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OIES Podcast - Hydrogen Financing
Jan 2023
Publication
In this Podcast David Ledesma discusses with Stephen Craen Visiting Research Fellow OIES the challenges facing the financing of future hydrogen projects as it is expected that a substantial amount of capital will need to be invested in green hydrogen production to meet the 2050 net zero targets. Based around an ‘Archetype’ world scale hydrogen export project where 1 GW solar power is used to make green hydrogen which is converted to 250000 tpa green ammonia for export with a capital cost in the region of USD 2 billion the podcast discusses how ‘efficient financing’ can make an important contribution to minimising cost and making projects cost competitive. Stephen Craen argues that lenders and investors will look to precedents when assessing the nascent green hydrogen sector and the foremost will be LNG and offshore wind which both represent large-scale technically complex projects. Commercial structures of the green hydrogen business are expected to borrow concepts from offshore wind projects particularly in relation to price but also from LNG where this is relevant such as take-or-pay contracts. In this podcast we discuss the key issues that will need to be addressed to make a green hydrogen export project bankable concluding that commercial debt from either commercial banks or project bonds can help create competition.
The podcast can be found on their website.
The podcast can be found on their website.
Investment in Wind-based Hydrogen Production under Economic and Physical Uncertainties
Feb 2023
Publication
This paper evaluates the economic viability of a combined wind-based green-hydrogen facility from an investor’s viewpoint. The paper introduces a theoretical model and demonstrates it by example. The valuation model assumes that both the spot price of electricity and wind capacity factor evolve stochastically over time; these state variables can in principle be correlated. Besides it explicitly considers the possibility to use curtailed wind energy for producing hydrogen. The model derives the investment project’s net present value (NPV) as a function of hydrogen price and conversion capacity. Thus the NPV is computed for a given price and a range of capacities. The one that leads to the maximum NPV is the ‘optimal’ capacity (for the given price). Next the authors estimate the parameters underlying the two stochastic processes from Spanish hourly data. These numerical estimates allow simulate hourly paths of both variables over the facility’s expected useful lifetime (30 years). According to the results green hydrogen production starts becoming economically viable above 3 €/kg. Besides it takes a hydrogen price of 4.7 €/kg to reach an optimal conversion capacity half the capacity of the wind park. The authors develop sensitivity analyses with respect to wind capacity factor curtailment rate and discount rate.
An Improved State Machine-based Energy Management Strategy for Renewable Energy Microgrid with Hydrogen Storage System
Oct 2022
Publication
Renewable energy (solar and wind) sources have evolved dramatically in recent years around the globe primarily because they have the potential to generate environmentally friendly energy. However operating systems with high renewable energy penetration remain challenging due to the stochastic nature of these energy sources. To tackle these problems the authors propose a state machine-based energy management strategy combined with a hysteresis band control strategy for renewable energy hybrid microgrids that integrates hydrogen storage systems. By considering the power difference between the renewable energy source and the demand the battery’s state of charge and the hydrogen storage level the proposed energy management strategy can control the power of fuel cells electrolyzers and batteries in a microgrid and the power imported into/exported from the main grid. The results showed that the energy management strategy provides the following advantages: (1) the power supply and demand balance in the microgrid was balanced (2) the lifespans of the electrolyzer and fuel cell were extended and (3) the state of charge of the battery and the stored level of the hydrogen were appropriately ensured.
Optimal Incorporation of Intermittent Renewable Energy Storage Units and Green Hydrogen Production in the Electrical Sector
Mar 2023
Publication
This paper presents a mathematical programming approach for the strategic planning of hydrogen production from renewable energies and its use in electric power generation in conventional technologies. The proposed approach aims to determine the optimal selection of the different types of technologies electrolyzers and storage units (energy and hydrogen). The approach considers the implementation of an optimization methodology to select a representative data set that characterizes the total annual demand. The economic objective aims to determine the minimum cost which is composed of the capital costs in the acquisition of units operating costs of such units costs of production and transmission of energy as well as the cost associated with the emissions generated which is related to an environmental tax. A specific case study is presented in the Mexican peninsula and the results show that it is possible to produce hydrogen at a minimum sale price of 4200 $/tonH2 with a total cost of $5.1687 × 106 and 2.5243 × 105 tonCO2eq. In addition the financial break-even point corresponds to a sale price of 6600 $/tonH2 . The proposed model determines the trade-offs between the cost and the emissions generated.
Global Hydrogen Flows
Oct 2022
Publication
Authored by the Hydrogen Council in collaboration with McKinsey and Company Global Hydrogen Flows addresses the midstream challenge of aligning and optimizing global supply and demand. It finds that trade can reduce overall system costs.
In doing so it provides a perspective on how the global trade of hydrogen and derivatives including hydrogen carriers ammonia methanol synthetic kerosene and green steel (which uses hydrogen in its production) can develop as well as the investments needed to unlock the full potential of global hydrogen and derivatives trade.
Our hope is that this report offers stakeholders – suppliers buyers original equipment manufacturers (OEMs) investors and governments – a thorough and quantitative perspective that will help them make the decisions required to accelerate the uptake of hydrogen.
Key messages from the report:
Hydrogen and its derivatives will become heavily traded: 400 out of the 660 million tons (MT) of hydrogen needed for carbon neutrality by 2050 will be transported over long distances with 190 MT crossing international borders.
In a cost-optimal world around 50% of trade uses pipelines while synthetic fuels ammonia and sponge iron transported on ships account for approximately 45%. Europe and countries in the Far East will rely on imports while North America and China are mostly self-reliant.
Trade has huge benefits: It can lower the cost of hydrogen supply by 25% or as much as US$6 trillion of investments from now until 2050. This will accelerate the hydrogen transition which can abate 80 gigatons of CO2 until 2050.
The paper can be found on their website.
In doing so it provides a perspective on how the global trade of hydrogen and derivatives including hydrogen carriers ammonia methanol synthetic kerosene and green steel (which uses hydrogen in its production) can develop as well as the investments needed to unlock the full potential of global hydrogen and derivatives trade.
Our hope is that this report offers stakeholders – suppliers buyers original equipment manufacturers (OEMs) investors and governments – a thorough and quantitative perspective that will help them make the decisions required to accelerate the uptake of hydrogen.
Key messages from the report:
Hydrogen and its derivatives will become heavily traded: 400 out of the 660 million tons (MT) of hydrogen needed for carbon neutrality by 2050 will be transported over long distances with 190 MT crossing international borders.
In a cost-optimal world around 50% of trade uses pipelines while synthetic fuels ammonia and sponge iron transported on ships account for approximately 45%. Europe and countries in the Far East will rely on imports while North America and China are mostly self-reliant.
Trade has huge benefits: It can lower the cost of hydrogen supply by 25% or as much as US$6 trillion of investments from now until 2050. This will accelerate the hydrogen transition which can abate 80 gigatons of CO2 until 2050.
The paper can be found on their website.
Location Optimization of Hydrogen Refueling Stations in Hydrogen Expressway Based on Hydrogen Supply Chain Cost
Jan 2021
Publication
Hydrogen energy is regarded as an important way to achieve carbon emission reduction. This paper focuses on the combination of the design of the hydrogen supply chain network and the location of hydrogen refueling stations on the expressway. Based on the cost analysis of the hydrogen supply chain a multi-objective model is developed to determine the optimal scale and location of hydrogen refueling stations on the hydrogen expressway. The proposed model considers the hydrogen demand forecast hydrogen source selection hydrogen production and storage and transportation hydrogen station refueling mode etc. Taking Dalian City China as an example with offshore wind power as a reliable green hydrogen supply to select the location and capacity of hydrogen refueling stations for the hydrogen energy demonstration section of a certain expressway under multiple scenarios. The results of the case show that 4 and 5 stations are optimized on the expressway section respectively and the unit hydrogen cost is $14.3 /kg H2 and $11.8 /kg H2 respectively which are equal to the average hydrogen price in the international range. The optimization results verify the feasibility and effectiveness of the model.
