conversion and transmission laws specific to such systems. The model develops a nonlinear admittance framework and a conversion characteristic matrix for multi-heterogeneous energy flow subsystems based on the operational characteristics of each subsystem within the DC off-grid hydrogen production system. Building upon this foundation an energy hub model for the hydrogen production system is established yielding the electrical thermal and hydrogen energy outputs along with their respective conversion efficiencies for each subsystem. By discretizing time the energy flow at each time node within the hydrogen production system is computed revealing the system’s dynamic energy transfer patterns. Experiments were conducted using measured wind speed and irradiance data from a specific location in eastern China. Results from selected typical days were analyzed and discussed revealing that subsystem characteristics exhibit nonlinear variation patterns. This highlights the limitations of traditional models in accurately capturing these dynamics. Finally a simulation platform incorporating practical control methods was constructed to validate the model’s accuracy. Validation results demonstrate that the model possesses high accuracy providing a solid theoretical foundation for further in-depth analysis of DC off-grid hydrogen production systems.
A Perspective on Emerging Energy Policy and Economic Research Agenda for Enabling Aviation Climate Action
Sep 2024
Publication
Due to the aviation energy sector's increasing contribution to climate change and the impact of climate change on the aviation sector determining key energy policy and economic research priorities for enabling an effective and equitable aviation climate action is becoming an increasingly important topic. In this perspective we address this research need using a four-pronged methodology. It includes (i) identifying topical matters highlighted in the media (news); (ii) formulating novel and feasible policy and economic research challenges that pertain to these contemporary issues; (iii) cross-referencing the proposed research challenges with academic literature to confirm their novelty and refining them as necessary; and (iv) validating the importance novelty and feasibility of these research challenges through consultation with a diverse group of aviation experts in fuel policy technology and infrastructure fields. Our results highlight twelve main themes. Among these the top emerging policy and economic research challenges as prioritized by expert input are – (i) frameworks for equitable responsibility allocation between developed and developing country airlines for future emissions; (ii) cost analysis of airlines' net-zero by 2050 commitments; (iii) effectiveness and opportunity cost of airlines investing in offsetting relative to reduction measures; (iv) EU aviation policies' historical and potential effects on airfares demand emissions EU air carriers' competitiveness passenger traffic through EU hubs regional economies and social climate funds' ability to mitigate distributional effects of EU aviation policies. These identified priorities can steer both industry and academic research toward creating practical recommendations for policymakers and industry participants. When it comes to future research the ever-changing nature of the challenges in achieving aviation climate action means that our findings might need regular updates.
Optimization of Baseload Electricity and Hydrogen Services by Renewables for a Nuclear-sized District in South Italy
Nov 2024
Publication
We present an optimization model of an energy district in South Italy that supplies baseload electricity and hydrogen services. The district is sized such that a nuclear reactor could provide these services. We define scenarios for 2050 to explore the system effects of discount rate sensitivity vetoes on technologies and cost uncertainties. We address the following issues relevant to decarbonization in South Italy: land-based wind and solar vs. exclusive solar rooftop extra cost of a veto on nuclear conservative assumptions on future storage technology and the role of pumped hydro storage lack of low-cost geological storage of hydrogen and the industrial competitiveness of this carrier and the methanation synergy with the agroforestry sector. Our results quantify the high system cost of vetoes on land-based wind and solar. Nuclear may enter the optimal mix only with a veto against onshore wind and a hypothesis of equal project risk hence an equal discount rate with renewables. Scenarios with land-based wind and solar obtain low-cost hydrogen and thus allow industrial uses for this carrier. The methanation synergy with the agroforestry sector does not offer a system cost advantage but improves the district’s configuration. The extra cost of full decarbonization relative to unregulated fossil gas is small with land-based wind and solar and significant with vetoes to these technologies.
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