Publications

This study evaluates the technoeconomic impacts of direct and indirect electrification on the EU's net-zero emissions target by 2050. By linking the JRC-EU-TIMES long-term energy system model with PLEXOS hourly resolution power system model this research offers a detailed analysis of the interactions between electricity hydrogen and synthetic fuel demand production technologies and their effects on the power sector. It highlights the importance of high temporal resolution power system analysis to capture the synergistic effects of these components often overlooked in isolated studies. Results indicate that direct electrification increases significantly and unimpacted by biomass CCS and nuclear energy assumptions. However indirect electrification in the form of hydrogen varies significantly between 1400 and 2200 TWhH2 by 2050. Synthetic fuels are essential for sector coupling making up 6–12% of total energy consumption by 2050 with the power sector supplying most hydrogen and CO2 for their production. Varying levels of indirect electrification impact electrolysers renewable energy and firm capacities. Higher indirect electrification increases electrolyser capacity factors by 8% leading to more renewable energy curtailment but improves system reliability by reducing 11 TWh unserved energy and increasing flexibility options. These insights inform EU energy policies stressing the need for a balanced approach to electrification biomass use and CCS to achieve a sustainable and reliable net-zero energy system by 2050. We also explore limitations and sensitivities.

Climate change is a major concern for the sustainable development of global energy systems. Hydrogen produced through water electrolysis offers a crucial solution by storing and generating renewable energy with minimal environmental impact thereby reducing carbon emissions in the energy sector. Our research evaluates current hydrogen production technologies such as alkaline water electrolysis (AWE) proton exchange membrane water electrolysis (PEMWE) solid oxide electrolysis (SOEC) and anion exchange membrane water electrolysis (AEMWE). We systematically review life cycle assessments (LCA) for these technologies analyzing their environmental impacts and recent technological advancements. This study fills essential gaps by providing detailed LCAs for emerging technologies and evaluating their scalability and environmental footprints. Our analysis outlines the strengths and weaknesses of each technology guiding future research and assisting stakeholders in making informed decisions about integrating hydrogen production into the global energy mix. Our approach highlights operational efficiencies and potential sustainability enhancements by employing comparative analyses and reviewing advancements in membrane technology and electrocatalysts. A significant finding is that PEMWE when integrated with renewable energy sources offers rapid response capabilities that are vital for adaptive energy systems and reducing carbon footprints.

Volatile electricity prices have raised concerns about the economic feasibility of wind projects in Finland. This study assesses the economic viability and optimal operational strategies for integrating wind-powered green hydrogen production systems. Utilizing modeling and optimization this research evaluates various wind farms in Western Finland over electricity market scenarios from 2019 to 2022 with forecasts extending to 2030. Key economic metrics considered include internal rate of return future value net present value (NPV) and the levelized cost of hydrogen (LCOH). Results indicate that integration of hydrogen production with wind farms shows economic benefits over standalone wind projects potentially reducing LCOH to €2.0/kgH2 by 2030 in regular and low electricity price scenarios and to as low as €0.6/kgH2 in high-price scenarios. The wind farm with the highest capacity factor achieves 47% reductions in LCOH and 22% increases in NPV underscoring the importance of strategic site selection and operational flexibility.

Importing substantial amount of green hydrogen from countries like South Africa which have abundant solar and wind potentials to replace fossil fuels has attracted interest in developed regions. This study analyses South African strategies for improving and decarbonizing the power sector while also producing hydrogen for export. These strategies include the Integrated Resource Plan the Transmission Development Plan Just Energy Transition and Hydrogen Society Roadmap for grid connected hydrogen production in 2030. Results based on an hourly resolution optimisation in Plexos indicate that annual grid-connected hydrogen production of 500 kt can lead to a 20–25% increase in the cost of electricity in scenarios with lower renewable energy penetration due to South African emission constraints by 2030. While the price of electricity is still in acceptable range and the price of hydrogen can be competitive on the international market (2–3 USD/kgH2 for production) the emission factor of this hydrogen is higher than the one of grey hydrogen ranging from 13 to 24 kgCO2/kgh2. When attempting to reach emission factors based on EU directives the three policy roadmaps become unfeasible and free capacity expansion results in significant sixteen-fold increase of wind and seven-fold increase in solar installations compared to 2023 levels by 2030 in South Africa.