Numerical Study on Hydrogen–Gasoline Dual-Fuel Spark Ignition Engine
Nov 2022
Publication
Hydrogen as a suitable and clean energy carrier has been long considered a primary fuel or in combination with other conventional fuels such as gasoline and diesel. Since the density of hydrogen is very low in port fuel-injection configuration the engine’s volumetric efficiency reduces due to the replacement of hydrogen by intake air. Therefore hydrogen direct in-cylinder injection (injection after the intake valve closes) can be a suitable solution for hydrogen utilization in spark ignition (SI) engines. In this study the effects of hydrogen direct injection with different hydrogen energy shares (HES) on the performance and emissions characteristics of a gasoline port-injection SI engine are investigated based on reactive computational fluid dynamics. Three different injection timings of hydrogen together with five different HES are applied at low and full load on a hydrogen– gasoline dual-fuel SI engine. The results show that retarded hydrogen injection timing increases the concentration of hydrogen near the spark plug resulting in areas with higher average temperatures which led to NOX emission deterioration at −120 Crank angle degree After Top Dead Center (CAD aTDC) start of injection (SOI) compared to the other modes. At −120 CAD aTDC SOI for 50% HES the amount of NOX was 26% higher than −140 CAD aTDC SOI. In the meanwhile an advanced hydrogen injection timing formed a homogeneous mixture of hydrogen which decreased the HC and soot concentration so that −140 CAD aTDC SOI implied the lowest amount of HC and soot. Moreover with the increase in the amount of HES the concentrations of CO CO2 and soot were reduced. Having the HES by 50% at −140 CAD aTDC SOI the concentrations of particulate matter (PM) CO and CO2 were reduced by 96.3% 90% and 46% respectively. However due to more complete combustion and an elevated combustion average temperature the amount of NOX emission increased drastically.
Opportunities for Flexible Electricity Loads such as Hydrogen Production from Curtailed Generation
Jun 2021
Publication
Variable low-cost low-carbon electricity that would otherwise be curtailed may provide a substantial economic opportunity for entities that can flexibly adapt their electricity consumption. We used historical hourly weather data over the contiguous U.S. to model the characteristics of least-cost electricity systems dominated by variable renewable generation that powered firm and flexible electricity demands (loads). Scenarios evaluated included variable wind and solar power battery storage and dispatchable natural gas with carbon capture and storage with electrolytic hydrogen representing a prototypical flexible load. When flexible loads were small excess generation capacity was available during most hours allowing flexible loads to operate at high capacity factors. Expanding the flexible loads allowed the least-cost systems to more fully utilize the generation capacity built to supply firm loads and thus reduced the average cost of delivered electricity. The macro-scale energy model indicated that variable renewable electricity systems optimized to supply firm loads at current costs could supply 25% or more additional flexible load with minimal capacity expansion while resulting in reduced average electricity costs (10% or less capacity expansion and 10% to 20% reduction in costs in our modeled scenarios). These results indicate that adding flexible loads to electricity systems will likely allow more full utilization of generation assets across a wide range of system architectures thus providing new energy services with infrastructure that is already needed to supply firm electricity loads.
Favorable Start-Up Behavior of Polymer Electrolyte Membrane Water Electrolyzers
Nov 2022
Publication
Dynamically-operated water electrolyzers enable the production of green hydrogen for cross-sector applications while simultaneously stabilizing power grids. In this study the start-up phase of polymer electrolyte membrane (PEM) water electrolyzers is investigated in the context of intermittent renewable energy sources. During the start-up of the electrolysis system the temperature increases which directly influences hydrogen production efficiency. Experiments on a 100 kWel electrolyzer combined with simulations of electrolyzers with up to 1 MWel were used to analyze the start-up phase and assess its implications for operators and system designers. It is shown that part-load start-up at intermediate cell voltages of 1.80 V yields the highest efficiencies of 74.0 %LHV compared to heat-up using resistive electrical heating elements which reaches maximum efficiencies of 60.9 %LHV. The results further indicate that large-scale electrolyzers with electrical heaters may serve as flexible sinks in electrical grids for durations of up to 15 min.
Effect of Heat Transfer through the Release of Pipe on Simulations of Cryogenic Hydrogen Jet Fires and Hazard Distances
Sep 2021
Publication
Jet flames originated by cryo-compressed ignited hydrogen releases can cause life-threatening conditions in their surroundings. Validated models are needed to accurately predict thermal hazards from a jet fire. Numerical simulations of cryogenic hydrogen flow in the release pipe are performed to assess the effect of heat transfer through the pipe walls on jet parameters. Notional nozzle exit diameter is calculated based on the simulated real nozzle parameters and used in CFD simulations as a boundary condition to model jet fires. The CFD model was previously validated against experiments with vertical cryogenic hydrogen jet fires with release pressures up to 0.5 MPa (abs) release diameter 1.25 mm and temperatures as low as 50 K. This study validates the CFD model in a wider domain of experimental release conditions - horizontal cryogenic jets at exhaust pipe temperature 80 K pressure up to 2 MPa abs and release diameters up to 4 mm. Simulation results are compared against experimentally measured parameters as hydrogen mass flow rate flame length and radiative heat flux at several locations from the jet fire. The CFD model reproduces well experiments with reasonable engineering accuracy. Jet fire hazard distances established using three different criteria - temperature thermal radiation and thermal dose - are compared and discussed based on CFD simulation results.
Development Concept of Integrated Energy Network and Hydrogen Energy Industry Based on Hydrogen Production Using Surplus Hydropower
Apr 2020
Publication
The development of hydropower industry is progressing rapidly in China and the installed capacity and power generation are increasing year by year. However due to factors such as transmission channels and power grid peaking capacity hydropower consumption in some areas is facing greater pressure. As an excellent medium for energy interconnection hydrogen energy can play an important role in promoting hydropower consumption. This paper introduces the current status and trends of hydrogen energy development in major developed countries and China and analyzes the current status of China’s hydropower abandoned water. Based on the production of hydrogen using surplus hydropower in the Dadu River Basin in Sichuan an integrated energy network research plan including hydropower electrolytic hydrogen production storage and transportation hydrogen refueling and hydrogen-powered vehicles is proposed. At the same time the development concept of hydrogen energy industry including hydrogen energy source economy hydrogen energy industry ecosphere and hydrogen energy sky road in western Sichuan is also proposed.
Everything About Hydrogen Podcast: Using the Law and Regulation to Facilitate Hydrogen Development
Jun 2022
Publication
Burges Salmon’s energy lawyers are known for ground-breaking work in the energy power and utilities sector. They understand the opportunities the technologies and the challenges which the sector presents. Their reputation has been built upon first-of-a-kind projects and deals and an intimate knowledge of energy regulation. Burges Salmon specialists provide expert advice throughout the project/plant life cycle. Over the years this has in turn led to investors and funders requesting their services in the knowledge that they understand the key issues technologies face. They have a team of over 80 lawyers who focus on helping developers investors and funders achieve their aims in the sector. The team has won or been shortlisted for all the key industry awards in energy over the last decade.
