Germany
Alkaline Water Electrolysis Powered by Renewable Energy: A Review
Feb 2020
Publication
Alkaline water electrolysis is a key technology for large-scale hydrogen production powered by renewable energy. As conventional electrolyzers are designed for operation at fixed process conditions the implementation of fluctuating and highly intermittent renewable energy is challenging. This contribution shows the recent state of system descriptions for alkaline water electrolysis and renewable energies such as solar and wind power. Each component of a hydrogen energy system needs to be optimized to increase the operation time and system efficiency. Only in this way can hydrogen produced by electrolysis processes be competitive with the conventional path based on fossil energy sources. Conventional alkaline water electrolyzers show a limited part-load range due to an increased gas impurity at low power availability. As explosive mixtures of hydrogen and oxygen must be prevented a safety shutdown is performed when reaching specific gas contamination. Furthermore the cell voltage should be optimized to maintain a high efficiency. While photovoltaic panels can be directly coupled to alkaline water electrolyzers wind turbines require suitable converters with additional losses. By combining alkaline water electrolysis with hydrogen storage tanks and fuel cells power grid stabilization can be performed. As a consequence the conventional spinning reserve can be reduced which additionally lowers the carbon dioxide emissions.
Cost Benefits of Optimizing Hydrogen Storage and Methanation Capacities for Power-to-Gas Plants in Dynamic Operation
Oct 2019
Publication
Power-to-Gas technologies offer a promising approach for converting renewable electricity into a molecular form (fuel) to serve the energy demands of non-electric energy applications in all end-use sectors. The technologies have been broadly developed and are at the edge of a mass roll-out. The barriers that Power-to-Gas faces are no longer technical but are foremost regulatory and economic. This study focuses on a Power-to-Gas pathway where electricity is first converted in a water electrolyzer into hydrogen which is then synthetized with carbon dioxide to produce synthetic natural gas. A key aspect of this pathway is that an intermittent electricity supply could be used which could reduce the amount of electricity curtailment from renewable energy generation. Interim storages would then be necessary to decouple the synthesized part from hydrogen production to enable (I) longer continuous operation cycles for the methanation reactor and (II) increased annual full-load hours leading to an overall reduction in gas production costs. This work optimizes a Power-to-Gas plant configuration with respect to the cost benefits using a Monte Carlo-based simulation tool. The results indicate potential cost reductions of up to 17% in synthetic natural gas production by implementing well-balanced components and interim storages. This study also evaluates three different power sources which differ greatly in their optimal system configuration. Results from time-resolved simulations and sensitivity analyses for different plant designs and electricity sources are discussed with respect to technical and economic implications so as to facilitate a plant design process for decision makers.
Decarbonizing China’s Energy System – Modeling the Transformation of the Electricity, Transportation, Heat, and Industrial Sectors
Nov 2019
Publication
Growing prosperity among its population and an inherent increasing demand for energy complicate China’s target of combating climate change while maintaining its economic growth. This paper therefore describes three potential decarbonization pathways to analyze different effects for the electricity transport heating and industrial sectors until 2050. Using an enhanced version of the multi-sectoral open-source Global Energy System Model enables us to assess the impact of different CO2 budgets on the upcoming energy system transformation. A detailed provincial resolution allows for the implementation of regional characteristics and disparities within China. Conclusively we complement the model-based analysis with a quantitative assessment of current barriers for the needed transformation. Results indicate that overall energy system CO2 emissions and in particular coal usage have to be reduced drastically to meet (inter-) national climate targets. Specifically coal consumption has to decrease by around 60% in 2050 compared to 2015. The current Nationally Determined Contributions proposed by the Chinese government of peaking emissions in 2030 are therefore not sufficient to comply with a global CO2 budget in line with the Paris Agreement. Renewable energies in particular photovoltaics and onshore wind profit from decreasing costs and can provide a more sustainable and cheaper energy source. Furthermore increased stakeholder interactions and incentives are needed to mitigate the resistance of local actors against a low-carbon transformation.
