United Kingdom
The Fourth Carbon Budget Review – Part 1 Assessment of Climate Risk and the International Response
Nov 2013
Publication
This is the first document of a two-part review of the Fourth Carbon Budget which covers 2023 to 2027. The Fourth Carbon Budget agreed by the Government in June 2011 was scheduled to be reviewed in 2014. The second part of the review is available here: The Fourth Carbon Budget Review – part 2: the cost effective path to the 2050 target (December 2013).<br/>According to the Climate Change Act 2008 carbon budgets can only be altered if there is a significant change in circumstances upon which the budget was set. Any such change in circumstances must be demonstrated through evidence and analysis.<br/>The Fourth Carbon Budget Review – part 1 focuses on developments in three categories of circumstance on which the budget was set: climate science international circumstances and European Union pathways. The report also looks at findings by the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change and assesses the implications for carbon budgets.
Quantifying Greenhouse Gas Emissions
Apr 2017
Publication
In this report Quantifying Greenhouse Gas Emissions the Committee on Climate Change assesses how the UK’s greenhouse gas emissions are quantified where uncertainties lie and the implications for setting carbon budgets and measuring progress against climate change targets. The report finds that:
- The methodology for constructing the UK’s greenhouse gas inventory is rigorous but the process for identifying improvements could be strengthened.
- There is high confidence over large parts of the inventory. A small number of sectors contribute most to uncertainty and research efforts should be directed at improving these estimates.
- UK greenhouse gas emissions for 2014 were within ±3% of the estimated level with 95% confidence which is a low level of uncertainty by international standards.
- Methodology revisions in recent years have tended to increase estimated emissions but these changes have been within uncertainty margins.
- Statistical uncertainty in the current greenhouse gas inventory is low but could rise in future.
- Uncertainty also arises from sources of emissions not currently included in the inventory and from potential changes to IPCC guidelines.
- Independent external validation of greenhouse gas emissions is important and new monitoring techniques should be encouraged.
- Government should continue to monitor consumption-based greenhouse gas estimates and support continued research to improve methodology and reduce uncertainty in these estimates.
UK Business Opportunities of Moving to a Low-carbon Economy
Mar 2017
Publication
The following report accompanies the Committee on Climate Change’s 2017 report on energy prices and bills. It was written by Ricardo Energy and Environment.
The report provides an analysis of the opportunities to UK businesses to supply global markets with low carbon materials and goods and services. The report considers: the position of the current UK low carbon economy the size of the market opportunity for UK businesses in 2030 and 2050 the barriers to UK business capturing a larger share of the global market the opportunity to increase the UK’s share of future global markets
Link to Document
The report provides an analysis of the opportunities to UK businesses to supply global markets with low carbon materials and goods and services. The report considers: the position of the current UK low carbon economy the size of the market opportunity for UK businesses in 2030 and 2050 the barriers to UK business capturing a larger share of the global market the opportunity to increase the UK’s share of future global markets
Link to Document
Meeting Carbon Budgets – 2014 Progress Report to Parliament
Jul 2014
Publication
This is our sixth statutory report to Parliament on progress towards meeting carbon budgets. In it we consider the latest data on emissions and their drivers. This year the report also includes a full assessment of how the first carbon budget (2008-2012) was met drawing out policy lessons and setting out what is required for the future to stay on track for the legislated carbon budgets and the 2050 target. The report includes assessment at the level of the economy the non-traded and traded sectors the key emitting sectors and the devolved administrations. Whilst the first carbon budget has been met and progress made on development and implementation of some policies the main conclusion is that strengthening of policies will be needed to meet future budgets.
Progressing the Gas Goes Green Roadmap to Net Zero Webinar
Dec 2021
Publication
The Gas Goes Green Programme developed by the gas networks and the Energy Networks Association (ENA) describes a viable pathway to the injection of hydrogen and biomethane as a practical step towards the decarbonisation of the UK gas sector and will play a key role in the UK’s Net Zero energy strategy. It therefore follows that technical and management teams in the supply chain and related industries will need a sound understanding of the issues surrounding this deployment. This video shares the industry’s progress towards implementing the Gas Goes Green programme. Presenters including Oliver Lancaster CEO IGEM Dr Thomas Koller Programme Lead Gas Goes Green at the Energy Network Association (ENA) and Ian McCluskey CEng FIMechE FIGEM Head of Technical and Policy IGEM share their views on what has already been achieved and explain what they feel still needs to be done to develop the decarbonised gas network of tomorrow.
