Norway
Economic Framework for Green Shipping Corridors: Evaluating Cost-effective Transition from Fossil Fuels Towards Hydrogen
Aug 2024
Publication
Global warming’s major cause is the emission of greenhouse-effect gases (GHG) especially carbon dioxide (CO2) whose main source is the combustion of fossil fuels. Fossil fuels serve as the primary energy source in many industries including shipping which is the focus of this study. One of the measures proposed to tackle GHG emissions is the development of green shipping corridors - carbon-free shipping routes that require the transition to alternative fuels which are gaining competitiveness. One of the reasons for that is carbon pricing which taxes CO2 emissions. However the lack of consensus on the most cost-advantageous alternative fuel in the long run results in the delay of the implementation of green shipping corridors. To make it more accessible for stakeholders to conduct an economic analysis of the various options a framework to determine and minimize the costs of transitioning from fossil fuels to any alternative fuel is proposed over the period of one voyage considering the lost opportunity cost the deployment cost of bunkering vessels at the necessary call ports the cost of converting the vessel the car-bon emissions tax cost and the fuel cost. This will allow stakeholders to choose the most economical alternative fuel accelerating the development of green shipping corridor initiatives. To validate the effectiveness of the framework it was applied in a case study involving a shipowner seeking to transition from heavy fuel oil (HFO) to Ammonia Hydrogen Liquefied Natural Gas (LNG) or Methanol. This study faced limitations due to the unknown costs of installing bunkering vessels for Ammonia and Hydrogen. However it evaluates the cost-effectiveness of alternative fuels providing insights into their short-term economic viability. The results showed that Hydrogen is the most costadvantageous fuel until a deployment cost per bunkering vessel of 1990285$ for a sailing speed of 22 knots and 2190171$ for a sailing speed of 18 knots is reached after which LNG becomes the most economical option regardless of variations in the carbon tax. Moreover a sensitivity analysis was conducted to determine the effects of variations in parameters such as carbon tax fuel prices and vessel conversion costs in the total cost of each fuel option. Results highlighted that even though HFO remains the most economical fuel option even when considering a high increase in carbon tax the cost gap between HFO and alternative fuels narrows significantly with the increase in carbon tax. Furthermore the sailing speed impacts the fuels’ competitiveness as the cost difference between HFO and alternative fuels decreases at higher speeds.
Climate Change Mitigation Potentials of on Grid-connected Power-to-X Fuels and Advanced Biofuels for the European Maritime Transport
Jul 2023
Publication
This study proposes a country-based life-cycle assessment (LCA) of several conversion pathways related 10 to both on grid-connected Power-to-X (PtX) fuels and advanced biofuel production for maritime transport 11 in Europe. We estimate the biomass resource availability (both agricultural and forest residues and 12 second-generation energy crops from abandoned cropland) electricity mix and a future-oriented 13 prospective LCA to assess how future climate change mitigation policies influence the results. Our results 14 indicate that the potential of PtX fuels to achieve well-to-wake greenhouse gas intensities lower than 15 those of fossil fuels is limited to countries with a carbon intensity of the electricity mix below 100 gCO2eq kWh-1 16 . The more ambitious FuelEU Maritime goal could be achieved with PtX only if connected to electricity sources below ca. 17 gCO2eq kWh-1 17 which can become possible for most of the national 18 electricity mix in Europe by 2050 if renewable energy sources will become deployed at large scales. For 19 drop-in and hydrogen-based biofuels biomass residues have a higher potential to reduce emissions than 20 dedicated energy crops. In Europe the potentials of energy supply from all renewable and low-carbon 21 fuels (RLFs) range from 32-149% of the current annual fuel consumption in European maritime transport. 22 The full deployment of RLFs with carbon capture and storage technologies could mitigate up to 184% of 23 the current well-to-wake shipping emissions in Europe. Overall our study highlights how the strategic use 24 of both hydrogen-based biofuels and PtX fuels can contribute to the climate mitigation targetsfor present 25 and future scenarios of European maritime transport.