Seasonal Storage and Alternative Carriers: A Flexible Hydrogen Supply Chain Model
May 2017
Publication
A viable hydrogen infrastructure is one of the main challenges for fuel cells in mobile applications. Several studies have investigated the most cost-efficient hydrogen supply chain structure with a focus on hydrogen transportation. However supply chain models based on hydrogen produced by electrolysis require additional seasonal hydrogen storage capacity to close the gap between fluctuation in renewable generation from surplus electricity and fuelling station demand. To address this issue we developed a model that draws on and extends approaches in the literature with respect to long-term storage. Thus we analyse Liquid Organic Hydrogen Carriers (LOHC) and show their potential impact on future hydrogen mobility. We demonstrate that LOHC-based pathways are highly promising especially for smaller-scale hydrogen demand and if storage in salt caverns remains uncompetitive but emit more greenhouse gases (GHG) than other gaseous or hydrogen ones. Liquid hydrogen as a seasonal storage medium offers no advantage compared to LOHC or cavern storage since lower electricity prices for flexible operation cannot balance the investment costs of liquefaction plants. A well-to-wheel analysis indicates that all investigated pathways have less than 30% GHG-emissions compared to conventional fossil fuel pathways within a European framework.
A Novel Framework for Development and Optimisation of Future Electricity Scenarios with High Penetration of Renewables and Storage
May 2019
Publication
Although electricity supply is still dominated by fossil fuels it is expected that renewable sources will have a much larger contribution in the future due to the need to mitigate climate change. Therefore this paper presents a new framework for developing Future Electricity Scenarios (FuturES) with high penetration of renewables. A multi-period linear programming model has been created for power-system expansion planning. This has been coupled with an economic dispatch model PowerGAMA to evaluate the technical and economic feasibility of the developed scenarios while matching supply and demand. Application of FuturES is demonstrated through the case of Chile which has ambitious plans to supply electricity using only renewable sources. Four cost-optimal scenarios have been developed for the year 2050 using FuturES: two Business as usual (BAU) and two Renewable electricity (RE) scenarios. The BAU scenarios are unconstrained in terms of the technology type and can include all 11 options considered. The RE scenarios aim to have only renewables in the mix including storage. The results show that both BAU scenarios have a levelised cost of electricity (LCOE) lower than or equal to today’s costs ($72.7–77.3 vs $77.6/MWh) and include 81–90% of renewables. The RE scenarios are slightly more expensive than today’s costs ($81–87/MWh). The cumulative investment for the BAU scenarios is $123-$145 bn compared to $147-$157 bn for the RE. The annual investment across the scenarios is estimated at $4.0 ± 0.4 bn. Both RE scenarios show sufficient flexibility in matching supply and demand despite solar photovoltaics and wind power contributing around half of the total supply. Therefore the FuturES framework is a powerful tool for aiding the design of cost-efficient power systems with high penetration of renewables.
Liquid Organic Hydrogen Carriers - A Technology to Overcome Common Risks of Hydrogen Storage
Sep 2021
Publication
In transport and storage of hydrogen the risks are mainly seen in its volatile nature its ability to form explosive mixtures with air and the harsh conditions (high pressure or low temperature) for efficient storage. The concept of Liquid Organic Hydrogen Carriers (LOHC) offers a technology to overcome the above mentioned threats. The present submission describes the basics of the LOHC technology. It contains a comparison of a selection of common LOHC materials with a view on physical properties. The advantages of a low viscosity at low temperatures and a high flash point are expressed. LOHCs are also discussed as a concept to import large amounts of energy/hydrogen. A closer look is taken on the environmental and safety aspects of hydrogen storage in LOHCs since here the main differences to pressurized and cryo-storage of hydrogen can be found. The aim of this paper is to provide an overview of the principles of the LOHC technology the different LOHC materials and their risks and opportunities and an impression of a large scale scenario on the basis of the LOHC technology.
Storage System of Renewable Energy Generated Hydrogen for Chemical Industry
Nov 2012
Publication
Chemical industry is the base of the value chains and has strong influence on the competitiveness of almost all branches in economics. To develop the technologies for sustainability and climate protection and at the same time to guarantee the supply of raw material is a big challenge for chemical industry. In the project CO2RRECT (CO2 - Reaction using Regenerative Energies and Catalytic Technologies) funded by the German federal ministry of Education and Research carbon dioxide is used as the source of carbon for chemical products with certain chemical processes. Hydrogen that is needed in these processes is produced by electrolyzing water with renewable energy. To store a large amount of hydrogen different storage systems are studied in this project including liquid hydrogen tanks/cryo tanks high pressure tanks pipelines and salt cavities. These systems are analyzed and compared considering their storage capacity system costs advantages and disadvantages. To analyze capital and operational expenditure of the hydrogen storage systems a calculation methodology is also developed in this work.
