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Enabling or Requiring Hydrogen-ready Industrial Boiler Equipment: Call for Evidence, Summary of Responses
Dec 2022
Publication
On 20 December 2021 the Department for Business Energy and Industrial Strategy (BEIS) launched a Call for Evidence (CfE) on enabling or requiring hydrogen-ready industrial boiler equipment. The aim was to gather evidence from a broad range of UK manufacturers industrial end-users supply chain participants and other experts to enable the development of proposals. The CfE was open for 12 weeks closing on 14 March 2022. The CfE followed the publication of the UK Hydrogen Strategy on 17 August 2021. In the Strategy government committed to run a CfE on hydrogen-ready industrial equipment by theend of 2022. The published CfE focussed on industrial boilers due to their widespread use and because BEIS analysis indicates a significant proportion of the demand for hydrogen in industry will come from this equipment category. Furthermore the technology required for hydrogen boilers is relatively advanced and more standardised than for other types of industrial<br/>equipment. For these reasons industrial boiler equipment presents a good test case for hydrogen-ready industrial equipment more broadly.<br/>The CfE contained the following three sections:<br/>• The opportunity for hydrogen-ready industrial boilers<br/>• The role for government to support hydrogen-ready industrial boiler equipment<br/>• The role of the supply chain and economic opportunities for the UK<br/>Respondents were asked to support their answers with evidence relating to their business product or sector published literature studies or to their broader expertise. To raise awareness of the CfE BEIS officials held two online webinars on 1 February 2022 and 3 February 2022. These were open to boiler manufacturers industrial end-users supply chain participants trade associations professional bodies and any other person(s) with an interest in the area.<br/>To build on evidence gathered through the CfE BEIS commissioned an independent study from Arup and Kiwa Gastec to further examine whether government should enable or require hydrogen-ready industrial boiler equipment. This study investigated the following topics:<br/>• definitions of hydrogen-readiness for industrial boilers<br/>• comparisons of the cost and resource requirement to install and convert hydrogen-ready industrial boiler equipment<br/>• industrial boiler supply chain capacity for conversion to hydrogen<br/>• estimates of the UK industrial boiler population<br/>The final report for this study has been published alongside the government response to the call for evidence. The conclusions and recommendations of that report do not necessarily represent the view of BEIS.
Aspects of an Experimental Study of Hydrogen Use at Automotive Diesel Engine
Feb 2023
Publication
Hydrogen may represents a good alternative fuel that can be used to fuel internal combustion engines in order to ameliorate energetic and emissions performance. The paper presents some experimental aspects registered at hydrogen use to fuel a diesel engine different substitute ratios being use in the area of 18–34% at 40% engine load and speed of 2000 rev/min. The engine is equipped with an open ECU and the control of the cyclic dosses of diesel fuel and hydrogen are adjusted in order to maintain the engine power performance. The in-cylinder pressure diagrams show the increase of the maximum pressure with 17% from 78.5 bar to 91.8 bar for the maximum substitute ratio. Also values of maximum pressure rise rate start to increase for hydrogen addition in correlation with the increase of fuel amount burned into the premixed stage without exceed the normal values with assure the normal and reliable engine operation. Higher Lower Heating Value and combustion speed of hydrogen assure the increase in thermal efficiency the brake specific energy consumption decreases with 5.4%–7.8% at substitute ratios of 20–27%. The CO2 emission level decreases with 20% for maximum hydrogen cyclic dose. In terms of pollutant emission level at hydrogen use the emission level of the NOx decreases with 50% and the smoke number decreases with 73.8% comparative to classic fuelling at the maximum hydrogen cyclic dose.
Bioinspired Hybrid Model to Predict the Hydrogen Inlet Fuel Cell Flow Change of an Energy Storage System
Nov 2019
Publication
The present research work deals with prediction of hydrogen consumption of a fuel cell in an energy storage system. Due to the fact that these kind of systems have a very nonlinear behaviour the use of traditional techniques based on parametric models and other more sophisticated techniques such as soft computing methods seems not to be accurate enough to generate good models of the system under study. Due to that a hybrid intelligent system based on clustering and regression techniques has been developed and implemented to predict the necessary variation of the hydrogen flow consumption to satisfy the variation of demanded power to the fuel cell. In this research a hybrid intelligent model was created and validated over a dataset from a fuel cell energy storage system. Obtained results validate the proposal achieving better performance than other well-known classical regression methods allowing us to predict the hydrogen consumption with a Mean Absolute Error (MAE) of 3.73 with the validation dataset.