Research and Development of Hydrogen Carrier Based Solutions for Hydrogen Compression and Storage
Aug 2022
Publication
Martin Dornheim,
Lars Baetcke,
Etsuo Akiba,
Jose-Ramón Ares,
Tom Autrey,
Jussara Barale,
Marcello Baricco,
Kriston Brooks,
Nikolaos Chalkiadakis,
Véronique Charbonnier,
Steven Christensen,
José Bellosta von Colbe,
Mattia Costamagna,
Erika Michela Dematteis,
Jose-Francisco Fernández,
Thomas Gennett,
David Grant,
Tae Wook Heo,
Michael Hirscher,
Katherine Hurst,
Mykhaylo V. Lototskyy,
Oliver Metz,
Paola Rizzi,
Kouji Sakaki,
Sabrina Sartori,
Emmanuel Stamatakis,
Alastair D. Stuart,
Athanasios Stubos,
Gavin Walker,
Colin Webb,
Brandon Wood,
Volodymyr A. Yartys and
Emmanuel Zoulias
Industrial and public interest in hydrogen technologies has risen strongly recently as hydrogen is the ideal means for medium to long term energy storage transport and usage in combination with renewable and green energy supply. In a future energy system the production storage and usage of green hydrogen is a key technology. Hydrogen is and will in future be even more used for industrial production processes as a reduction agent or for the production of synthetic hydrocarbons especially in the chemical industry and in refineries. Under certain conditions material based systems for hydrogen storage and compression offer advantages over the classical systems based on gaseous or liquid hydrogen. This includes in particular lower maintenance costs higher reliability and safety. Hydrogen storage is possible at pressures and temperatures much closer to ambient conditions. Hydrogen compression is possible without any moving parts and only by using waste heat. In this paper we summarize the newest developments of hydrogen carriers for storage and compression and in addition give an overview of the different research activities in this field.
Underground Hydrogen Storage in Caverns: Challenges of Impure Salt Stuctures
Oct 2023
Publication
Hydrogen is expected to play a key role in the future as a clean energy source that can mitigate global warming. It can also contribute significantly to reducing the imbalance between energy supply and demand posed by deploying renewable energy. However the infrastructure is not ready for the direct use of hydrogen and largescale storage facilities are needed to store the excess hydrogen production. Geological formations particularly salt caverns seem to be a practical option for this large-scale storage as there is already good experience storing hydrocarbons in caverns worldwide. Salt is known to be ductile impermeable and inert to natural gas. Some cases of hydrogen storage in salt caverns in the United States the United Kingdom and Germany reinforce the idea that salt caverns could be a viable option for underground hydrogen storage especially when the challenges and uncertainties associated with hydrogen storage in porous media are considered. However cavern con struction and management can be challenging when salt deposits are not completely pure and mixed with nonsoluble strata. This review summarises the challenges associated with hydrogen storage in salt caverns and suggests some potential mitigation strategies linked to geomechanical and geochemical interactions. The Zechstein salt group in Northern Europe seems to be a feasible geological site for hydrogen storage but the effect of salt impurity particularly at deep offshore sites such as in the Norwegian North Sea should be carefully analysed. It appears that mechanical integrity geochemical reactions hydrogen loss by halophilic bacteria leaching issues and potential hydrogen diffusion are among the major issues when the internal structure of the salt is not pure.
Effect of Relative Permeability Hysteresis on Reservoir Simulation of Underground Hydrogen Storage in an Offshore Aquifer
Mar 2023
Publication
Underground hydrogen storage (UHS) in porous media is proposed to balance seasonal fluctuations between demand and supply in an emerging hydrogen economy. Despite increasing focus on the topic worldwide the understanding of hydrogen flow in porous media is still not adequate. In particular relative permeability hys teresis and its impact on the storage performance require detailed investigations due to the cyclic nature of H2 injection and withdrawal. We focus our analysis on reservoir simulation of an offshore aquifer setting where we use history matched relative permeability to study the effect of hysteresis and gas type on the storage efficiency. We find that omission of relative permeability hysteresis overestimates the annual working gas capacity by 34 % and the recovered hydrogen volume by 85 %. The UHS performance is similar to natural gas storage when using hysteretic hydrogen relative permeability. Nitrogen relative permeability can be used to model the UHS when hysteresis is ignored but at the cost of the accuracy of the bottom-hole pressure predictions. Our results advance the understanding of the UHS reservoir modeling approaches.
