Netherlands

The paper shows the latest developments of Gexcon’s consequence modelling software EFFECTS with validation based on hydrogen experimental data for different storage conditions and scenarios including liquid hydrogen two-phase jet releases. The effect of atmospheric turbulence on the dispersion and potential worst-case scenarios of hydrogen which are very different from heavy gas releases are discussed. Beside validation for gaseous hydrogen releases a validation study for pressurised liquid hydrogen jet releases including a sensitivity analysis is performed and the results are compared with experimental data.

In the quest for a sustainable future energy-intensive industries (EIIs) stand at the forefront of Europe’s decarbonisation mission. Despite their significant emissions footprint the path to comprehensive decarbonisation remains elusive at EU and national levels. This study scrutinises key sectors such as non-ferrous metals steel cement lime chemicals fertilisers ceramics and glass. It maps out their current environmental impact and potential for mitigation through innovative strategies. The analysis spans across Spain Greece Germany and the Netherlands highlighting sector-specific ecosystems and the technological breakthroughs shaping them. It addresses the urgency for the industry-wide adoption of electrification the utilisation of green hydrogen biomass bio-based or synthetic fuels and the deployment of carbon capture utilisation and storage to ensure a smooth transition. Investment decisions in EIIs will depend on predictable economic and regulatory landscapes. This analysis discusses the risks associated with continued investment in high-emission technologies which may lead to premature decommissioning and significant economic repercussions. It presents a dichotomy: invest in climate-neutral technologies now or face the closure and offshoring of operations later with consequences for employment. This open discussion concludes that while the technology for near-complete climate neutrality in EIIs exists and is rapidly advancing the higher costs compared to conventional methods pose a significant barrier. Without the ability to pass these costs to consumers the adoption of such technologies is stifled. Therefore it calls for decisive political commitment to support the industry’s transition ensuring a greener more resilient future for Europe’s industrial backbone.

The large-scale integration of renewable energy sources leads to daily and seasonal mismatches between supply and demand and the curtailment of wind power. Hydrogen produced from surplus wind power offers an attractive solution to these challenges. In this paper we consider a large offshore wind park and analyze the need for hydrogen storage at the onshore and offshore sides of a large transportation pipeline that connects the wind park to the mainland. The results show that the pipeline with line pack storage though important for day-to-day fluctuations will not offer sufficient storage capacity to bridge seasonal differences. Furthermore the results show that if the pipeline is sufficiently sized additional storage is only needed on one side of the pipeline which would limit the needed investments. Results show that the policy which determines what part of the wind power is fed into the electricity grid and what part is converted into hydrogen has a significant influence on these seasonal storage needs. Therefore investment decisions for hydrogen systems should be made by considering both the onshore and offshore storage requirements in combination with electricity transport to the mainland.

This paper presents a method for estimating Well-to-Wheel (WTW) energy use and greenhouse gas (GHG) emissions attributed to the advanced railway propulsion systems implemented in conjunction with different energy carriers and their production pathways. The analysis encompasses diesel-electric multiple unit vehicles converted to their hybrid-electric plug-in hybrid-electric fuel cell hybrid-electric or battery-electric counterparts combined with biodiesel or hydrotreated vegetable oil (HVO) as the first and second generation biofuels liquefied natural gas (LNG) hydrogen and/or electricity. The method is demonstrated using non-electrified regional railway network with heterogeneous vehicle fleet in the Netherlands as a case. Battery-electric system utilizing green electricity is identified as the only configuration leading to emission-free transport while offering the highest energy use reduction by 65–71% compared to the current diesel-powered hybrid-electric system. When using grey electricity based on the EU2030 production mix these savings are reduced to about 27–39% in WTW energy use and around 68–73% in WTW GHG emissions. Significant reductions in overall energy use and emissions are obtained for the plug-in hybrid-electric concept when combining diesel LNG or waste cooking oil-based HVO with electricity. The remaining configurations that reduce energy use and GHG emissions are hybrid-electric systems running on LNG or HVO from waste cooking oil. The latter led to approximately 88% lower WTW emissions than the baseline for each vehicle type. When produced from natural gas or EU2030-mix-based electrolysis hydrogen negatively affected both aspects irrespective of the prime mover technology. However when produced via green electricity it offers a GHG reduction of approximately 90% for hybrid-electric and fuel cell hybrid-electric configurations with a further reduction of up to 92–93% if combined with green electricity in plug-in hybrid-electric systems. The results indicate that HVO from waste cooking oil could be an effective and instantly implementable transition solution towards carbon–neutral regional trains allowing for a smooth transition and development of supporting infrastructure required for more energy-efficient and environment-friendly technologies.