The podcast can be found on their website
The podcast can be found on their website
Comparing e-Fuels and Electrification for Decarbonization of Heavy-Duty Transports
Oct 2022
Publication
The freight sector is expected to keep or even increase its fundamental role for the major modern economies and therefore actions to limit the growing pressure on the environment are urgent. The use of electricity is a major option for the decarbonization of transports; in the heavy-duty segment it can be implemented in different ways: besides full electric-battery powertrains electricity can be used to supply catenary roads or can be chemically stored in liquid or gaseous fuels (e-fuels). While the current EU legislation adopts a tailpipe Tank-To-Wheels approach which results in zero emissions for all direct uses of electricity a Well-To-Wheels (WTW) method would allow accounting for the potential benefits of using sustainable fuels such as e-fuels. In this article we have performed a WTW-based comparison and modelling of the options for using electricity to supply heavy-duty vehicles: e-fuels eLNG eDiesel and liquid Hydrogen. Results showed that the direct use of electricity can provide high Greenhouse Gas (GHG) savings and also in the case of the e-fuels when low-carbonintensity electricity is used for their production. While most studies exclusively focus on absolute GHG savings potential considerations of the need for new infrastructures and the technological maturity of some options are fundamental to compare the different technologies. In this paper an assessment of such technological and non-technological barriers has been conducted in order to compare alternative pathways for the heavy-duty sector. Among the available options the flexibility of using drop-in energy-dense liquid fuels represents a clear and substantial immediate advantage for decarbonization. Additionally the novel approach adopted in this paper allows us to quantify the potential benefits of using e-fuels as chemical storage able to accumulate electricity from the production peaks of variable renewable energies which would otherwise be wasted due to grid limitations.
Hybrid Renewable Hydrogen Energy Solution for Application in Remote Mines
Dec 2020
Publication
Mining operations in remote locations rely heavily on diesel fuel for the electricity haulage and heating demands. Such significant diesel dependency imposes large carbon footprints to these mines. Consequently mining companies are looking for better energy strategies to lower their carbon footprints. Renewable energies can relieve this over-reliance on fossil fuels. Yet in spite of their many advantages renewable systems deployment on a large scale has been very limited mainly due to the high battery storage system. Using hydrogen for energy storage purposes due to its relatively cheaper technology can facilitate the application of renewable energies in the mining industry. Such cost-prohibitive issues prevent achieving 100% penetration rate of renewables in mining applications. This paper offers a novel integrated renewable–multi-storage (wind turbine/battery/fuel cell/thermal storage) solution with six different configurations to secure 100% off-grid mining power supply as a stand-alone system. A detailed comparison between the proposed configurations is presented with recommendations for implementation. A parametric study is also performed identifying the effect of different parameters (i.e. wind speed battery market price and fuel cell market price) on economics of the system. The result of the present study reveals that standalone renewable energy deployment in mine settings is technically and economically feasible with the current market prices depending on the average wind speed at the mine location.
How a Grid Company Could Enter the Hydrogen Industry through a New Business Model: A Case Study in China
Mar 2023
Publication
The increasing penetration of renewable and distributed resources signals a global boom in energy transition but traditional grid utilities have yet to share in much of the triumph at the current stage. Higher grid management costs lower electricity prices fewer customers and other challenges have emerged along the path toward renewable energy but many more opportunities await to be seized. Most importantly there are insufficient studies on how grid utilities can thrive within the hydrogen economy. Through a case study on the State Grid Corporation of China we identify the strengths weaknesses opportunities and threats (SWOT) of grid utilities within the hydrogen economy. Based on these factors we recommend that grids integrate hydrogen into the energy-as-a-service model and deliver it to industrial customers who are under decarbonization pressure. We also recommend that grid utilities fund a joint venture with pipeline companies to optimize electricity and hydrogen transmissions simultaneously.
A Review on the Kinetics of Iron Ore Reduction by Hydrogen
Dec 2021
Publication
A clean energy revolution is occurring across the world. As iron and steelmaking have a tremendous impact on the amount of CO2 emissions there is an increasing attraction towards improving the green footprint of iron and steel production. Among reducing agents hydrogen has shown a great potential to be replaced with fossil fuels and to decarbonize the steelmaking processes. Although hydrogen is in great supply on earth extracting pure H2 from its compound is costly. Therefore it is crucial to calculate the partial pressure of H2 with the aid of reduction reaction kinetics to limit the costs. This review summarizes the studies of critical parameters to determine the kinetics of reduction. The variables considered were temperature iron ore type (magnetite hematite goethite) H2/CO ratio porosity flow rate the concentration of diluent (He Ar N2 ) gas utility annealing before reduction and pressure. In fact increasing temperature H2/CO ratio hydrogen flow rate and hematite percentage in feed leads to a higher reduction rate. In addition the controlling kinetics models and the impact of the mentioned parameters on them investigated and compared concluding chemical reaction at the interfaces and diffusion of hydrogen through the iron oxide particle are the most common kinetics controlling models.
Simulation and Study of PEMFC System Directly Fueled by Ammonia Decomposition Gas
Mar 2022
Publication
Ammonia can be stored as a liquid under relatively easy conditions (Ambient temperature by applying 10 bar or Ambient pressure with the temperature of 239 K). At the same time liquid ammonia has a high hydrogen storage density and is therefore a particularly promising carrier for hydrogen storage. At the same time the current large-scale industrial synthesis of ammonia has long been mature and in the future it will be possible to achieve a zero-emission ammonia regeneration cycle system by replacing existing energy sources with renewable ones. Ammonia does not contain carbon and its use in fuel cells can avoid NOx production during energy release. high temperature solid oxide fuel cells can be directly fueled by ammonia and obtain good output characteristics but the challenges inherent in high temperature solid oxide fuel cells greatly limit the implementation of this option. Whereas PEMFC has gained initial commercial use however for PEMFC ammonia is a toxic gas so the general practice is to convert ammonia to pure hydrogen. Ammonia to hydrogen requires decomposition under high temperature and purification which increases the complexity of the fuel system. In contrast PEMFC that can use ammonia decomposition gas directly can simplify the fuel system and this option has already obtained preliminary experimental validation studies. The energy efficiency of the system obtained from the preliminary validation experiments is only 34–36% which is much lower than expected. Therefore this paper establishes a simulation model of PEMFC directly using ammonia decomposition gas as fuel to study the maximum efficiency of the system and the effect of the change of system parameters on the efficiency and the results show that the system efficiency can reach up to 45% under the condition of considering certain heat loss. Increasing the ammonia decomposition reaction temperature decreases the system efficiency but the effect is small and the system efficiency can reach 44% even at a temperature of 850°C. The results of the study can provide a reference for a more scientific and quantitative assessment of the potential value of direct ammonia decomposition gas-fueled PEMFC.
Toward to Hydrogen Energy of Electric Power: Characteristics and Main Case Studies in Shenzhen
Feb 2023
Publication
China has pledged that it will strive to achieve peak carbon emission by 2030 and realize carbon neutrality by 2060 which has spurred renewed interest in hydrogen for widespread decarbonization of the economy. Hydrogen energy is an important secondary clean energy with the advantage of high density high calorific value rich reserves extensive sources and high conversion efficiency that can be widely used in power generation transportation fuel and other fields. In recent years with the guidance of policies and the progress of technology China’s hydrogen energy industry has developed rapidly. About 42% of China’s carbon emissions comes from the power system and Shenzhen has the largest urban power grid in China. Bringing the utilization of hydrogen energy into Shenzhen’s power system is an important method to achieve industry transformation achieve the “double carbon” goal and promote sustainable development. This paper outlines the domestic and international development status of hydrogen energy introduces the characteristics of Shenzhen new power system the industrial utilization of hydrogen energy and the challenges of further integrating hydrogen energy into Shenzhen new power system and finally suggests on the integration of hydrogen energy into Shenzhen new power system in different dimensions.