Hydrogen Relative Permeability Hysteresis in Underground Storage
Aug 2022
Publication
Implementation of the hydrogen economy for emission reduction will require storage facilitiesand underground hydrogen storage (UHS) in porous media offers a readily available large-scale option. Lack ofstudies on multiphase hydrogen flow in porous media is one of the several barriers for accurate predictions ofUHS. This paper reports for the first time measurements of hysteresis in hydrogen-water relative permeabilityin a sandstone core under shallow storage conditions. We use the steady state technique to measure primarydrainage imbibition and secondary drainage relative permeabilities and extend laboratory measurements withnumerical history matching and capillary pressure measurements to cover the whole mobile saturation range.We observe that gas and water relative permeabilities show strong hysteresis and nitrogen as substitute forhydrogen in laboratory assessments should be used with care. Our results serve as calibrated input to field scalenumerical modeling of hydrogen injection and withdrawal processes during porous media UHS.
Techno-economic Analysis of the Effect of a Novel Price-based Control System on the Hydrogen Production of an Offshore 1.5 GW Wind-hydrogen System
Feb 2024
Publication
The cost of green hydrogen production is very dependent on the price of electricity. A control system that can schedule hydrogen production based on forecast wind speed and electricity price should therefore be advantageous for large-scale wind-hydrogen systems. This work presents a novel price-based control system integrated in a techno-economic analysis of hydrogen production from offshore wind. A polynomial regression model that predicts wind power production from wind speed input was developed and tested with real-world datasets from a 2.3 MW floating offshore wind turbine. This was combined with a mathematical model of a PEM electrolyzer and used to simulate hydrogen production. A novel price-based control system was developed to decide when the system should produce hydrogen and when it should sell electricity to the grid. The model and control system can be used in real-world wind-hydrogen systems and require only the forecast wind speed electricity price and selling price of hydrogen as inputs. 11 test scenarios based on 10 years of real-world wind speed and electricity price data are proposed and used to evaluate the effect the price-based control system has on the levelized cost of hydrogen (LCOH). Both current and future (2050) costs and technologies are used and the results show that the novel control system lowered the LCOH in all scenarios by 10–46%. The lowest LCOH achieved with current technology and costs was 6.04 $/kg H2. Using the most optimistic forecasts for technology improvements and cost reductions in 2050 the model estimated a LCOH of 0.96 $/kg H2 for a grid-connected offshore wind farm and onshore hydrogen production 0.82 $/kg H2 using grid electricity (onshore) and 4.96 $/kg H2 with an offgrid offshore wind-hydrogen system. When the electricity price from the period 2013–2022 was used on the 2050 scenarios the resulting LCOH was approximately twice as high.
Analysis of Hydrogen Value Chain Events: Implications for Hydrogen Refueling Stations’ Safety
Apr 2024
Publication
Renewable hydrogen is emerging as the key to a sustainable energy transition with multiple applications and uses. In the field of transport in addition to fuel cell vehicles it is necessary to develop an extensive network of hydrogen refueling stations (hereafter HRSs). The characteristics and properties of hydrogen make ensuring the safe operation of these facilities a crucial element for their successful deployment and implementation. This paper shows the outcomes of an analysis of hydrogen incidents and accidents considering their potential application to HRSs. For this purpose the HIAD 2.0 was reviewed and a total of 224 events that could be repeated in any of the major industrial processes related to hydrogen refueling stations were analyzed. This analysis was carried out using a mixed methodology of quantitative and qualitative techniques considering the following hydrogen value chain: production storage delivery and industrial use. The results provide general information segmented by event frequency damage classes and failure typology. The analysis shows the main processes of the value chain allow the identification of key aspects for the safety management of refueling facilities.