Reducing UK Emissions Progress Report to Parliament
Jun 2020
Publication
This is the Committee’s 2020 report to Parliament assessing progress in reducing UK emissions over the past year. This year the report includes new advice to the UK Government on securing a green and resilient recovery following the COVID-19 pandemic. The Committee’s new analysis expands on its May 2020 advice to the UK Prime Minister in which it set out the principles for building a resilient recovery. In its new report the Committee has assessed a wide set of measures and gathered the latest evidence on the role of climate policies in the economic recovery. Its report highlights five clear investment priorities in the months ahead:
- Low-carbon retrofits and buildings that are fit for the future
- Tree planting peatland restoration and green infrastructure
- Energy networks must be strengthened
- Infrastructure to make it easy for people to walk cycle and work remotely
- Moving towards a circular economy.
- Reskilling and retraining programmes
- Leading a move towards positive behaviours
- Targeted science and innovation funding
Sectoral Scenarios for the Fifth Carbon Budget
Nov 2015
Publication
This report forms part of the Committee’s advice on the level of the fifth carbon budget.<br/>The report describes the scenarios used by the Committee to inform its judgements over the cost-effective path to meeting the UK’s greenhouse reduction targets in the period 2028-2032.
Digital Navigation of Energy–structure–function Maps for Hydrogen-bonded Porous Molecular Crystals
Feb 2021
Publication
Energy–structure–function (ESF) maps can aid the targeted discovery of porous molecular crystals by predicting the stable crystalline arrangements along with their functions of interest. Here we compute ESF maps for a series of rigid molecules that comprise either a triptycene or a spiro-biphenyl core functionalized with six different hydrogen-bonding moieties. We show that the positioning of the hydrogen-bonding sites as well as their number has a profound influence on the shape of the resulting ESF maps revealing promising structure–function spaces for future experiments. We also demonstrate a simple and general approach to representing and inspecting the high-dimensional data of an ESF map enabling an efficient navigation of the ESF data to identify ‘landmark’ structures that are energetically favourable or functionally interesting. This is a step toward the automated analysis of ESF maps an important goal for closed-loop autonomous searches for molecular crystals with useful functions.
Reducing Emissions in Scotland – 2016 Progress Report
Sep 2016
Publication
This is the Committee’s fifth report on Scotland’s progress towards meeting emission reduction targets as requested by Scottish Ministers under the Climate Change (Scotland) Act 2009.<br/>The Scottish Act sets a long-term target to reduce emissions of greenhouse gases (GHGs) by at least 80% in 2050 relative to 1990 with an interim target to reduce emissions by 42% in 2020. Secondary legislation passed in October 2010 and October 2011 also set a series of annual emission reduction targets for 2010 to 2022 and 2023 to 2027 respectively. We advised the Scottish Government on annual targets for the period 2028 to 2032 in March 2016 and July 2016.<br/>The report reveals that Scotland’s annual emissions reduction target for 2014 was met with gross Scottish greenhouse gas emissions including international aviation and shipping falling by 8.6% in 2014. This compares to a 7.3% fall for the UK as a whole. Since 1990 gross Scottish emissions have fallen nearly 40% compared to nearly 33% at a UK level.
Hydrogen in Aluminium-Coated Steels Exposed to Synthetic Seawater
Jul 2020
Publication
Thermally sprayed aluminium (TSA) coatings provide protection to offshore steel structures without the use of external cathodic protection (CP) systems. These coatings provide sacrificial protection in the same way as a galvanic anode and thus hydrogen embrittlement (HE) becomes a major concern with the use of high strength steels. The effect of TSA on the HE of steel seems to remain largely unknown. Further the location of hydrogen in TSA-coated steel has not been explored. To address the above knowledge gap API 5L X80 and AISI 4137 steel coupons with and without TSA were prepared and the amount of hydrogen present in these steels when cathodically polarised to −1.1 V (Ag/AgCl) for 30 days in synthetic seawater was determined. One set of TSA-coated specimens was left at open circuit potential (OCP). The study indicates that the amount of hydrogen present in TSA-coated steel is ~100 times more than the amount found in uncoated steel and that the hydrogen seems to be largely localised in the TSA layer.