Global warming’s major cause is the emission of greenhouse-effect gases (GHG) especially carbon dioxide (CO2) whose main source is the combustion of fossil fuels. Fossil fuels serve as the primary energy source in many industries including shipping which is the focus of this study. One of the measures proposed to tackle GHG emissions is the development of green shipping corridors - carbon-free shipping routes that require the transition to alternative fuels which are gaining competitiveness. One of the reasons for that is carbon pricing which taxes CO2 emissions. However the lack of consensus on the most cost-advantageous alternative fuel in the long run results in the delay of the implementation of green shipping corridors. To make it more accessible for stakeholders to conduct an economic analysis of the various options a framework to determine and minimize the costs of transitioning from fossil fuels to any alternative fuel is proposed over the period of one voyage considering the lost opportunity cost the deployment cost of bunkering vessels at the necessary call ports the cost of converting the vessel the car-bon emissions tax cost and the fuel cost. This will allow stakeholders to choose the most economical alternative fuel accelerating the development of green shipping corridor initiatives. To validate the effectiveness of the framework it was applied in a case study involving a shipowner seeking to transition from heavy fuel oil (HFO) to Ammonia Hydrogen Liquefied Natural Gas (LNG) or Methanol. This study faced limitations due to the unknown costs of installing bunkering vessels for Ammonia and Hydrogen. However it evaluates the cost-effectiveness of alternative fuels providing insights into their short-term economic viability. The results showed that Hydrogen is the most costadvantageous fuel until a deployment cost per bunkering vessel of 1990285$ for a sailing speed of 22 knots and 2190171$ for a sailing speed of 18 knots is reached after which LNG becomes the most economical option regardless of variations in the carbon tax. Moreover a sensitivity analysis was conducted to determine the effects of variations in parameters such as carbon tax fuel prices and vessel conversion costs in the total cost of each fuel option. Results highlighted that even though HFO remains the most economical fuel option even when considering a high increase in carbon tax the cost gap between HFO and alternative fuels narrows significantly with the increase in carbon tax. Furthermore the sailing speed impacts the fuels’ competitiveness as the cost difference between HFO and alternative fuels decreases at higher speeds.

Hydrogen energy as a zero-carbon emission type of energy is playing a significant role in the development of future electricity power systems. Coordinated operation of hydrogen and electricity will change the direction and shape of energy utilization in the power grid. To address the evolving power system and promote sustainable hydrogen energy development this paper initially examines hydrogen preparation and storage techniques summarizes current research and development challenges and introduces several key technologies for hydrogen energy application in power systems. These include hydrogen electrification technology hydrogen-based medium- and long-term energy storage and hydrogen auxiliary services. This paper also analyzes several typical modes of hydrogen–electricity coupling. Finally the future development direction of hydrogen energy in power systems is discussed focusing on key issues such as cost storage and optimization.

Clean energy vehicles (CEVs) e.g. battery electric vehicles (BEVs) and fuel cell electric vehicles (FCEVs) are being adopted gradually to substitute for internal combustion engine vehicles (ICEVs) around the world. The fueling infrastructure is one of the key drivers for the development of the CEV market. When the government develops funding policies to support the fueling infrastructure development for FCEVs and BEVs it has to assess the effectiveness of different policy options and identify the optimal policy combination which is very challenging in transportation research. In this paper we develop a system dynamics model to study the feedback mechanism between the fueling infrastructure funding policies and the medium- to long-term diffusion of FCEVs and BEVs and the competition between FCEVs and BEVs based on relevant policy and market data in Guangzhou China. The results of the modeling analysis are as follows. (1) Funding hydrogen refueling stations and public charging piles has positive implications for achieving the substitution of CEVs for ICEVs. (2) Adjusting the funding ratio of hydrogen refueling stations and public charging piles or increasing the funding budget and extending the funding cycle does not have a significant impact on the overall substitution of CEVs for ICEVs but only impacts the relative competitive advantage between FCEVs and BEVs. (3) An equal share of funding for hydrogen refueling stations and public charging piles would have better strategic value for future net-zero-emissions urban transportation. (4) Making a moderate-level full investment in hydrogen refueling stations coupled with hydrogen refueling subsidies can provide the ideal conditions for FCEV diffusion.