Technical Failures in Green Hydrogen Production and Reliability Engineering Responses: Insights from Database Analysis and a Literature Review
Nov 2024
Publication
Green hydrogen represents a promising solution for renewable energy application and carbon footprint reduc tion. However its production through renewable energy powered water electrolysis is hindered by significant cost arising from repair maintenance and economic losses due to unexpected downtimes. Although reliability engineering is highly effective in addressing such issues there is limited research on its application in the hydrogen field. To present the state-of-the-art research this study aims to explore the potential of reducing these events through reliability engineering a widely adopted approach in various industries. For this purpose it examines past accidents occurred in water electrolysis plants from the hydrogen incident and accident database (HIAD 2.1). Besides a literature review is performed to analyze the state-of-the-art application of reliability engineering techniques such as failure analysis reliability assessment and reliability-centered maintenance in the hydrogen sector and similar industries. The study highlights the contributions and potentials of reliability engineering for efficient and stable green hydrogen production while also discussing the gaps in applying this approach. The unique challenges posed by hydrogen’s physical properties and innovative technologies in water electrolysis plants necessitate advancement and specialized approaches for reliability engineering.
Investments in Green Hydrogen as a Flexibility Source for the European Power System by 2050: Does it Pay Off?
Oct 2024
Publication
The European Union aims to deploy a high share of renewable energy sources in Europe’s power system by 2050. Large-scale intermittent wind and solar power production requires flexibility to ensure an adequate supply–demand balance. Green hydrogen (GH) can increase power systems’ flexibility and decrease renewable energy production’s curtailment. However investing in GH is costly and dependent on electricity prices which are important for operational costs in electrolysis. Moreover the use of GH for power system flexibility might not be economically viable if there is no hydrogen demand from the hydrogen market. If so questions would arise as to what would be the incentives to introduce GH as a source of flexibility in the power system and how would electrolyzer costs hydrogen demand and other factors affect the economic viability of GH usage for power system flexibility. The paper implements a European power system model formulated as a stochastic program to address these questions. The authors use the model to compare various instances with hydrogen in the power system to a no-hydrogen instance. The results indicate that by 2050 deployment of approximately 140 GW of GH will pay off investments and make the technology economically viable. We find that the price of hydrogen is estimated to be around €30/MWh.
Thermo-economic Analysis of Green Hydrogen Production Onboard LNG Carriers through Solid Oxide Electrolysis Powered by Organic Rankine Cycles
Nov 2024
Publication
LNG carriers play a crucial role in the shipping industry meeting the global demand for natural gas (NG). However the energy losses resulting from the propulsion system and the excess boil-off gas (BOG) cannot be overlooked. The present article investigates the H2 production on board LNG carriers employing both the engine's waste heat (WH) and the excess BOG. Conventional (ORC) and dual-pressure (2P-ORC) organic Rankine cycles coupled separately with a solid oxide electrolysis (SOEC) have been simulated and compared. The hydrogen (H2) produced is then compressed at 150 bar for subsequent use as required. According to the results the 2P-ORC generates 14.79 % more power compared to ORC allowing for an increased energy supply to the SOEC; hence producing more H2 (34.47 kg/h compared to 31.14 kg/h). Including the 2P-ORC in the H2 production plant results in a cheaper H2 cost by 0.04 $/kgH2 compared to ORC a 1.13 %LHV higher system efficiency when leveraging all the available waste heat. The plant including 2P-ORC exploits more than 86 % of the of the available waste compared to 70 % when using ORC. Excluding the compression system decreases the capital cost by almost the half regardless of the WH recovery system used yet it plays in favour of the plant with ORC making the cost of H2 cheaper by 0.29 $/kgH2 in this case. Onboard H2 production is a versatile process independent from the propulsion system ensuring the ship's safety and availability throughout a sea journey.
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