Towards Hydrogen Safety Education and Training
Sep 2005
Publication
The onset and further development of the hydrogen economy are known to be constrained by safety barriers as well as by the level of public acceptance of new applications. Educational and training programmes in hydrogen safety which are currently absent in Europe are considered to be a key instrument in lifting these limitations and to ensure the safe introduction of hydrogen as an energy carrier. Therefore the European Network of Excellence ‘Safety of Hydrogen as an Energy Carrier’ (NoE HySafe) embarked on the establishment of the e-Academy of Hydrogen Safety. This work is led by the University of Ulster and carried out in cooperation with international partners from five other universities (Universidad Politecnica de Madrid Spain; University of Pisa Italy; Warsaw University of Technology Poland; Instituto Superior Technico Portugal; University of Calgary Canada) two research institutions (Forschungszentrum Karlsruhe and Forschungszentrum Juelich Germany) and one enterprise (GexCon Norway). The development of an International Curriculum on Hydrogen Safety Engineering aided by world-class experts from within and outside NoE HySafe is of central importance to the establishment of the e-Academy of Hydrogen Safety. Despite its key role in identifying the knowledge framework of the subject matter and its role in aiding educators with the development of teaching programmes on hydrogen safety no such curriculum appears to have been developed previously. The current structure of the International Curriculum on Hydrogen Safety Engineering and the motivation behind it are described in this paper. Future steps in the development of a system of hydrogen safety education and training in Europe are briefly described.
The Techno-economics Potential of Hydrogen Interconnectors for Electrical Energy Transmission and Storage
Dec 2021
Publication
This research introduces a ‘Hydrogen Interconnector System’ (HIS) as a novel method 7 for transporting electrical energy over long distances. The system takes electricity from 8 stranded renewable energy assets converts it to hydrogen in an electrolyser plant transports 9 hydrogen to the demand centre via pipeline where it is reconverted to electricity in either a 10 gas turbine or fuel cell plant. This paper evaluates the competitiveness of the technology with 11 High Voltage Direct Current (HVDC) systems calculating the following techno-economic 12 indicators; Levelised Cost Of Electricity (LCOE) and Levelised Cost Of Storage (LCOS). The 13 results suggest that the LCOE of the HIS is competitive with HVDC for construction in 2050 14 with distance beyond 350km in case of all scenarios for a 1GW system. The LCOS is lower 15 than an HVDC system using large scale hydrogen storage in 6 out of 12 scenarios analysed 16 including for construction from 2025. The HIS was also applied to three case studies with 17 the results showing that the system outperforms HVDC from LCOS perspectives in all cases 18 and has 15-20% lower investment costs in 2 studies analysed.
Pathways to Net-Zero: Decarbonising the Gas Networks in Great Britain
Oct 2019
Publication
Natural gas plays a central role in the UK energy system today but it is also a significant source of greenhouse gas (GHG) emissions. The UK committed in 2008 to reduce GHG emissions by at least 80% compared to 1990 levels by 2050. In June 2019 a more ambitious target was adopted into law and the UK became the first major economy to commit to “net-zero” emissions by 2050. In this context the Energy Networks Association (ENA) commissioned Navigant to explore the role that the gas sector can play in the decarbonisation of the Great Britain (GB) energy system. In this report we demonstrate that low carbon and renewable gases can make a fundamental contribution to the decarbonisation pathway between now and 2050.