Mg-based Materials for Hydrogen Storage
Aug 2021
Publication
Over the last decade’s magnesium and magnesium based compounds have been intensively investigated as potential hydrogen storage as well as thermal energy storage materials due to their abundance and availability as well as their extraordinary high gravimetric and volumetric storage densities. This review work provides a broad overview of the most appealing systems and of their hydrogenation/dehydrogenation properties. Special emphasis is placed on reviewing the efforts made by the scientific community in improving the material’s thermodynamic and kinetic properties while maintaining a high hydrogen storage capacity.
Planning, Optimisation and Evaluation of Small Power-to-Gas-to-Power Systems: Case Study of a German Dairy
May 2022
Publication
In the course of the energy transition distributed hybrid energy systems such as the combination of photovoltaic (PV) and battery storages is increasingly being used for economic and ecological reasons. However renewable electricity generation is highly volatile and storage capacity is usually limited. Nowadays a new storage component is emerging: the power-to-gas-to-power (PtGtP) technology which is able to store electricity in the form of hydrogen even over longer periods of time. Although this technology is technically well understood and developed there are hardly any evaluations and feasibility studies of its widespread integration into current distributed energy systems under realistic legal and economic market conditions. In order to be able to give such an assessment we develop a methodology and model that optimises the sizing and operation of a PtGtP system as part of a hybrid energy system under current German market conditions. The evaluation is based on a multi-criteria approach optimising for both costs and CO2 emissions. For this purpose a brute-force-based optimal design approach is used to determine optimal system sizes combined with the energy system simulation tool oemof.solph. In order to gain further insights into this technology and its future prospects a sensitivity analysis is carried out. The methodology is used to examine the case study of a German dairy and shows that PtGtP is not yet profitable but promising.
Hydrogen Supply Chain Scenarios for the Decarbonisation of a German Multi-modal Energy System
Sep 2021
Publication
Analysing hydrogen supply chains is of utmost importance to adequately understand future energy systems with a high degree of sector coupling. Here a multi-modal energy system model is set up as linear programme incorporating electricity natural gas as well as hydrogen transportation options for Germany in 2050. Further different hydrogen import routes and optimised inland electrolysis are included. In a sensitivity analysis hydrogen demands are varied to cover uncertainties and to provide scenarios for future requirements of a hydrogen supply and transportation infrastructure. 80% of the overall hydrogen demand of 150 TWh/a emerge in Northern Germany due to optimised electrolyser locations and imports which subsequently need to be transported southwards. Therefore a central hydrogen pipeline connection from Schleswig-Holstein to the region of Darmstadt evolves already for moderate demands and appears to be a no-regret investment. Furthermore a natural gas pipeline reassignment potential of 46% is identified.
Transient Reversible Solid Oxide Cell Reactor Operation – Experimentally Validated Modeling and Analysis
Oct 2018
Publication
A reversible solid oxide cell (rSOC) reactor can operate efficiently in both electrolysis mode and in fuel cell mode. The bidirectional operability enables rSOC reactors to play a central role as an efficient energy conversion system for energy storage and sector coupling for a renewable energy driven society. A combined system for electrolysis and fuel cell operation can result in complex system configurations that should be able to switch between the two modes as quickly as possible. This can lead to temperature profiles within the reactor that can potentially lead to the failure of the reactor and eventually the system. Hence the behavior of the reactor during the mode switch should be analyzed and optimal transition strategies should be taken into account during the process system design stage. In this paper a one dimensional transient reversible solid oxide cell model was built and experimentally validated using a commercially available reactor. A simple hydrogen based system model was built employing the validated reactor model to study reactor behavior during the mode switch. The simple design leads to a system efficiency of 49% in fuel cell operation and 87% in electrolysis operation where the electrolysis process is slightly endothermic. Three transient operation strategies were studied. It is shown that the voltage response to transient operation is very fast provided the reactant flows are changed equally fast. A possible solution to ensure a safe mode switch by controlling the reactant inlet temperatures is presented. By keeping the rate of change of reactant inlet temperatures five to ten times slower than the mode switch a safe transition can be ensured.