Numerical Study on Tri-fuel Combustion: Ignition Properties of Hydrogen-enriched Methane-diesel and Methanol-diesel Mixtures
Jan 2020
Publication
Simultaneous and interactive combustion of three fuels with differing reactivities is investigated by numerical simulations. In the present study conventional dual-fuel (DF) ignition phenomena relevant to DF compression ignition (CI) engines are extended and explored in tri-fuel (TF) context. In the present TF setup a low reactivity fuel (LRF) methane or methanol is perfectly mixed with hydrogen and air to form the primary fuel blend at the lean equivalence ratio of 0.5. Further such primary fuel blends are ignited by a high-reactivity fuel (HRF) here n-dodecane under conditions similar to HRF spray assisted ignition. Here ignition is relevant to the HRF containing parts of the tri-fuel mixtures while flame propagation is assumed to occur in the premixed LRF/ containing end gas regions. The role of hydrogen as TF mixture reactivity modulator is explored. Mixing is characterized by n-dodecane mixture fraction ξ and molar ratio . When x < 0.6 minor changes are observed for the first- and second-stage ignition delay time (IDT) of tri-fuel compared to dual-fuel blends (x = 0). For methane when x > 0.6 first- and second-stage IDT increase by factor 1.4–2. For methanol a respective decrease by factor 1.2–2 is reported. Such contrasting trends for the two LRFs are explained by reaction sensitivity analysis indicating the importance of OH radical production/consumption in the ignition process. Observations on LRF/ end gas laminar flame speed () indicate that increases with x due to the highly diffusive features of . For methane increase with x is more significant than for methanol.
Hydrogen Insights 2022
Sep 2022
Publication
Authored by the Hydrogen Council in collaboration with McKinsey and Company Hydrogen Insights 2022 presents an updated perspective on hydrogen market development and actions required to unlock hydrogen at scale.
The pipeline of hydrogen projects is continuing to grow but actual deployment is lagging.
680 large-scale project proposals worth USD 240 billion have been put forward but only about 10% (USD 22 billion) have reached final investment decision (FID). While Europe leads in proposed investments (~30%) China is slightly ahead on actual deployment of electrolyzers (200 MW) while Japan and South Korea are leading in fuel cells (more than half of the world’s 11 GW manufacturing capacity).
The urgency to invest in mature hydrogen projects today is greater than ever.
For the world to be on track for net zero emissions by 2050 investments of some USD 700 billion in hydrogen are needed through 2030 – only 3% of this capital is committed today. Ambition and proposals by themselves do not translate into positive impact on climate change; investments and implementation on the ground is needed.
Joint action by the public and private sectors is urgently required to move from project proposals to FIDs.
Both governments and industry need to act to implement immediate actions for 2022 to 2023 – policymakers need to enable demand visibility roll out funding support and ensure international coordination; industry needs to increase supply chain capability and capacity advance projects towards final investment decision (FID) and develop infrastructure for cross-border trade.
The paper can be found on their website.
The pipeline of hydrogen projects is continuing to grow but actual deployment is lagging.
680 large-scale project proposals worth USD 240 billion have been put forward but only about 10% (USD 22 billion) have reached final investment decision (FID). While Europe leads in proposed investments (~30%) China is slightly ahead on actual deployment of electrolyzers (200 MW) while Japan and South Korea are leading in fuel cells (more than half of the world’s 11 GW manufacturing capacity).
The urgency to invest in mature hydrogen projects today is greater than ever.
For the world to be on track for net zero emissions by 2050 investments of some USD 700 billion in hydrogen are needed through 2030 – only 3% of this capital is committed today. Ambition and proposals by themselves do not translate into positive impact on climate change; investments and implementation on the ground is needed.
Joint action by the public and private sectors is urgently required to move from project proposals to FIDs.
Both governments and industry need to act to implement immediate actions for 2022 to 2023 – policymakers need to enable demand visibility roll out funding support and ensure international coordination; industry needs to increase supply chain capability and capacity advance projects towards final investment decision (FID) and develop infrastructure for cross-border trade.
The paper can be found on their website.
HydroGenerally - Episode 5: Hydrogen for Glass Production
May 2022
Publication
In this fifth episode Steffan Eldred and Neelam Mughal from Innovate UK KTN discuss how the glass industry is driving new hydrogen developments and research and explore the hydrogen transition opportunities and challenges in this sector alongside their special guest Rob Ireson Innovation and Partnerships Manager at Glass Futures Ltd.
The podcast can be found on their website
The podcast can be found on their website
Design of a Hydrogen Production System Considering Energy Consumption, Water Consumption, CO2 Emissions and Cost
Oct 2022
Publication
CO2 emissions associated with hydrogen production can be reduced replacing steam methane reforming with electrolysis using renewable electricity with a trade-off of increasing energy consumption water consumption and cost. In this research a linear programming optimization model of a hydrogen production system that considers simultaneously energy consumption water consumption CO2 emissions and cost on a cradle-to-gate basis was developed. The model was used to evaluate the impact of CO2 intensity on the optimum design of a hydrogen production system for Japan considering different stakeholders’ priorities. Hydrogen is produced using steam methane reforming and electrolysis. Electricity sources include grid wind solar photovoltaic geothermal and hydro. Independent of the stakeholders’ priorities steam methane reforming dominates hydrogen production for cradle-to-gate CO2 intensities larger than 9 kg CO2/kg H2 while electrolysis using renewable electricity dominates for lower cradle-to-gate CO2 intensities. Reducing the cradle-to-gate CO2 intensity increases energy consumption water consumption and specific cost of hydrogen production. For a cradle-to-gate CO2 intensity of 0 kg CO2/kg H2 the specific cost of hydrogen production varies between 8.81 and 13.6 USD/kg H2; higher than the specific cost of hydrogen production targeted by the Japanese government in 2030 of 30 JPY/Nm3 3.19 USD/kg H2.
Open-source Project Feasibility Tools for Supporting Development of the Green Ammonia Value Chain
Nov 2022
Publication
Ammonia plays a vital role in feeding the world through fertilizer production as well as having other industrial uses. However current ammonia production processes rely heavily on fossil fuels mostly natural gas to generate hydrogen as a feedstock. There is an urgent need to re-design and decarbonise the production process to reduce greenhouse emissions and avoid dependence on volatile gas markets and a depleting resource base. Renewable energy driven electrolysis to generate hydrogen provides a viable pathway for producing carbon-free or green ammonia. However a key challenge associated with producing green ammonia is managing low cost but highly variable wind and solar renewable energy generation for hydrogen electrolysis while maintaining reliable operation of the less flexible ammonia synthesis unit. To date green ammonia production has only been demonstrated at pilot scale and optimising plant configurations and scaling up production facilities is an urgent task. Existing feasibility studies have demonstrated the ability to model and cost green ammonia production pathways that can overcome the technical and economic challenges. However these existing approaches are context specific demonstrating the ability to model and cost green ammonia production for defined locations with set configurations. In this paper we present a modelling framework that consolidates the array of configurations previously studied into a single framework that can be tailored to the location of interest. Our open-source green ammonia modelling and costing tool dynamically simulates the integration of renewable energy with a wide range of balancing power and storage options to meet the flexible demands of the green ammonia production process at hourly time resolution over a year or more. Unlike existing models the open-source implementation of our tool allows it to be used by a potentially wide range of stakeholders to explore their own projects and help guide the upscaling of green ammonia as a pathway for decarbonisation. Using Gladstone in Australia as a case study a 1 million tonne per annum (MMTPA) green ammonia plant is modelled and costed using price assumptions for major equipment in 2030 provided by the Australian Energy Market Operator (AEMO). Using a hybrid (solar PV and wind) renewable energy source and Battery Energy Storage System as balancing technology we estimate a levelized cost of ammonia (LCOA) between 0.69 and 0.92 USD kgNH3 -1 . While greater than historical ammonia production costs from natural gas falling renewables costs and emission reduction imperatives suggest a major future role for green ammonia.
Putting Bioenergy With Carbon Capture and Storage in a Spatial Context: What Should Go Where?