Theoretical Insights into the Hydrogen Evolution Reaction on the Ni3N Electrocatalyst
Jun 2021
Publication
Ni-based catalysts are attractive alternatives to noble metal electrocatalysts for the hydrogen evolution reaction (HER). Herein we present a dispersion-corrected density functional theory (DFT-D3) insight into HER activity on the (111) (110) (001) and (100) surfaces of metallic nickel nitride (Ni3N). A combination of water and hydrogen adsorption was used to model the electrode interactions within the water splitting cell. Surface energies were used to characterise the stabilities of the Ni3N surfaces along with adsorption energies to determine preferable sites for adsorbate interactions. The surface stability order was found to be (111) < (100) < (001) < (110) with calculated surface energies of 2.10 2.27 2.37 and 2.38 Jm−2 respectively. Water adsorption was found to be exothermic at all surfaces and most favourable on the (111) surface with Eads = −0.79 eV followed closely by the (100) (110) and (001) surfaces at −0.66 −0.65 and −0.56 eV respectively. The water splitting reaction was investigated at each surface to determine the rate determining Volmer step and the activation energies (Ea) for alkaline HER which has thus far not been studied in detail for Ni3N. The Ea values for water splitting on the Ni3N surfaces were predicted in the order (001) < (111) < (110) < (100) which were 0.17 0.73 1.11 and 1.60 eV respectively overall showing the (001) surface to be most active for the Volmer step of water dissociation. Active hydrogen adsorption sites are also presented for acidic HER evaluated through the ΔGH descriptor. The (110) surface was shown to have an extremely active Ni–N bridging site with ΔGH = −0.05 eV.
PRD Hydrogen Release and Dispersion, a Comparison of CFD Results Obtained from Using Ideal and Real Gas Law Properties.
Sep 2005
Publication
In this paper CFD techniques were applied to the simulations of hydrogen release from a 400-bar tank to ambient through a Pressure Relieve Device (PRD) 6 mm (¼”) opening. The numerical simulations using the TOPAZ software developed by Sandia National Laboratory addressed the changes of pressure density and flow rate variations at the leak orifice during release while the PHOENICS software package predicted extents of various hydrogen concentration envelopes as well as the velocities of gas mixture for the dispersion in the domain. The Abel-Noble equation of state (AN-EOS) was incorporated into the CFD model implemented through the TOPAZ and PHOENICS software to accurately predict the real gas properties for hydrogen release and dispersion under high pressures. The numerical results were compared with those obtained from using the ideal gas law and it was found that the ideal gas law overestimates the hydrogen mass release rates by up to 35% during the first 25 seconds of release. Based on the findings the authors recommend that a real gas equation of state be used for CFD predictions of high-pressure PRD releases.
High-stability, High-capacity Oxygen Carriers: Iron Oxide-perovskite Composite Materials for Hydrogen Production by Chemical Looping
Jun 2015
Publication
Iron oxide has been widely used as an oxygen carrier material (OCM) for hydrogen production by chemical looping due to its favourable thermodynamic properties. In spite of this iron oxide loses much of its activity after redox cycling mainly due to sintering and agglomeration. Perovskites such as La0.7Sr0.3FeO3-d (LSF731) have been suggested as potential candidate OCMs for hydrogen production due to their excellent oxygen transport properties and stability under cycling. However hydrogen production per cycle for a similar carrier weight is lower than with iron oxide. This work proposes the use of composite OCMs made of iron oxide clusters embedded in an LSF731 matrix. The perovskite matrix facilitates oxygen transport to the iron oxide clusters while preventing agglomeration. Two preparation methods mechanical mixing and a modified Pechini method were used to obtain composite materials with different iron oxide weight fractions 11 and 30 wt.%. The reactivity of these OCMs was studied in a thermogravimetric analyser. Hydrogen production and carrier stability were investigated in a microreactor over 25 redox cycles while periodically feeding carbon monoxide and water in order to produce carbon dioxide and hydrogen in separate streams. Hydrogen production was stable over 25 cycles for LSF731 and the composite OCM with 30 wt.% iron oxide produced by the modified Pechini method but iron oxide particles alone underwent a decrease in the hydrogen production with cycling. The hydrogen production during the 25th cycle was eight times higher for the composite material than for iron oxide alone and four times higher than for LSF731. The hydrogen production was therefore also higher than that expected from a simple combination of the iron oxide and LSF731 alone indicating a synergetic effect whereby the LSF731 may have a higher effective oxygen capacity when in the form of the composite material.