Salt caverns have great potential to store relevant amounts of hydrogen as part of the energy transition. However the durability and suitability of commonly used steels for piping in hydrogen salt caverns is still under research. In this work aging effects focusing on corrosion and cracking patterns of casing steel API 5CT J55 and “H2ready” pipeline steel API 5L X56 were investigated with scanning electron microscopy and energy dispersive X-ray spectroscopy after accelerated stress tests with pressure/temperature cycling under hydrogen salt cavern-like conditions. Compared to dry conditions significant more corrosion by presence of salt ions was detected. However compared to X56 only for J55 an intensification of corrosion and cracking at the surface due to hydrogen atmosphere was revealed. Pronounced surface cracks were observed for J55 over the entire samples. Overall the results strongly suggest that X56 is more resistant than J55 under the conditions of a hydrogen salt cavern.

Future power systems in which generation will come almost entirely from variable Renewable Energy Sources (vRES) will be characterized by weather-driven supply and flexible demand. In a simulation of the future Dutch power system we analyze whether there are sufficient incentives for market-driven investors to provide a sufficient level of security of supply considering the profit-seeking and myopic behavior of investors. We cosimulate two agent-based models (ABM) one for generation expansion and one for the operational time scale. The results suggest that in a system with a high share of vRES and flexibility prices will be set predominantly by the demand’s willingness to pay particularly by the opportunity cost of flexible hydrogen electrolyzers. The demand for electric heating could double the price of electricity in winter compared to summer and in years with low vRES could cause shortages. Simulations with stochastic weather profiles increase the year-to-year variability of cost recovery by more than threefold and the year-to-year price variability by more than tenfold compared to a scenario with no weather uncertainty. Dispatchable technologies have the most volatile annual returns due to high scarcity rents during years of low vRES production and diminished returns during years with high vRES production. We conclude that in a highly renewable EOM investors would not have sufficient incentives to ensure the reliability of the system. If they invested in such a way to ensure that demand could be met in a year with the lowest vRES yield they would not recover their fixed costs in the majority of years.

Although hydrogen is increasingly seen as a crucial energy carrier in future zero-carbon energy system a profitable exploitation of electrolysers requires still high amounts of subsidies. To analyze the profitability of electrolysers attention has to be paid not only to the costs but also to the interaction between electricity and hydrogen markets. Using a model of internationally integrated electricity and hydrogen markets this paper analyses the profitability of electrolysers plants in various future market circumstances. We find that in particular the future supply of renewable electricity the demand for electricity as well as the prices of natural gas and carbon strongly affect the profitability of electrolysis. In order to make massive investments in electrolysers profitable with significantly lower subsidy requirements the amount of renewable electricity generation needs to grow strongly and the carbon prices should be higher while the demand for electricity should not increase accordingly. This research underscores the critical role of market conditions in shaping the viability of hydrogen electrolysis providing valuable insights for policymakers and stakeholders in the transition to a zero-carbon energy system.

The number of species and elementary reactions needed for describing the oxidation of fuels increases with the size of the molecule and in turn the complexity of detailed mechanisms. Although the kinetics for conventional fuels (H2 CH4 C3H8...) are somewhat well-established chemical integration in detonation applications remains a major challenge. Significant efforts have been made to develop reduction techniques that aim to keep the predictive capabilities of detailed mechanisms intact while minimizing the number of species and reactions required. However as their starting point of development is based on homogeneous reactors or ZND profiles reduced mechanisms comprising a few species and reactions are not predictive. The methodology presented here relies on defining virtual chemical species such that the thermodynamic equilibrium of the ZND structure is properly recovered thereby circumventing the need to account for minor intermediate species. A classical asymptotic expression relating the ignition delay time with the reaction rate constant is then used to fit the Arrhenius coefficients targeting computations carried out with detailed kinetics. The methodology was extended to develop a three-step mechanism in which the Arrhenius coefficients were optimized to accurately reproduce the one-dimensional laminar ZND structure and the D−κ curves for slightly-curved quasi-steady detonation waves. Two-dimensional simulations performed with the three-step mechanism successfully reproduce the spectrum of length scales present in soot foils computed with detailed kinetics (i.e. cell regularity and size). Results attest for the robustness of the proposed methodology/approximation and its flexibility to be adapted to different configurations.