Hydrogen Strategy Update to the Market: July 2022
Jul 2022
Publication
Low carbon hydrogen is our new home-grown super-fuel which will be vital for our energy security and to meet our legally binding commitment to achieve net zero by 2050. The UK Hydrogen Strategy published in August 2021 outlined a comprehensive roadmap for the development of a thriving UK hydrogen economy over the coming decade. In the British Energy Security Strategy published in April this year the government doubled the UK’s hydrogen production ambition to up to 10GW by 2030. This increased ambition cements our place firmly at the forefront of the global race to develop hydrogen as a secure low carbon replacement for fossil fuels in the transition to greater energy security and net zero. Since the publication of the UK Hydrogen Strategy we have continued to deliver on our commitments setting out new policy and funding for hydrogen across the value chain and bringing together the international community around shared hydrogen objectives to rapidly develop a global hydrogen economy. Hydrogen was a key component of the Net Zero Strategy COP26 and the British Energy Security Strategy. The Hydrogen Investment Package and opening of the £240 million Net Zero Hydrogen Fund in April marked a major step forward in delivering government support to drive further private investment into hydrogen production in the UK. To keep industry informed on the government’s ongoing work to develop the hydrogen economy we committed in the UK Hydrogen Strategy to producing regular updates to the market as our policy develops. In addition to offering an accessible ‘one stop shop’ of government policy development and support schemes these updates will provide industry and investors with further clarity on the direction of travel of hydrogen policy across the value chain so that government and industry can work together most effectively and with the necessary pace to build a world-leading low carbon hydrogen sector in the UK.
Dynamic Operation of Water Electrolyzers: A Review for Applications in Photovoltaic Systems Integration
May 2023
Publication
This review provides a comprehensive overview of the dynamics of low-temperature water electrolyzers and their influence on coupling the three major technologies alkaline Proton Exchange Membrane (PEM) and Anion Exchange Membrane (AEM) with photovoltaic (PV) systems. Hydrogen technology is experiencing considerable interest as a way to accelerate the energy transition. With no associated CO2 emissions and fast response water electrolyzers are an attractive option for producing green hydrogen on an industrial scale. This can be seen by the ambitious goals and large-scale projects being announced for hydrogen especially with solar energy dedicated entirely to drive the process. The electrical response of water electrolyzers is extremely fast making the slower variables such as temperature and pressure the limiting factors for variable operation typically associated with PV-powered electrolysis systems. The practical solar-to-hydrogen efficiency of these systems is in the range of 10% even with a very high coupling factor exceeding 99% for directly coupled systems. The solar-to-hydrogen efficiency can be boosted with a battery potentially sacrificing the cost. The intermittency of solar irradiance rather than its variability is the biggest challenge for PV-hydrogen systems regarding operation and degradation.
Technical Reliability of Shipboard Technologies for the Application of Alternative Fuels
Jul 2022
Publication
Background: Naval trafc is highly dependent on depleting fossil resources and causes signifcant greenhouse gas emissions. At the same time marine transportation is a major backbone of world trade. Thus alternative fuel concepts are highly needed. Diferent fuels such as ammonia methanol liquefed natural gas and hydrogen have been proposed. For some of them frst prototype vessels have been in operation. However practical experience is still limited. Most studies so far focus on aspects such as efciency and economics. However particularly in marine applications reliability of propulsion systems is of utmost importance because failures on essential ship components at sea pose a huge safety risk. If the respective components lose their functionality repair can be much more challenging due to large distances to dockyards and the complicated transport of spare parts to the ship. Consequently evaluation of reliability should be a core element of system analysis for new marine fuels. Results: In this study reliability was studied for four potential fuels. The analysis involved several steps: estimation of overall failure rates identifcation of most vulnerable components and assessment of criticality by including severity of fault events. On the level of overall failure rate ammonia is shown to be very promising. Extending the view over a pure failure rate-based evaluation shows that other approaches such as LOHC or methanol can be competitive in terms of reliability and risk. As diferent scenarios require diferent weightings of the diferent reliability criteria the conclusion on the best technology can difer. Relevant aspects for this decision can be the availability of technical staf high-sea or coastal operation the presence of non-naval personnel onboard and other factors. Conclusions: The analysis allowed to compare diferent alternative marine fuel concepts regarding reliability. However the analysis is not limited to assessment of overall failure rates but can also help to identify critical elements that deserve attention to avoid fault events. As a last step severity of the individual failure modes was included. For the example of ammonia it is shown that the decomposition unit and the fuel cell should be subject to measures for increasing safety and reducing failure rates.