Demand Side Management Based Power-to-Heat and Power-to-Gas Optimization Strategies for PV and Wind Self-Consumption in a Residential Building Cluster
Oct 2021
Publication
The volatility of renewable energy sources (RES) poses a growing problem for operation of electricity grids. In contrary the necessary decarbonisation of sectors such as heat supply and transport requires a rapid expansion of RES. Load management in the context of power-to-heat systems can help to simultaneously couple the electricity and heat sectors and stabilise the electricity grid thus enabling a higher share of RES. In addition power-to-hydrogen offers the possibility of long-term energy storage options. Within this work we present a novel optimization approach for heat pump operation with the aim to counteract the volatility and enable a higher usage of RES. For this purpose a detailed simulation model of buildings and their energy supply systems is created calibrated and validated based on a plus energy settlement. Subsequently the potential of optimized operation is determined with regard to PV and small wind turbine self-consumption. In addition the potential of seasonal hydrogen storage is examined. The results show that on a daily basis a 33% reduction of electricity demand from grid is possible. However the average optimization potential is reduced significantly by prediction inaccuracy. The addition of a hydrogen system for seasonal energy storage basically eliminates the carbon dioxide emissions of the cluster. However this comes at high carbon dioxide prevention costs of 1.76 e kg−1 .
Technologies and Policies to Decarbonize Global Industry: Review and Assessment of Mitigation Drivers Through 2070
Mar 2020
Publication
Jeffrey Rissman,
Chris Bataille,
Eric Masanet,
Nate Aden,
William R. Morrow III,
Nan Zhou,
Neal Elliott,
Rebecca Dell,
Niko Heeren,
Brigitta Huckestein,
Joe Cresko,
Sabbie A. Miller,
Joyashree Roy,
Paul Fennell,
Betty Cremmins,
Thomas Koch Blank,
David Hone,
Ellen D. Williams,
Stephane de la Rue du Can,
Bill Sisson,
Mike Williams,
John Katzenberger,
Dallas Burtraw,
Girish Sethi,
He Ping,
David Danielson,
Hongyou Lu,
Tom Lorber,
Jens Dinkel and
Jonas Helseth
Fully decarbonizing global industry is essential to achieving climate stabilization and reaching net zero greenhouse gas emissions by 2050–2070 is necessary to limit global warming to 2 °C. This paper assembles and evaluates technical and policy interventions both on the supply side and on the demand side. It identifies measures that employed together can achieve net zero industrial emissions in the required timeframe. Key supply-side technologies include energy efficiency (especially at the system level) carbon capture electrification and zero-carbon hydrogen as a heat source and chemical feedstock. There are also promising technologies specific to each of the three top-emitting industries: cement iron & steel and chemicals & plastics. These include cement admixtures and alternative chemistries several technological routes for zero-carbon steelmaking and novel chemical catalysts and separation technologies. Crucial demand-side approaches include material-efficient design reductions in material waste substituting low-carbon for high-carbon materials and circular economy interventions (such as improving product longevity reusability ease of refurbishment and recyclability). Strategic well-designed policy can accelerate innovation and provide incentives for technology deployment. High-value policies include carbon pricing with border adjustments or other price signals; robust government support for research development and deployment; and energy efficiency or emissions standards. These core policies should be supported by labeling and government procurement of low-carbon products data collection and disclosure requirements and recycling incentives. In implementing these policies care must be taken to ensure a just transition for displaced workers and affected communities. Similarly decarbonization must complement the human and economic development of low- and middle-income countries.
Thermodynamic and Ecological Preselection of Synthetic Fuel Intermediates from Biogas at Farm Sites
Jan 2020
Publication
Background: Synthetic fuels based on renewable hydrogen and CO2 are a currently highly discussed piece of the puzzle to defossilize the transport sector. In this regard CO2 can play a positive role in shaping a sustainable future. Large potentials are available as a product of biogas production however occurring in small scales and in thin spatial distributions. This work aims to evaluate suitable synthetic fuel products to be produced at farm sites.<br/>Methods: A thermodynamic analysis to assess the energetic efficiency of synthesis pathways and a qualitative assessment of product handling issues is carried out.<br/>Results: Regarding the technical and safety-related advantages in storage liquid products are the superior option for fuel production at decentralized sites. Due to the economy of scale multi-stage synthesis processes lose economic performance with rising complexity. A method was shown which covers a principle sketch of all necessary reaction separation steps and all compression and heat exchanger units. The figures showed that methanol and butanol are the most suitable candidates in contrast to OME3-5 for implementation in existing transportation and fuel systems. These results were underpin by a Gibbs energy analysis.<br/>Conclusions: As long as safety regulations are met and the farm can guarantee safe storage and transport farm-site production for all intermediates can be realized technically. Ultimately this work points out that the process must be kept as simple as possible favoring methanol production at farm site and its further processing to more complicated fuels in large units for several fuel pathways.