Statistics, Lessons Learned and Recommendations from Analysis of HIAD 2.0 Database
Mar 2022
Publication
The manuscript firstly describes the data collection and validation process for the European Hydrogen Incidents and Accidents Database (HIAD 2.0) a public repository tool collecting systematic data on hydrogen-related incidents and near-misses. This is followed by an overview of HIAD 2.0 which currently contains 706 events. Subsequently the approaches and procedures followed by the authors to derive lessons learned and formulate recommendations from the events are described. The lessons learned have been divided into four categories including system design; system manufacturing installation and modification; human factors and emergency response. An overarching lesson learned is that minor events which occurred simultaneously could still result in serious consequences echoing James Reason's Swiss Cheese theory. Recommendations were formulated in relation to the established safety principles adapted for hydrogen by the European Hydrogen Safety Panel considering operational modes industrial sectors and human factors. This work provide an important contribution to the safety of systems involving hydrogen benefitting technical safety engineers emergency responders and emergency services. The lesson learned and the discussion derived from the statistics can also be used in training and risk assessment studies being of equal importance to promote and assist the development of sound safety culture in organisations.
Effect of Hydrogen-diesel Fuel Co-combustion on Exhaust Emissions with Verification Using an Inecylinder Gas Sampling Technique
Aug 2014
Publication
The paper presents an experimental investigation of hydrogen-diesel fuel co-combustion carried out on a naturally aspirated direct injection diesel engine. The engine was supplied with a range of hydrogen-diesel fuel mixture proportions to study the effect of hydrogen addition (aspirated with the intake air) on combustion and exhaust emissions. The tests were performed at fixed diesel injection periods with hydrogen added to vary the engine load between 0 and 6 bar IMEP. In addition a novel inecylinder gas sampling technique was employed to measure species concentrations in the engine cylinder at two inecylinder locations and at various instants during the combustion process. The results showed a decrease in the particulates CO and THC emissions and a slight increase in CO2 emissions with the addition of hydrogen with fixed diesel fuel injection periods. NOx emissions increased steeply with hydrogen addition but only when the combined diesel and hydrogen co-combustion temperatures exceeded the threshold temperature for NOx formation. The inecylinder gas sampling results showed higher NOx levels between adjacent spray cones in comparison to sampling within an individual spray cone.
Net Zero – Technical Report
May 2019
Publication
This technical report accompanies the ‘Net Zero’ advice report which is the Committee’s recommendation to the UK Government and Devolved Administrations on the date for a net-zero emissions target in the UK and revised long-term targets in Scotland and Wales.<br/>The conclusions in our advice report are supported by detailed analysis that has been carried out for each sector of the economy plus consideration of F-gas emissions and greenhouse gas removals. The purpose of this technical report is to lay out that analysis.
Prediction of Third Party Damage Failure Frequency for Pipelines Transporting Mixtures of Natural Gas and Hydrogen
Sep 2009
Publication
As Europe is gradually moving towards a hydrogen based society it has been acknowledged that adding certain amount of hydrogen as a clean energy carrier to the existing natural gas pipeline will help reduce the CO2 emissions which contribute to the greenhouse effect. On the other hand hydrogen has been demonstrated to be able to change the behaviour of the pipeline steel such as lower toughness and faster crack growth due to hydrogen embrittlement. Therefore it is necessary that the risks associated with the failure of the pipeline carrying mixtures of natural gas and hydrogen be assessed.<br/>The study reported in this paper is part of European NATURALHY project whose aim is to investigate the possibility of using the existing natural gas transmission pipelines to convey natural gas/hydrogen mixtures. According to the EGIG database the most common cause of failure for the existing natural gas pipelines is third party damage which mainly refers to a gouge a dent/gouge combination of known geometry. Among third party damage failures 90% are the result of immediate failure i.e. leakage or rupture of the pipeline and only 10% of them are the result of delayed failure. While its not expected that hydrogen will impact the immediate failure it could increase the vulnerability of the pipe to delayed failure through the initiation or activation of crack like defects.<br/>This paper will present a methodology to predict the probability of increased failures and describe a software tool that has been developed to perform the calculations.
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