Ecological and Economic Evaluation of Hydrogen Production by Different Water Electrolysis Technologies
Jul 2020
Publication
The economic and ecological production of green hydrogen by water electrolysis is one of the major challenges within Carbon2Chem and other power-to-X projects. This paper presents an evaluation of the different water electrolysis technologies with respect to their specific energy demand carbon footprint and the forecast production costs in 2030. From a current perspective alkaline water electrolysis is evaluated as the most favorable technology for the cost-effective production of low-carbon hydrogen with fluctuating renewables.
An Overview of the Recent Advances in Composite Materials and Artificial Intelligence for Hydrogen Storage Vessels Design
Mar 2023
Publication
The environmental impact of CO2 emissions is widely acknowledged making the development of alternative propulsion systems a priority. Hydrogen is a potential candidate to replace fossil fuels for transport applications with three technologies considered for the onboard storage of hydrogen: storage in the form of a compressed gas storage as a cryogenic liquid and storage as a solid. These technologies are now competing to meet the requirements of vehicle manufacturers; each has its own unique challenges that must be understood to direct future research and development efforts. This paper reviews technological developments for Hydrogen Storage Vessel (HSV) designs including their technical performance manufacturing costs safety and environmental impact. More specifically an up-to-date review of fiber-reinforced polymer composite HSVs was explored including the end-of-life recycling options. A review of current numerical models for HSVs was conducted including the use of artificial intelligence techniques to assess the performance of composite HSVs leading to more sophisticated designs for achieving a more sustainable future.
A Multi-energy Multi-microgrid System Planning Model for Decarbonisation and Decontamination of Isolated Systems
May 2023
Publication
Decarbonising and decontaminating remote regions in the world presents several challenges. Many of these regions feature isolation dispersed demand in large areas and a lack of economic resources that impede the development of robust and sustainable networks. Furthermore isolated systems in the developing world are mostly based on diesel generation for electricity and firewood and liquefied petroleum gas for heating as these options do not require a significant infrastructure cost. In this context we present a stochastic multi-energy multi-microgrid system planning model that integrates electricity heat and hydrogen networks in isolated systems. The model is stochastic to capture uncertainty in renewable generation outputs particularly hydro and wind and thus design a multi-energy system proved secured against such uncertainty. The model also features two distinct constraints to limit the emissions of CO2 (for decarbonisation) and particulate matter (for decontamination) and incorporates firewood as a heating source. Moreover given that the focus is on low-voltage networks we introduce a fully linear AC power flow equations set allowing the planning model to remain tractable. The model is applied to a real-world case study to design a multi-energy multi-microgrid system in an isolated region in Chilean Patagonia. In a case with a zero limit over direct CO2 emissions the total system’s cost increases by 34% with respect to an unconstrained case. In a case with a zero limit over particulate matter emissions the total system’s cost increases by 189%. Finally although an absolute zero limit over both particulate matter and direct CO2 emissions leads to a total system’s cost increase of 650% important benefits in terms of decarbonisation and decontamination can be achieved at marginal cost increments.
Positioning Germany in an International Hydrogen Economy: A Policy Review
Apr 2024
Publication
Germany the European Union member state with the largest fiscal space and its leading manufacturer of industrial goods is pursuing an ambitious hydrogen strategy aiming at establishing itself as a major technology provider and importer of green hydrogen. The success of its hydrogen strategy represents not only a key element in realizing the European vision of climate neutrality but also a central driver of an emerging global hydrogen economy. This article provides a detailed review of German policy highlighting its prominent international dimension and its implications for the development of a global renewable hydrogen economy. It provides an overview of the strategy’s central goals and how these have evolved since the launch of the strategy in 2020. Next it moves on to provide an overview of the strategy’s main areas of intervention and highlights corresponding policy instruments. For this we draw on a comprehensive assessment of hydrogen policy instruments which have been systematically analyzed and coded. This was complemented by a detailed analysis of policy documents and information gathered in six interviews with government officials and staff of key implementing agencies. The article places particular emphasis on the strategy’s international dimension. While less significant in financial terms than domestic hydrogen-related spending it represents a defining feature of the German hydrogen strategy setting it apart from strategies in other major economies. The article closes with a reflection on the key features of the strategy compared to other important countries identifies gaps of the strategy and discusses important avenues for future research.
