Policy & Socio-Economics

This spreadsheet contains data for two future UK scenarios: a "baseline" (i.e. no climate action after 2008 the start of the carbon budget system) and the "central" scenario underpinning the CCC's advice on the fifth carbon budget (the limit to domestic emissions during the period 2028-32).<br/>The central scenario is an assessment of the technologies and behaviours that would prepare for the 2050 target cost-effectively while meeting the other criteria in the Climate Change Act (2008) based on central views of technology costs fuel prices carbon prices and feasibility. It is not prescriptive nor is it the only scenario considered for meeting the carbon budgets. For further details on our scenarios and how they were generated see the CCC report Sectoral scenarios for the Fifth Carbon Budget. The scenario was constructed for the CCC's November 2015 report and has not been further updated for example to reflect outturn data for 2015 or changes to Government policy.

Hydrogen is recognized as a promising and attractive energy carrier to decarbonize the sectors responsible for global warming such as electricity production industry and transportation. However although hydrogen releases only water as a result of its reaction with oxygen through a fuel cell the hydrogen production pathway is currently a challenging issue since hydrogen is produced mainly from thermochemical processes (natural gas reforming coal gasification). On the other hand hydrogen production through water electrolysis has attracted a lot of attention as a means to reduce greenhouse gas emissions by using low-carbon sources such as renewable energy (solar wind hydro) and nuclear energy. In this context by providing an environmentally-friendly fuel instead of the currently-used fuels (unleaded petrol gasoline kerosene) hydrogen can be used in various applications such as transportation (aircraft boat vehicle and train) energy storage industry medicine and power-to-gas. This article aims to provide an overview of the main hydrogen applications (including present and future) while examining funding and barriers to building a prosperous future for the nation by addressing all the critical challenges met in all energy sectors.

This report sets out our advice on the fifth carbon budget covering the period 2028-2032 as required under Section 4 of the Climate Change Act; the Government will propose draft legislation for the fifth budget in summer 2016.

This report for the CCC by Madano and Element Energy assesses the public acceptability of two alternative low-carbon technologies for heating the home: hydrogen heating and heat pumps.

These technologies could potentially replace natural gas in many UK households as part of the government’s efforts to decrease carbon emissions in the UK.

The report’s key findings are:

• carbon emissions reduction is viewed as an important issue but there is limited awareness of the need to decarbonise household heating or the implications of switching over to low-carbon heating technologies
• acceptability of both heating technologies is limited by a lack of perceived tangible consumer benefit which has the potential to drive scepticism towards the switch over more generally
• heating technology preferences are not fixed at this stage although heat pumps appear to be the favoured option in this research studythree overarching factors were identified as influencing preferences for heating technologies.

These factors manifested differently for different people meaning that the same factor could lead one person to prefer heat pumps and another to prefer hydrogen depending on their overall heating preferences and understanding of the two technologies. The factors are:

• perceptions of the negative installation burden
• familiarity with the lived experience of using the technologies for heating
• perceptions of how well the technologies would meet modern heating needs both hydrogen heating and heat pumps face significant challenges to secure public acceptability

The CCC has established a variety of viable scenarios in which UK decarbonisation targets can be met. Each has consequences for the way in which the UK’s gas network infrastructure is utilised. This report considers the implications of decarbonisation for the future regulation of the gas grid.<br/>The CCC’s 5th Carbon Budget envisaged different scenarios that would enable the UK to meet its emissions targets for 2050. These scenarios represent holistic analyses based on internally consistent combinations of different technologies which could deliver carbon reductions across different sectors of the economy.<br/>The CCC’s scenarios incorporate projections of the demand for natural gas to 2050. The scenarios imply that the volume of throughput on the gas networks1 and the nature and location of network usage is likely to change significantly to meet emissions targets. They are also characterised by significant uncertainty.<br/>Under some decarbonisation scenarios gas networks could be re-purposed to supply hydrogen instead of natural gas meaning there would be ongoing need for network infrastructure.<br/>In other scenarios gas demand in buildings is largely replaced by electric alternatives meaning portions of the low pressure gas distribution networks could be decommissioned.<br/>Patchwork scenarios are also possible in which there is a mixture of these outcomes across the country.<br/>In this project the CCC wished to assess the potential implications for gas networks under these different demand scenarios; and evaluate the associated challenges for Government and regulatory policy. The challenge for BEIS and Ofgem is how to regulate in a way that keeps options open while uncertainty persists about the best solution for the UK; and at the same time how best to make policy and regulatory decisions which would serve to reduce this uncertainty. Both Government and Ofgem have policy and regulatory levers that they can use – and we identify and evaluate such levers in this report.