How Flexible Electricity Demand Stabilizes Wind and Solar Market Values: The Case of Hydrogen Electrolyzers
Nov 2021
Publication
Wind and solar energy are often expected to fall victim to their own success: the higher their share in electricity generation the more their revenue in electricity markets (their “market value”) declines. While market values may converge to zero in conventional power systems this study argues that “green” hydrogen production can effectively and permanently halt the decline by adding flexible electricity demand in low-price hours. To support this argument this article further develops the merit order model and uses price duration curves to include flexible hydrogen electrolysis and to derive an analytical formula for the minimum market value of renewables in the long-term market equilibrium. This hydrogen-induced minimum market value is quantified for a wide range of parameters using Monte Carlo simulations and complemented with results from a more detailed numerical electricity market model. It is shown that—due to flexible hydrogen production alone—market values across Europe will likely stabilize above €19 ± 9 MWh− 1 for solar energy and above €27 ± 8 MWh− 1 for wind energy in 2050 (annual mean estimate ± standard deviation). This is in the range of the projected levelized cost of renewables and other types of flexible electricity demand may further increase renewable market values. Market-based renewables may hence be within reach.
Monte-Carlo-Analysis of Minimum Burst Requirements for Composite Cylinders for Hydrogen Service
Sep 2021
Publication
For achieving Net Zero-aims hydrogen is an indispensable component probably the main component. For the usage of hydrogen a wide acceptance is necessary which requires trust in hydrogen based on absence of major incidents resulting from a high safety level. Burst tests stand for a type of testing that is used in every test standard and regulation as one of the key issues for ensuring safety in use. The central role of burst and proof test is grown to historical reasons for steam engines and steel vessels but - with respect for composite pressure vessels (CPVs) - not due an extraordinary depth of outcomes. Its importance results from the relatively simple test process with relatively low costs and gets its importance by running of the different test variations in parallel. In relevant test und production standards (as e. g. ECE R134) the burst test is used in at least 4 different meanings. There is the burst test on a) new CPVs and some others b) for determining the residual strength subsequent to various simulations of ageing effects. Both are performed during the approval process on a pre-series. Then there is c) the batch testing during the CPVs production and finally d) the 100% proof testing which means to stop the burst test at a certain pressure level. These different aspects of burst tests are analysed and compared with respect to its importance for the resulting safety of the populations of CPVs in service based on experienced test results and Monte-Carlo simulations. As main criterial for this the expected failure rate in a probabilistic meaning is used. This finally ends up with recommendations for relevant RC&S especially with respect to GTR 13."
Power-to-Gas and Power-to-X—The History and Results of Developing a New Storage Concept
Oct 2021
Publication
Germany’s energy transition known as ‘Energiewende’ was always very progressive. However it came technically to a halt at the question of large-scale seasonal energy storage for wind and solar which was not available. At the end of the 2000s we combined our knowledge of both electrical and process engineering imitated nature by copying photosynthesis and developed Power-to-Gas by combining water electrolysis with CO2 -methanation to convert water and CO2 together with wind and solar power to synthetic natural gas. Storing green energy by coupling the electricity with the gas sector using its vast TWh-scale storage facility was the solution for the biggest energy problem of our time. This was the first concept that created the term ‘sector coupling’ or ‘sectoral integration’. We first implemented demo sites presented our work in research industry and ministries and applied it in many macroeconomic studies. It was an initial idea that inspired others to rethink electricity as well as eFuels as an energy source and energy carrier. We developed the concept further to include Power-to-Liquid Power-to-Chemicals and other ways to ‘convert’ electricity into molecules and climate-neutral feedstocks and named it ‘Power-to-X’ at the beginning of the 2010s.