Mar 2022
Publication
This paper explores the implications of siting a bioenergy with carbon capture and storage (BECCS) facility to carbon emission performances for three case-study supply chains using the Carbon Navigation System (CNS) model. The three case-study supply chains are a wheat straw derived BECCS-power a municipal solid waste derived BECCS-waste-to-energy and a sawmill residue derived BECCS-hydrogen. A BECCS facility needs to be carefully sited taking into consideration its local low carbon infrastructure available biomass and geography for successful deployment and achieving a favorable net-negative carbon balance. On average across the three supply chains a 10 km shift in the siting of the BECCS facility results in an 8.6–13.1% increase in spatially explicit supply chain emissions. BECCS facilities producing low purity CO2 at high yields have lower spatial emissions when located within the industrial clusters while those producing high purity CO2 at low yields perform better outside the clusters. A map is also generated identifying which of the three modeled supply chains delivers the lowest spatially explicit supply chain emission options for any given area of the UK at a 1 MtCO2/yr capture scale.
Industrial Status, Technological Progress, Challenges, and Prospects of Hydrogen Energy
Apr 2022
Publication
Under the requirements of China's strategic goal of "carbon peaking and carbon neutrality" as a renewable clean and efficient secondary energy source hydrogen benefits from abundant resources a wide variety of sources a high combustion calorific value clean and non-polluting various forms of utilization energy storage mediums and good security etc. It will become a realistic way to help energy transportation petrochemical and other fields to achieve deep decarbonization and will turn into an important replacement energy source for China to build a modern clean energy system. It is clear that accelerating the development of hydrogen energy has become a global consensus. In order to provide a theoretical support for the accelerated transformation of hydrogen-related industries and energy companies and provide a basis and reference for the construction of "Hydrogen Energy China" this paper describes main key technological progresses in the hydrogen industry chain such as hydrogen production storage transportation and application. The status and development trends of hydrogen industrialization are analyzed and then the challenges faced by the development of the hydrogen industry are discussed. At last the development and future of the hydrogen industry are prospected. The following conclusions are achieved. (1) Hydrogen technologies of our country will become mature and enter the road of industrialization. The whole industry chain system of the hydrogen industry is gradually being formed and will realize the leap-forward development from gray hydrogen blue hydrogen to green hydrogen. (2) The overall development of the entire hydrogen industry chain such as hydrogen production storage and transportation fuel cells hydrogen refueling stations and other scenarios should be accelerated. Besides in-depth integration and coordination with the oil and gas industry needs more attention which will rapidly promote the high-quality development of the hydrogen industry system. (3) The promotion and implementation of major projects such as "north-east hydrogen transmission" "west-east hydrogen transmission" "sea hydrogen landing" and utilization of infrastructures such as gas filling stations can give full play to the innate advantages of oil and gas companies in industrial chain nodes such as hydrogen production and refueling etc. which can help to achieve the application of "oil gas hydrogen and electricity" four-station joint construction form a nationwide hydrogen resource guarantee system and accelerate the planning and promotion of the "Hydrogen Energy China" strategy.
Renewable Electricity for Decarbonisation of Road Transport: Batteries or E-Fuels?
Feb 2023
Publication
Road transport is one of the most energy-consuming and greenhouse gas (GHG) emitting sectors. Progressive decarbonisation of electricity generation could support the ambitious target of road vehicle climate neutrality in two different ways: direct electrification with onboard electro-chemical storage or a change of energy vector with e-fuels. The most promising state-of-the-art electrochemical storages for road transport have been analysed considering current and future technologies (the most promising ones) whose use is assumed to occur within the next 10–15 years. Different e-fuels (e-hydrogen e-methanol e-diesel e-ammonia E-DME and e-methane) and their production pathways have been reviewed and compared in terms of energy density synthesis efficiency and technology readiness level. A final energetic comparison between electrochemical storages and e-fuels has been carried out considering different powertrain architectures highlighting the huge difference in efficiency for these competing solutions. E-fuels require 3–5 times more input energy and cause 3–5 times higher equivalent vehicle CO2 emissions if the electricity is not entirely decarbonised.
Multilevel Governance, PV Solar Energy, and Entrepreneurship: The Generation of Green Hydrogen as a Fuel of Renewable Origin
Sep 2022
Publication
In Spain the institutional framework for photovoltaic energy production has experienced distinct stages. From 2007 to 2012 the feed-in-tariff system led to high annual growth rates of this renewable energy but after the suppression of the policy of public subsidies the sector stagnated. In recent years green hydrogen an innocuous gas in the atmosphere has become a driving force that stimulates photovoltaic energy production. Since 2020 encouraged by the European energy strategies and corresponding funds Spain has established a regulation to promote green hydrogen as a form of energy resource. Adopting the new institutional economics (NIE) approach this article investigates the process of changing incentives for the energy business sector and its impact on photovoltaic energy production. The results show an increase in the number of both projects approved or on approval and companies involved in green hydrogen that are planning to use photovoltaic energy in Spain thus engendering the creation of a new photovoltaic business environment based on innovation and sustainability.
Time‐Decoupling Layered Optimization for Energy and Transportation Systems under Dynamic Hydrogen Pricing
Jul 2022
Publication
The growing popularity of renewable energy and hydrogen‐powered vehicles (HVs) will facilitate the coordinated optimization of energy and transportation systems for economic and en‐ vironmental benefits. However little research attention has been paid to dynamic hydrogen pricing and its impact on the optimal performance of energy and transportation systems. To reduce the dependency on centralized controllers and protect information privacy a time‐decoupling layered optimization strategy is put forward to realize the low‐carbon and economic operation of energy and transportation systems under dynamic hydrogen pricing. First a dynamic hydrogen pricing mechanism was formulated on the basis of the share of renewable power in the energy supply and introduced into the optimization of distributed energy stations (DESs) which will promote hydro‐ gen production using renewable power and minimize the DES construction and operation cost. On the basis of the dynamic hydrogen price optimized by DESs and the traffic conditions on roads the raised user‐centric routing optimization method can select a minimum cost route for HVs to purchase fuels from a DES with low‐cost and/or low‐carbon hydrogen. Finally the effectiveness of the proposed optimization strategy was verified by simulations.
Green Hydrogen in Developing Countries
Aug 2020
Publication
In the future green hydrogen—hydrogen produced with renewable energy resources—could provide developing countries with a zero-carbon energy carrier to support national sustainable energy objectives and it needs further consideration by policy makers and investors. Developing countries with good renewable energy resources could produce green hydrogen locally generating economic opportunities and increasing energy security by reducing exposure to oil price volatility and supply disruptions. Support from development finance institutions and concessional funds could play an important role in deploying first-of-a-kind green hydrogen projects accelerating the uptake of green hydrogen in developing countries and increasing capacity and creating the necessary policy and regulatory enabling environment.
Development of Risk Mitigation Guidance for Hydrogen Sensor Placement Indoors and Outdoors
Sep 2021
Publication
Guidance on Sensor Placement remains one of the top priorities for the safe deployment of hydrogen and fuel cell equipment in the commercial marketplace. Building on the success of Phase l work reported at TCHS20l9 and published in TJHE this paper discusses the consecutive steps to further develop and validate such guidance for mechanically ventilated enclosures. The key step included a more in-depth analysis of sensitivity to variation of physical parameters in a small enclosure. and finally expansion of the developed approach to confined spaces in an outdoor environment.
On the Bulk Transport of Green Hydrogen at Sea: Comparison Between Submarine Pipeline and Compressed and Liquefied Transport by Ship
Jan 2023
Publication
This paper compares six (6) alternatives for green hydrogen transport at sea. Two (2) alternatives of liquid hydrogen (LH2) by ship two (2) alternatives of compressed hydrogen (cH2) by ship and two (2) alternatives of hydrogen by pipeline. The ship alternatives study having hydrogen storage media at both end terminals to reduce the ships’ time at port or prescinding of them and reduce the immobilized capital. In the case of the pipeline new models are proposed by considering pressure costs. One scenario considers that there are compression stations every 500 km and the other one considers that there are none along the way. These alternatives are assessed under nine different scenarios that combine three distances: 100 km 2500 km and 5000 km; and three export rates of hydrogen 100 kt/y 1 Mt/y and 10 Mt/y. The results show including uncertainty bands that for the 100 km of distance the best alternative is the pipeline. For 2500 km and 100 kt/y the top alternative is cH2 shipping without storage facilities at the port terminals. For 2500 km and 1 Mt/y and for 5000 km and 100 kt/y the best alternatives are cH2 or LH2 shipping. For the remaining scenarios the best alternative is LH2 shipping.