Socio-environmental and Technical Factors Assessment of Photovoltaic Hydrogen Production in Antofagasta, Chile
Apr 2024
Publication
This study introduces a method for identifying territories ideal for establishing photovoltaic (PV) plants for green hydrogen (GH2 ) production in the Antofagasta region of northern Chile a location celebrated for its outstanding solar energy potential. Assessing the viability of PV plant installation necessitates a balanced consideration of technical aspects and socio-environmental constraints such as the proximity to areas of ecological importance and indigenous communities to identify potential zones for solar and non-conventional renewable energy (NCRE)-based hydrogen production. To tackle this challenge we propose a methodology that utilizes geospatial analysis integrating Geographic Information System (GIS) tools with sensitivity analysis to determine the most suitable sites for PV plant installation in the Antofagasta region. Our geospatial analysis employs the QGIS software to identify these optimal locations while sensitivity analysis uses the Sørensen–Dice coefficient method to assess the similarity among chosen socio-environmental variables. Applying this methodology to the Antofagasta region reveals that a significant area within a 15 km radius of existing road networks and electrical substations is favorable for photovoltaic projects. Our sensitivity analysis further highlights the limiting effects of socio-environmental factors and their interactions. Moreover our research finds that enlarging areas of socio-environmental importance could increase the total hydrogen production by about 10% per commune indicating the impact of these factors on the potential for renewable energy production.
Carbon-free Green Hydrogen Production Process with Induction Heating-based Ammonia Decomposition Reactor
Dec 2022
Publication
This study presents an induction heating-based reactor for ammonia decomposition and to achieve a 150 Nm3 /h carbon-free green hydrogen production process. The developed metallic monolith reactor acts by increasing the reactor temperature through an electromagnetic induction method using renewable-based electricity. As a result hydrogen is produced without the generation of air pollutants such as CO2 which are formed via the conventional production pathway. Furthermore techno-economic analysis was conducted based on exergy and economic analysis to evaluate the feasibility of the developed process. Experimentally the proposed reactor showed an ammonia conversion of 90.0 % at 600 ℃ and 7 barg. Exergy analysis indicated that the total unused exergy accounted for 45.79 % of the total exergy input giving an exergy efficiency of 54.21 % for the overall process. Furthermore the CAPEX and OPEX values are calculated as 1599567 USD and 644719 USD/y respectively; therefore the levelized cost of hydrogen (LCOH) was calculated to be 6.98 USD/kgH2. This study also demonstrated that the LCOH varies with the ammonia feed price and the process capacity and so it would be expected to decrease from 6.98 to 5.33 USD/kgH2 as the hydrogen production capacity is increased from 150 to 500 Nm3 / h. Overall our results confirm the feasibility of carbon-free green hydrogen production on on-site hydrogen refueling stations and they will be expected to advance the development of an environmental hydrogen economy.
Three-Stage Modeling Framework for Analyzing Islanding Capabilities of Decarbonized Energy Communities
May 2023
Publication
Contrary to microgrids (MGs) for which grid code or legislative support are lacking in the majority of cases energy communities (ECs) are one of the cornerstones of the energy transition backed up by the EU’s regulatory framework. The main difference is that unlike MGs ECs grow and develop organically through citizen involvement and investments in the existing low-voltage (LV) distribution networks. They are not planned and built from scratch as closed distribution systems that are independent of distribution system operator plans as assumed in the existing literature. An additional benefit of ECs could be the ability to transition into island mode contributing to the resilience of power networks. To this end this paper proposes a three-stage framework for analyzing the islanding capabilities of ECs. The framework is utilized to comprehensively assess and compare the islanding capabilities of ECs whose organic development is based upon three potential energy vectors: electricity gas and hydrogen. Detailed dynamic simulations clearly show that only fully electrified ECs inherently have adequate islanding capabilities without the need for curtailment or additional investments.