The multi-generation systems with simultaneous production of power by renewable energy in addition to polymer electrolyte membrane electrolyzer and fuel cell (PEMFC-PEMEC) energy storage have become more and more popular over the past few years. The fresh water provision for PEMECs in such systems is taken into account as one of the main challenges for them where conventional desalination technologies such as reverse osmosis (RO) and mechanical vapor compression (MVC) impose high electricity consumption and costs. Taking this point into consideration as a novelty solar still (ST) desalination is applied as an alternative to RO and MVC for better techno-economic justifiability. The comparison made for a residential building complex in Hawaii in the US as the case study demonstrated much higher technical and economic benefits when using ST compared with both MVC and RO. The photovoltaic (PV) installed capacity decreased by 11.6 and 7.3 kW compared with MVC and RO while the size of the electrolyzer declined by 9.44 and 6.13% and the hydrogen storage tank became 522.1 and 319.3 m3 smaller respectively. Thanks to the considerable drop in the purchase price of components the payback period (PBP) dropped by 3.109 years compared with MVC and 2.801 years compared with RO which is significant. Moreover the conducted parametric study implied the high technical and economic viability of the system with ST for a wide range of building loads including high values.

Hydrogen energy is regarded as a key path to combat climate change and promote sustainable economic and social development. The fluctuation of renewable energy leads to frequent start/stop cycles in hydrogen electrolysis equipment. However electrochemical energy storage with its fast response characteristics helps regulate the power of hydrogen electrolysis enabling smooth operation. In this study a multi-objective constrained operation optimization model for a wind/battery storage/alkaline electrolyzer system is constructed. Both profit maximization and power abandonment rate minimization are considered. In addition some constraints such as minimum start/stop times upper and lower power limits and input fluctuation limits are also taken into account. Then the non-dominated sorting genetic algorithm II (NSGA-II) algorithm and the entropy method are used to optimize the operation strategy of the hybrid energy system by considering dynamic hydrogen production efficiency and through optimization to obtain the best hydrogen production power of the system under the two objectives. The change in dynamic hydrogen production efficiency is mainly related to the change in electrolyzer power and the system can be better adjusted according to the actual supply of renewable energy to avoid the waste of renewable energy. Our results show that the distribution of Pareto solutions is uniform which indicates the suitability of the NSGA-II algorithm. In addition the optimal solution indicates that the battery storage and alkaline electrolyzer can complement each other in operation and achieve the absorption of wind power. The dynamic hydrogen production efficiency can make the electrolyzer operate more efficiently which paves the way for system optimization. A sensitivity analysis reveals that the profit is sensitive to the price of hydrogen energy.

Hydrogen combustion engine vehicles have the potential to rapidly enter the market and reduce greenhouse gas emissions (GHG) compared to conventional engines. The ability to provide a rapid market deployment is linked to the fact that the industry would take advantage of the existing internal combustion engine production chain. The aim of this paper is twofold. First it aims to develop a methodology for applying life-cycle assessment (LCA) to internal combustion engines to estimate their life-cycle GHG emissions. Also it aims to investigate the decarbonization potential of hydrogen engines produced by exploiting existing diesel engine technology and assuming diverse hydrogen production routes. The boundary of the LCA is cradle-to-grave and the assessment is entirely based on primary data. The products under study are two monofuel engines: a hydrogen engine and a diesel engine. The hydrogen engine has been redesigned using the diesel engine as a base. The engines being studied are versatile and can be used for a wide range of uses such as automotive cogeneration maritime off-road and railway; however this study focuses on their application in pickup trucks. As part of the redesign process certain subsystems (e.g. combustion injection ignition exhaust gas recirculation and exhaust gas aftertreatment) have been modified to make the engine run on hydrogen. Results revealed that employing a hydrogen engine using green hydrogen (i.e. generated from water electrolysis using wind-based electricity) might reduce GHG emission by over 90% compared to the diesel engine This study showed that the benefits of the new hydrogen engine solution outweigh the increase of emissions related to the redesign process making it a potentially beneficial solution also for reconditioning current and used internal combustion engines.