A Technical Evaluation to Analyse of Potential Repurposing of Submarine Pipelines for Hydrogen and CCS Using Survival Analysis
Oct 2022
Publication
The UK oil and gas sector is mature and a combination of a dwindling resource base and a move towards decarbonisation has led to lower investments and an increasing decommissioning bill. Many existing offshore assets are in the vicinity of potential renewable energy developments or low-carbon facilities. We propose a technical evaluation process to understand whether pipelines might be repurposed to reduce the costs of low-carbon energy investment and oil decommissioning. We identify survival analysis as an effective method to investigate the potential of pipelines repurposing based on historical failure records as it deals with acceptable levels of data gaps and does not require associated field costs for detailed inspection. It provides a close estimate of the anticipated remaining life when compared to feasibility studies. We use survival analysis to examine several repurposing case studies for low-carbon investments. It also demonstrates that several pipeline systems have the potential to operate safely beyond their design life. Detailed records of failure will allow for further development of this methodology in the future.
Navigating the Implementation of Tax Credits for Natural-Gas-Based Low-Carbon-Intensity Hydrogen Projects
Mar 2024
Publication
This paper delves into the critical role of tax credits specifically Sections 45Q and 45V in the financing and economic feasibility of low-carbon-intensity hydrogen projects with a focus on natural-gas-based hydrogen production plants integrated with carbon capture and storage (CCS). This study covers the current clean energy landscape underscoring the importance of low-carbon hydrogen as a key component in the transition to a sustainable energy future and then explicates the mechanics of the 45Q and 45V tax credits illustrating their direct impact on enhancing the economic attractiveness of such projects through a detailed net present value (NPV) model analysis. Our analysis reveals that the application of 45Q and 45V tax credits significantly reduces the levelized cost of hydrogen production with scenarios indicating a reduction in cost ranging from USD 0.41/kg to USD 0.81/kg of hydrogen. Specifically the 45Q tax credit demonstrates a slightly more advantageous impact on reducing costs compared to the 45V tax credit underpinning the critical role of these fiscal measures in enhancing project returns and feasibility. Furthermore this paper addresses the inherent limitations of utilizing tax credits primarily the challenge posed by the mismatch between the scale of tax credits and the tax liability of the project developers. The concept and role of tax equity investments are discussed in response to this challenge. These findings contribute to the broader dialogue on the financing of sustainable energy projects providing valuable insights for policymakers investors and developers in the hydrogen energy sector. By quantifying the economic benefits of tax credits and elucidating the role of tax equity investments our research supports informed decision-making and strategic planning in the pursuit of a sustainable energy future.
Novel Ways for Hydrogen Production Based on Methane Steam and Dry Reforming Integrated with Carbon Capture
Sep 2022
Publication
The combination of methane steam reforming technology and CCS (Carbon Capture and Storage) technology has great potential to reduce carbon emissions in the process of hydrogen production. Different from the traditional idea of capturing CO2 (Carbon Dioxide) in the exhaust gas with high work consumption this study simultaneously focuses on CO2 separation from fuel gas and recycling. A new hydrogen production system is developed by methane steam reforming coupled with carbon capture. Separated and captured high-purity carbon dioxide could be recycled for methane dry reforming; on this basis a new methane-dry-reforming-driven hydrogen production system with a carbon dioxide reinjection unit is innovatively proposed. In this study the energy flow and irreversible loss in the two newly developed systems are analyzed in detail through energy and exergy balance analysis. The advantages are explored from the perspective of hydrogen production rate natural gas consumption and work consumption. In addition in consideration of the integrated performance an optimal design analysis was conducted. In terms of hydrogen production the new system based on dry reforming is better with an advantage of 2.41%; however it is worth noting that the comprehensive thermal performance of the new steam reforming system is better reaching 10.95%. This study provides new ideas for hydrogen production from a low carbon emission perspective and also offers a new direction for future distributed energy system integration.
Improved Engine Performance and Significantly Reduced Greenhouse Gas Emissions by Fumigating Hydrogen in a Diesel Engine
Oct 2022
Publication
A thermodynamic model was developed for combustion performance and emissions with a reference diesel fuel a 10 vol% methanol blend with 90 vol% diesel a 10 vol% ethanol with 90 vol% diesel and a 4% hydrogen fumigating in the inlet port along with diesel direct injection. The diesel and two alcohol blends (10% methanol–90% diesel and 10% ethanol–90% diesel) was directly injected into the cylinder while hydrogen was fumigated at the inlet port. The model was developed by commercial GT-Suite software. Besides engine performance exergy and energy rates were estimated for the four fuels. Among the four fuels/fuel blends hydrogen fuel (4% fumigated hydrogen) shows the best performance in terms of exergy energy rates specific fuel consumption power and greenhouse gas emissions. Regarding greenhouse gases carbon dioxide was only considered in this investigation as it contributes to a significant detrimental effect on environmental pollution.
What Is the Policy Effect of Coupling the Green Hydrogen Market, National Carbon Trading Market and Electricity Market?
Oct 2022
Publication
Green hydrogen has become the key to social low-carbon transformation and is fully linked to zero carbon emissions. The carbon emissions trading market is a policy tool used to control carbon emissions using a market-oriented mechanism. Building a modular carbon trading center for the hydrogen energy industry would greatly promote the meeting of climate targets. Based on this a “green hydrogen market—national carbon trading market–electricity market” coupling mechanism is designed. Then the “green hydrogen market—national carbon trading market–electricity market” mechanism is modeled and simulated using system dynamics. The results are as follows: First coupling between the green hydrogen market carbon trading market and electricity market can be realized through green hydrogen certification and carbon quota trading. It is found that the coupling model is feasible through simulation. Second simulation of the basic scenario finds that multiple-market coupling can stimulate an increase in carbon price the control of thermal power generation and an increase in green hydrogen production. Finally the proportion of the green hydrogen certification the elimination mechanism of outdated units and the quota auction mechanism will help to form a carbon pricing mechanism. This study enriches the green hydrogen trading model and establishes a multiple-market linkage mechanism.
The Dawn of Hydrogen - Fuel of the Future
Aug 2021
Publication
This is a time of enormous change for the gas industry as the UK and the world at large attempts to meet the challenges of decarbonisation in the face of climate change. Hydrogen is expected to play a vital role in achieving the government’s commitment of eliminating the UK’s contribution to climate change by 2050 with the industry creating up to 8000 jobs by 2030 and potentially unlocking up to 100000 jobs by the middle of the century. But despite the UK government’s huge ambitions hydrogen is just one piece of the puzzle and it will be necessary to seek solutions that bring the whole energy system together – including not just heat for buildings but hard-to decarbonise areas such as manufacturing road transport aviation and shipping. Here we bring you just a taste of some of the amazing work taking place across the energy sector to understand this fuel more clearly to comprehend its strengths and limitations and to integrate it into our current energy infrastructure. We hope you enjoy this special publication.
Numerical Simulations of Suppression Effect of Water Mist on Hydrogen Deflagration in Confined Spaces
Sep 2021
Publication
Hydrogen safety issues attract focuses increasingly as more and more hydrogen powered vehicles are going to be operated in traffic infrastructures of different kinds like tunnels. Due to the confinement feature of traffic tunnels hydrogen deflagration may pose a risk when a hydrogen leak event occurs in a tunnel e.g. failure of the hydrogen storage system caused by a car accident in a tunnel. A water injection system can be designed in tunnels as a mitigation measure to suppress the pressure and thermal loads of hydrogen combustion in accident scenarios. The COM3D is a fully verified three-dimensional finite-difference turbulent flow combustion code which models gas mixing hydrogen combustion and detonation in nuclear containment with mitigation device or other confined facilities like vacuum vessel of fusion and semi-confined hydrogen facilities in industry such as traffic tunnels hydrogen refueling station etc. Therefore by supporting of the European HyTunnel-CS project the COM3D is applied to simulate numerically the hydrogen deflagration accident in a tunnel model being suppressed by water mist injection. The suppression effect of water mist and the suppression mechanism is elaborated and discussed in the study.