This is the CCC’s eighth annual report on the UK’s progress in meeting carbon budgets.

The report shows that greenhouse gas emissions have fallen rapidly in the UK power sector but that progress has stalled in other sectors such as:

• heating in buildings
• transport
• industry
• agriculture

The report also outlines the Committee’s view of key criteria for the government’s ’emissions reduction plan’ published later in 2017

In this report the Committee sets out how Northern Ireland can reduce its greenhouse gas emissions between now and 2030 in order to meet UK-wide climate change targets.

The report’s key findings are:

• Existing policies are not enough to deliver this reduction
• There are excellent opportunities to close this gap and go beyond 35%
• Meeting the cost-effective path to decarbonisation in Northern Ireland will require action across all sectors of the economy and a more joined-up approach

Overall Northern Ireland’s fair contribution to the UK’s fifth carbon budget requires emissions reductions of at least 35% against 1990 levels by 2030.

The Scottish Act sets a long-term target to reduce emissions of greenhouse gases (GHGs) by at least 80% in 2050 relative to 1990 with an interim target to reduce emissions by 42% in 2020. Secondary legislation passed in October 2010 and October 2011 also set a series of annual emission reduction targets for 2010 to 2022 and 2023 to 2027 respectively. We advised the Scottish Government on annual targets for the period 2028 to 2032 in March 2016 and July 2016.<br/>The report reveals that Scotland’s annual emissions reduction target for 2014 was met with gross Scottish greenhouse gas emissions including international aviation and shipping falling by 8.6% in 2014. This compares to a 7.3% fall for the UK as a whole. Since 1990 gross Scottish emissions have fallen nearly 40% compared to nearly 33% at a UK level.

This report by the Committee on Climate Change (CCC) assesses the potential role of hydrogen in the UK’s low-carbon economy.

It finds that hydrogen:

• is a credible option to help decarbonise the UK energy system but its role depends on early Government commitment and improved support to develop the UK’s industrial capability
• can make an important contribution to long-term decarbonisation if combined with greater energy efficiency cheap low-carbon power generation electrified transport and new ‘hybrid’ heat pump systems which have been successfully trialled in the UK
• could replace natural gas in parts of the energy system where electrification is not feasible or is prohibitively expensive for example in providing heat on colder winter days industrial heat processes and back-up power generation
• is not a ‘silver bullet’ solution; the report explores some commonly-held misconceptions highlighting the need for careful planning

The report’s key recommendations are:

• Government must commit to developing a low-carbon heat strategy within the next three years
• Significant volumes of low-carbon hydrogen should be produced in a carbon capture and storage (CCS) ‘cluster’ by 2030 to help the industry grow
• Government must support the early demonstration of the everyday uses of hydrogen in order to establish the practicality of switching from natural gas to hydrogen
• There is low awareness amongst the general public of reasons to move away from natural gas heating to low-carbon alternatives
• A strategy should be developed for low-carbon heavy goods vehicles (HGVs) which encourages a move away from fossil fuels and biofuels to zero-emission solutions by 2050

The Committee on Climate Change commissioned Ricardo Energy and Environment to carry out research to assess the infrastructure requirements and costs for the deployment of different zero emission heavy goods vehicle (HGV) technology options. The infrastructure considered includes hydrogen refuelling stations ultra-rapid charge points at strategic locations electric overhead recharging infrastructure on the roads and hybrid solutions combining these options.

The research concluded:

It is feasible to build refuelling infrastructure to support the deployment of zero emission HGVs so that they constitute the vast majority of vehicles on the roads by 2050.

Looking at infrastructure alone deploying hydrogen refuelling stations is the cheapest of the options costing a total of £1.7bn in capital expenditure in the time period from now until 2060. The strategic deployment of ultra-rapid charge points is the most expensive at £10.7bn. In all scenarios a significant number of smaller electric HGVs are deployed as these options are available and operating on the streets today. The cost of installing chargers at depots for these vehicles is included.

When the costs of the fuel as well as the infrastructure are included the costs of deploying electricity or hydrogen HGVs are cheaper compared to the continued use of diesel.

Moving to zero-carbon infrastructure for HDVs is a significant challenge and requires planning co-ordination supply chains resource and materials and a skilled workforce as well as strong government policy to enable the market to deliver.

The Report can be found here