Recent Progress in Conducting Polymers for Hydrogen Storage and Fuel Cell Applications
Oct 2020
Publication
Hydrogen is a clean fuel and an abundant renewable energy resource. In recent years huge scientific attention has been invested to invent suitable materials for its safe storage. Conducting polymers has been extensively investigated as a potential hydrogen storage and fuel cell membrane due to the low cost ease of synthesis and processability to achieve the desired morphological and microstructural architecture ease of doping and composite formation chemical stability and functional properties. The review presents the recent progress in the direction of material selection modification to achieve appropriate morphology and adsorbent properties chemical and thermal stabilities. Polyaniline is the most explored material for hydrogen storage. Polypyrrole and polythiophene has also been explored to some extent. Activated carbons derived from conducting polymers have shown the highest specific surface area and significant storage. This review also covers recent advances in the field of proton conducting solid polymer electrolyte membranes in fuel cells application. This review focuses on the basic structure synthesis and working mechanisms of the polymer materials and critically discusses their relative merits.
Fuel-Cell Electric Vehicles: Plotting a Scientific and Technological Knowledge Map
Mar 2020
Publication
The fuel-cell electric vehicle (FCEV) has been defined as a promising way to avoid road transport greenhouse emissions but nowadays they are not commercially available. However few studies have attempted to monitor the global scientific research and technological profile of FCEVs. For this reason scientific research and technological development in the field of FCEV from 1999 to 2019 have been researched using bibliometric and patent data analysis including network analysis. Based on reports the current status indicates that FCEV research topics have reached maturity. In addition the analysis reveals other important findings: (1) The USA is the most productive in science and patent jurisdiction; (2) both Chinese universities and their authors are the most productive in science; however technological development is led by Japanese car manufacturers; (3) in scientific research collaboration is located within the tri-polar world (North America–Europe–Asia-Pacific); nonetheless technological development is isolated to collaborations between companies of the same automotive group; (4) science is currently directing its efforts towards hydrogen production and storage energy management systems related to battery and hydrogen energy Life Cycle Assessment and greenhouse gas (GHG) emissions. The technological development focuses on technologies related to electrically propelled vehicles; (5) the International Journal of Hydrogen Energy and SAE Technical Papers are the two most important sources of knowledge diffusion. This study concludes by outlining the knowledge map and directions for further research.
Optimising Renewable Generation Configurations of Off-grid Green Ammonia Production System Considering Haber-Bosch Flexibility
Feb 2023
Publication
Green ammonia has received increasing interest for its potential as an energy carrier in the international trade of renewable power. This paper considers the factors that contribute to producing cost-competitive green ammonia from an exporter’s perspective. These factors include renewable resource quality across potential sites operating modes for off-grid plants and seasonal complementarity with trade buyers. The study applies a mixed-integer programming model and uses Australia as a case study because of its excellent solar and wind resources and the potential for synergy between Southern Hemisphere supply and Northern Hemisphere demand. Although renewable resources are unevenly distributed across Australia and present distinct diurnal and seasonal variability modelling shows that most of the pre-identified hydrogen hubs in each state and territory of Australia can produce cost-competitive green ammonia providing the electrolysis and Haber-Bosch processes are partially flexible to cope with the variability of renewables. Flexible operation reduces energy curtailment and leads to lower storage capacity requirements using batteries or hydrogen storage which would otherwise increase system costs. In addition an optimised combination of wind and solar can reduce the magnitude of storage required. Providing that a partially flexible Haber Bosch plant is commercially available the modelling shows a levelised cost of ammonia (LCOA) of AU$756/tonne and AU$659/tonne in 2025 and 2030 respectively. Based on these results green ammonia would be cost-competitive with grey ammonia in 2030 given a feedstock natural gas price higher than AU$14/MBtu. For green ammonia to be cost-competitive with grey ammonia assuming a lower gas price of AU$6/MBtu a carbon price would need to be in place of at least AU$123/tonne. Given that there is a greater demand for energy in winter concurrent with lower solar power production there may be opportunities for solar-based Southern Hemisphere suppliers to supply the major industrial regions most of which are located in the Northern Hemisphere.