Differentiating Gas Leaks from Normal Appliance Use
Jun 2021
Publication
DNV has carried out an investigation into potential uses for smart gas meter data as part of Phase 1 of the Modernising Energy Data Applications competition as funded by UK Research & Innovation. In particular a series of calculations have been carried out to investigate the possibility of differentiating accidental gas leaks from normal appliance use in domestic properties. This is primarily with the aim of preventing explosions but the detection of leaks also has environmental and financial benefits.
Three gases have been considered in this study:
An examination of detailed historical incident information suggests that the explosions that lead to fatalities or significant damage to houses are typically of the type that would be more likely to be detected and prevented. It is estimated that between 25% and 75% of the more severe explosions could be prevented depending on which potential improvements are implemented.
Based on the conservative estimates of explosion prevention a cost benefit analysis suggests that it is justifiable to spend between around £1 and £10 per meter installed to implement the proposed technology. This is based purely on lives saved and does not take account of other benefits.
Three gases have been considered in this study:
- A representative UK natural gas composition.
- A blend of 80% natural gas and 20% hydrogen.
- Pure hydrogen.
- Small holes of up to 1 mm rarely reach flammable gas/air concentrations for any gas except under the most unfavourable conditions such as small volumes combined with low ventilation rates. These releases would likely be detected within 6 to 12 hours.
- Medium holes between 1 mm and 6 mm give outflow rates equivalent to a moderate to high level of gas use by appliances. The ability to detect these leaks is highly dependent on the hole size the time at which the leak begins and the normal gas use profile in the building. The larger leaks in this category would be detected within 30 to 60 minutes while the smaller leaks could take several hours to be clearly differentiated from appliance use. This is quick enough to prevent some explosions.
- Large holes of over 6 mm give leak rates greater than any gas use by appliances. These releases rapidly reach a flammable gas/air mixture in most cases but would typically be detected within the first 30-minute meter output period. Again some explosions could be prevented in this timescale.
An examination of detailed historical incident information suggests that the explosions that lead to fatalities or significant damage to houses are typically of the type that would be more likely to be detected and prevented. It is estimated that between 25% and 75% of the more severe explosions could be prevented depending on which potential improvements are implemented.
Based on the conservative estimates of explosion prevention a cost benefit analysis suggests that it is justifiable to spend between around £1 and £10 per meter installed to implement the proposed technology. This is based purely on lives saved and does not take account of other benefits.
Environmental Impact Assessment of Hydrogen Production via Steam Methane Reforming Based on Emissions Data
Oct 2022
Publication
Steam methane reforming (SMR) using natural gas is the most commonly used technology for hydrogen production. Industrial hydrogen production contributes to pollutant emissions which may differ from the theoretical estimates due to process conditions type and state of installed pollution control equipment. The aim of this study was to estimate the impacts of hydrogen production using facilitylevel real emissions data collected from multiple US EPA databases. The study applied the ReCiPe2016 impact assessment method and considered 12 midpoint and 14 endpoint impacts for 33 US SMR hydrogen production facilities. Global warming impacts were mostly driven by CO2 emissions and contributed to 94.6% of the endpoint impacts on human health while global warming impact on terrestrial ecosystems contributed to 98.3% of the total endpoint impacts on ecosystems. The impacts estimated by direct emissions from the 33 facilities were 9.35 kg CO2e/kg H2 which increased to 11.2 kg CO2e/kg H2 when the full life cycle of hydrogen production including upstream emissions was included. The average global warming impact could be reduced by 5.9% and 11.1% with increases in hydrogen production efficiency by 5% and 10% respectively. Potential impact reductions are also found when natural gas hydrogen production feedstock is replaced by renewable sources with the greatest reduction of 78.1% found in hydrogen production via biomass gasification followed by 68.2% reduction in landfill gas and 53.7% reduction in biomethane-derived hydrogen production.
The Maritime Sector and Its Problematic Decarbonization: A Systematic Review of the Contribution of Alternative Fuels
May 2022
Publication
The present study seeks to select the most important articles and reviews from the Web of Science database that approached alternative fuels towards the decarbonization of the maritime sector. Through a systematic review methodology a combination of keywords and manual refining found a contribution of 103 works worldwide the European continent accounting for 57% of all publications. Twenty-two types of fuels were cited by the authors liquefied natural gas (LNG) hydrogen and biodiesel contributing to 49% of the mentions. Greenhouse gases sulfur oxide nitrogen oxide and particulate matter reductions are some of the main advantages of cleaner sources if used by the vessels. Nevertheless there is a lack of practical research on new standards engine performance cost and regulations from the academy to direct more stakeholders towards low carbon intensity in the shipping sector.
East Coast Hydrogen Feasibility Report
Nov 2021
Publication
The highlights of the report include:
- East Coast Hydrogen has the potential to connect up to 7GW of hydrogen production by 2030 alone exceeding the UK Government’s 5GW by 2030 target in a single project. It represents an unmissable opportunity for government and the private sector to work together in delivering on our ambitious decarbonisation targets.
- East Coast Hydrogen can use the natural assets of the North of England including existing and potential hydrogen storage facilities and build on the hydrogen production in two of the UK’s largest industrial clusters in the North East and North West in turn ensuring significant private sector investment in the UK’s industrial heartlands.
- This would be the first step in the conversion of our national gas grid to hydrogen and will act as a blueprint for subsequent conversions across the UK.
- The project will also demonstrate the innovation engineering capabilities and economic opportunity in the North and create tens of thousands of highly skilled Green jobs in the future hydrogen economy."
Shock Tube Experiments on Flame Propagation Regimes and Critical Conditions for Flame Acceleration and Detonation Transition for Hydrogen-air Mixtures at Cryogenic Temperatures
Sep 2021
Publication
A series of more than 100 experiments with hydrogen-air mixtures at cryogenic temperatures have been performed in a shock tube in the frame of the PRESLHY project. A wide range of hydrogen concentrations from 8 to 60%H2 in the shock tube of the length of 5 m and 50 mm id was tested at cryogenic temperatures from 80 to 130K at ambient pressure. Flame propagation regimes were investigated for all hydrogen compositions in the shock tube at three different blockage ratios (BR) 0 0.3 and 0.6 as a function of initial temperature. Pressure sensors and InGaAs-photodiodes have been applied to monitor the flame and shock propagation velocity of the process. The experiments at ambient pressure and temperature were conducted as the reference data for cryogenic experiments. A critical expansion ratio for an effective flame acceleration to the speed of sound was experimentally found at cryogenic temperatures. The detonability criterion for smooth and obstructed channels was used to evaluate the detonation cell sizes at cryogenic temperatures as well. The main peculiarities of cryogenic combustion with respect to the safety assessment were that the maximum combustion pressure was several times higher compared to ambient temperature and the run-up-distance to detonation was several times shorter independent of lower chemical reactivity at cryogenic conditions.