Linking the Power and Transport Sectors—Part 2: Modelling a Sector Coupling Scenario for Germany
Jul 2017
Publication
“Linking the power and transport sectors—Part 1” describes the general principle of “sector coupling” (SC) develops a working definition intended of the concept to be of utility to the international scientific community contains a literature review that provides an overview of relevant scientific papers on this topic and conducts a rudimentary analysis of the linking of the power and transport sectors on a worldwide EU and German level. The aim of this follow-on paper is to outline an approach to the modelling of SC. Therefore a study of Germany as a case study was conducted. This study assumes a high share of renewable energy sources (RES) contributing to the grid and significant proportion of fuel cell vehicles (FCVs) in the year 2050 along with a dedicated hydrogen pipeline grid to meet hydrogen demand. To construct a model of this nature the model environment “METIS” (models for energy transformation and integration systems) we developed will be described in more detail in this paper. Within this framework a detailed model of the power and transport sector in Germany will be presented in this paper and the rationale behind its assumptions described. Furthermore an intensive result analysis for the power surplus utilization of electrolysis hydrogen pipeline and economic considerations has been conducted to show the potential outcomes of modelling SC. It is hoped that this will serve as a basis for researchers to apply this framework in future to models and analysis with an international focus.
Production Costs for Synthetic Methane in 2030 and 2050 of an Optimized Power-to-Gas Plant with Intermediate Hydrogen Storage
Aug 2019
Publication
The publication gives an overview of the production costs of synthetic methane in a Power-to-Gas process. The production costs depend in particularly on the electricity price and the full load hours of the plant sub-systems electrolysis and methanation. The full-load hours of electrolysis are given by the electricity supply concept. In order to increase the full-load hours of methanation the size of the intermediate hydrogen storage tank and the size of the methanation are optimised on the basis of the availability of hydrogen. The calculation of the production costs for synthetic methane are done with economics for 2030 and 2050 and the expenditures are calculated for one year of operation. The sources of volume of purchased electricity are the short-term market long-term contracts direct-coupled renewable energy sources or seasonal use of surpluses. Gas sales are either traded on the short-term market or guaranteed by long-term contracts. The calculations show that an intermediate storage tank for hydrogen adjustment of the methanation size and operating electrolysis and methanation separately increase the workload of the sub-system methanation. The gas production costs can be significantly reduced. With the future expected development of capital expenditures operational expenditure electricity prices gas costs and efficiencies an economic production of synthetic natural gas for the years 2030 especially for 2050 is feasible. The results show that Power-to-Gas is an option for long-term large-scale seasonal storage of renewable energy. Especially the cases with high operating hours for the sub-system methanation and low electricity prices show gas production costs below the expected market prices for synthetic gas and biogas.
Economic Optima for Buffers in Direct Reduction Steelmaking Under Increasing Shares of Renewable Hydrogen
Oct 2021
Publication
While current climate targets demand substantial reductions in greenhouse gas (GHG) emissions the potentials to further reduce carbon dioxide emissions in traditional primary steel-making are limited. One possible solution that is receiving increasing attention is the direct reduction (DR) technology operated either with renewable hydrogen (H2) from electrolysis or with conventional natural gas (NG). DR technology makes it possible to decouple steel and hydrogen production by temporarily using overcapacities to produce and store intermediary products during periods of low renewable electricity prices or by switching between H2 and NG. This paper aims to explore the impact of this decoupling on overall costs and the corresponding dimensioning of production and storage capacities. An optimization model is developed to determine the least-cost operation based on perfect-foresight. This model can determine the minimum costs for optimal production and storage capacities under various assumptions considering fluctuating H2 and NG prices and increasing H2 shares. The model is applied to a case study for Germany and covers the current situation the medium term until 2030 and the long term until 2050. Under the assumptions made the role of using direct reduced iron (DRI) storage as a buffer seems less relevant. DRI mainly serves as long-term storage for several weeks similar to usual balancing storage capacities. Storing H2 on the contrary is used for short-term fluctuations and could balance H2 demand in the hourly range until 2050. From an economic perspective DRI production using NG tends to be cheaper than using H2 in the short term and potential savings from the flexible operation with storages are small at first. However in the long term until 2050 NG and H2 could achieve similar total costs if buffers are used. Otherwise temporarily occurring electricity price spikes imply substantial increases in total costs if high shares of H2 need to be achieved.
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