From Grey to Green and from West to East: The Geography and Innovation Trajectories of Hydrogen Fuel Technologies
May 2023
Publication
Despite the potential of hydrogen as a sustainable energy carrier existing studies analysing the recent evolution of this technology are scattered typically focusing on a specific type of hydrogen technology within a single country or region. In this paper we adopt a broader perspective providing an overview of the evolution of knowledge generation across different types of hydrogen fuel and the leading countries in developing new technologies in this field. Using data from the European Patent Office we map knowledge generation on hydrogen fuel technologies exploring its geographic distribution and its link with environmental sustainability. While the United States leads the generation of new knowledge other Asian and European countries show greater dynamism in growth and specialisation. Our study shows that although hydrogen fuel is considered environmentally friendly most recent technological developments are still related to fossil energy sources. However a faster growth rate is observed in the knowledge of hydrogen fuel from renewable sources pointing to a promising path towards sustainability. Moreover our analysis of the knowledge interconnection between different hydrogen types suggests that those technologies developed for hydrogen based on fossil energy sources have enabled novel applications based on renewable energies.
Agreement for the Low Carbon Hydrogen Production Business Model
Dec 2022
Publication
The Heads of Terms for the Low Carbon Hydrogen Agreement sets out the government’s proposal for the final hydrogen production business model design. It will form the basis of the Low Carbon Hydrogen Agreement the business model contract between the government appointed counterparty and a low carbon hydrogen producer.<br/>The business model will provide revenue support to hydrogen producers to overcome the operating cost gap between low carbon hydrogen and high carbon fuels. It has been designed to incentivise investment in low carbon hydrogen production and use and in doing so deliver the government’s ambition of up to 10GW of low carbon hydrogen production capacity by 2030.
Exergy and Exergoeconomic Analysis for the Proton Exchange Membrane Water Electrolysis under Various Operating Conditions and Design Parameters
Nov 2022
Publication
Integrating the exergy and economic analyses of water electrolyzers is the pivotal way to comprehend the interplay of system costs and improve system performance. For this a 3D numerical model based on COMSOL Multiphysics Software (version 5.6 COMSOL Stockholm Sweden) is integrated with the exergy and exergoeconomic analysis to evaluate the exergoeconomic performance of the proton exchange membrane water electrolysis (PEMWE) under different operating conditions (operating temperature cathode pressure current density) and design parameter (membrane thickness). Further the gas crossover phenomenon is investigated to estimate the impact of gas leakage on analysis reliability under various conditions and criteria. The results reveal that increasing the operating temperature or decreasing the membrane thickness improves both the efficiency and cost of hydrogen exergy while increasing the gas leakage through the membrane. Likewise raising the current density and the cathode pressure lowers the hydrogen exergy cost and improves the economic performance. The increase in exergy destroyed and hydrogen exergy cost as well as the decline in second law efficiency due to the gas crossover are more noticeable at higher pressures. As the cathode pressure rises from 1 to 30 bar at a current density of 10000 A/m2 the increase in exergy destroyed and hydrogen exergy cost as well as the decline in second law efficiency are increased by 37.6 kJ/mol 4.49 USD/GJ and 7.1% respectively. The cheapest green electricity source which is achieved using onshore wind energy and hydropower reduces hydrogen production costs and enhances economic efficiency. The growth in the hydrogen exergy cost is by about 4.23 USD/GJ for a 0.01 USD/kWh increase in electricity price at the current density of 20000 A/m2. All findings would be expected to be quite useful for researchers engaged in the design development and optimization of PEMWE.
Identifying and Analysing Important Model Assumptions: Combining Techno-economic and Political Feasibility of Deep Decarbonisation Pathways in Norway
Mar 2024
Publication
Understanding the political feasibility of transition pathways is a key issue in energy transitions. Policy changes are a significant source of uncertainty in energy system optimisation modelling. Energy system models are nevertheless continuously being updated to reflect policy signals as realistically as possible. Using the concept of transition pathways as a starting point this cross-disciplinary study combines energy system optimization modelling with political feasibility of different transition pathways. This combination generates insights into key political decision points in the ongoing energy transition. Resting on actor support structure and political feasibility of four main pathway categories (electrification hydrogen biomass and energy efficiency) we identify critical model assumptions that are politically significant and impact model outcome. Then by replacing the critical assumptions with technical limitations we model a scenario that is unrestrained by assumptions about policy we identify areas where political choices are key to model outcomes. The combination of actor preferences and modelled energy system consequences enables the identification of future key decision points. We find that there is considerable support for electrification as the main pathway to net-zero. The implications of widespread electrification in terms of energy production and grid capacity lead us to identify challenging policy decisions with implications for the energy transition.
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