Is Blue Hydrogen a Bridging Technology? - The Limits of a CO2 Price and the Role of State-induced Price Components for Green Hydrogen Production in Germany
Jun 2022
Publication
The European Commission aims to establish green hydrogen produced through electrolysis using renewable electricity and in a transition phase hydrogen produced in a low-carbon process or blue hydrogen. In an extensive cost analysis for Germany up to 2050 based on scenario data and a component-based learning rate approach we find that blue hydrogen is likely to establish itself as the most cost-effective option and not only as a medium-term low-carbon alternative. We find that expected CO2 prices below €480/tCO2 have a limited impact on the economic feasibility of electrolysis and show that substantial increases in excise tax on natural gas could lead blue hydrogen to reach a sufficient cost level for electrolysed hydrogen. Unless alternatives for green hydrogen supply through infrastructure and imports become available at lower cost electrolysed hydrogen may require long-term subsidies. As blue hydrogen comprises fugitive methane emissions and financing needs for green hydrogen support have implications for society and competition in the internal market we suggest that policymakers rely on hydrogen for decarbonising only essential energy applications. We recommend further investigations into the cost of hydrogen infrastructure and import options as well as efficient subsidy frameworks.
Super Short Term Combined Power Prediction for Wind Power Hydrogen Production
Sep 2022
Publication
A combined ultra-short-term wind power prediction strategy with high robustness based on least squares support vector machine (LSSVM) has been proposed in order to solve the wind abandonment caused by wind power randomness and realize efficient hydrogen production under wide power fluctuation. Firstly the original wind power data is decomposed into sub-modes with different bandwidth by variational modal decomposition (VMD) which reduces the influence of random noise and mode mixing significantly. Then dragonfly algorithm (DA) is introduced to optimize LSSVM kernel function and the combined ultra-short-term wind power prediction strategy which meets the time resolution and accuracy requirements of electrolytic cell control has been established finally. This model is validated by a wind power hydrogen production demonstration project output in the middle east of China. The superior prediction accuracy for high volatility wind power data is verified and the algorithm provides theoretical basis to improve the control of wind power hydrogen production system
The Role of Offshore Wind Power in Renewable Hydrogen Production
Jan 2023
Publication
We investigate the role of offshore wind in a hybrid system comprising solar PV offshore wind electrical storage (pumped hydro energy storage or battery) and an electrolyser in an off-grid hydrogen production system. Further we capture a wide range of future cost reduction scenarios for offshore wind power and solar PV generation in addition to accounting for future projected falls in electrolyser costs allowing future hydrogen costs to be estimated with a variety of different assumptions. The empirical setting of Australia and incorporation of solar PV as an additional potential source of electricity enables us to examine the contribution of offshore wind to renewable hydrogen production when an low-cost renewable alternative is available. This study complements a small number of studies on opportunities for offshore wind power in the Australian setting (Briggs et al. 2021; Golestani et al. 2021; Aryai et al. 2021) and contributes to research on the potential for offshore wind to contribute to green hydrogen production focused on the crucial Asia-Pacific region (Kim and Kim 2017; Song et al. 2021).<br/>In the following sections we describe the optimization model and the process used for selecting sites used in the study. We then summarize the modelling scenarios and assumptions before outlining the modelling results. We conclude by discussing the implications of the findings.
Green Hydrogen Production and Use in Low- and Middle-income Countries: A Least-cost Geospatial Modelling Approach Applied to Kenya
May 2023
Publication
With the rising threat of climate change green hydrogen is increasingly seen as the high-capacity energy storage and transport medium of the future. This creates an opportunity for low- and middle-income countries to leverage their high renewable energy potential to produce use and export low-cost green hydrogen creating environmental and economic development benefits. While identifying ideal locations for green hydrogen production is critical for countries when defining their green hydrogen strategies there has been a paucity of adequate geospatial planning approaches suitable to low- and middle-income countries. It is essential for these countries to identify green hydrogen production sites which match demand to expected use cases such that their strategies are economically sustainable. This paper therefore develops a novel geospatial cost modelling method to optimize the location of green hydrogen production across different use cases with a focus on suitability to low- and middle-income countries. This method is applied in Kenya to investigate the potential hydrogen supply chain for three use cases: ammonia-based fertilizer freight transport and export. We find hydrogen production costs of e3.7–9.9/kgH2 are currently achievable across Kenya depending on the production location chosen. The cheapest production locations are identified to the south and south-east of Lake Turkana. We show that ammonia produced in Kenya can be cost-competitive given the current energy crisis and that Kenya could export hydrogen to Rotterdam with costs of e7/kgH2 undercutting current market prices regardless of the carrier medium. With expected techno-economic improvements hydrogen production costs across Kenya could drop to e1.8–3.0/kgH2 by 2030.
A Study into Proton Exchange Membrane Fuel Cell Power and Voltage Prediction using Artificial Neural Network
Sep 2022
Publication
Polymer Electrolyte Membrane fuel cell (PEMFC) uses hydrogen as fuel to generate electricity and by-product water at relatively low operating temperatures which is environmentally friendly. Since PEMFC performance characteristics are inherently nonlinear and related predicting the best performance for the different operating conditions is essential to improve the system’s efficiency. Thus modeling using artificial neural networks (ANN) to predict its performance can significantly improve the capabilities of handling multi-variable nonlinear performance of the PEMFC. This paper predicts the electrical performance of a PEMFC stack under various operating conditions. The four input terms for the 5 W PEMFC include anode and cathode pressures and flow rates. The model performances are based on ANN using two different learning algorithms to estimate the stack voltage and power. The models have shown consistently to be comparable to the experimental data. All models with at least five hidden neurons have coefficients of determination of 0.95 or higher. Meanwhile the PEMFC voltage and power models have mean squared errors of less than 1 × 10−3 V and 1 × 10−3 W respectively. Therefore the model results demonstrate the potential use of ANN into the implementation of such models to predict the steady state behavior of the PEMFC system (not limited to polarization curves) for different operating conditions and help in the optimization process for achieving the best performance of the system.
Experimental Study on the Effects of Hydrogen Injection Strategy on the Combustion and Emissions of a Hydrogen/Gasoline Dual Fuel SI Engine under Lean Burn Condition
Oct 2022
Publication
Hydrogen addition can improve the performance and extend the lean burn limit of gasoline engines. Different hydrogen injection strategies lead to different types of hydrogen mixture distribution (HMD) which affects the engine performance. Therefore the present study experimentally investigated the effects of hydrogen injection strategy on the combustion and emissions of a hydrogen/gasoline dual-fuel port-injection engine under lean-burn conditions. Four different hydrogen injection strategies were explored: hydrogen direct injection (HDI) forming a stratified hydrogen mixture distribution (SHMD); hydrogen intake port injection forming a premixed hydrogen mixture distribution (PHMD); split hydrogen direct injection (SHDI) forming a partially premixed hydrogen mixture distribution (PPHMD); and no hydrogen addition (NHMD). The results showed that 20% hydrogen addition could extend the lean burn limit from 1.5 to 2.8. With the increase in the excess air ratio the optimum HMD changed from PPHMD to SHMD. The maximum brake thermal efficiency was obtained with an excess air ratio of 1.5 with PPHMD. The coefficient of variation (COV) with NHMD was higher than that with hydrogen addition since the hydrogen enhanced the stability of ignition and combustion. The engine presented the lowest emissions with PHMD. There were almost no carbon monoxide (CO) and nitrogen oxides (NOx) emissions when the excess air ratio was respectively more than 1.4 and 2.0.
Feasibility and Impact of a Swedish Fuel Cell-powered Rescue Boat
Jun 2021
Publication
With the increasing interest for zero-emission vehicles electric boats represent a growing area. Weight is a limiting factor for battery-powered boats therefore the use of fuel cell/battery systems is investigated. The present study examines the power requirements the energy-storage solutions and the sustainability assessment of a light and fast rescue boat operating in the Swedish lake Barken. A weight-optimized hybrid fuel cell/battery system is presented. The results show that if the hydrogen storage is wisely selected the weight of the hybrid system is significantly less than that of a battery system and can compete with an internal combustion engine system. The sustainability assessment highlights and compares the impact in terms of cost and emissions of the different energy storage solutions. The quantification of the emissions for the different energy systems under several scenarios shows a clear advantage for the electric solutions.
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