United Kingdom
Machine Learning-powered Performance Monitoring of Proton Exchange Membrane Water Electrolyzers for Enhancing Green Hydrogen Production as a Sustainable Fuel for Aviation Industry
Aug 2024
Publication
Aviation is a major contributor to transportation carbon emissions but aims to reduce its carbon footprint. Sustainable and environmentally friendly green hydrogen fuel is essential for decarbonization of this industry. Using the extremely low temperature of liquid hydrogen in aviation sector unlocks the opportunity for cryoelectric aircraft concept which exploits the advantageous properties of superconductors onboard. A significant barrier for green hydrogen adoption relates to its high cost and the immediate need for large-scale production which Proton Exchange Membrane Water Electrolyzers (PEMWE) can address through optimal dynamic performance high lifetimes good efficiencies and importantly scalability. In PEMWE the cell is a crucial component that facilitates the electrolysis process and consists of a polymer membrane and electrodes. To control the required production rate of hydrogen the output power of cell should be monitored which usually is done by measuring the cell’s potential and current density. In this paper five different machine learning (ML) models based on different algorithms have been developed to predict this parameter. Findings of the work highlight that the model based on Cascade-Forward Neural Network (CFNN) is investigated to accurately predict the cell potential of PEMWE under different anodic material and working conditions with an accuracy of 99.998 % and 0.001884 in terms of R2 and root mean square error respectively. It can predict the cell potential with a relative error of less than 0.65 % and an absolute error of below 0.01 V. The Standard deviation of 0.000061 for 50 iterations of stability analysis indicated that this model has less sensitivity to the random selection of training data. By accurately estimating different cell’s output with one model and considering its ultra-fast response CFNN model has the potential to be used for both monitoring and the designing purposes of green hydrogen production.
Hydrogen Liquefaction and Storage: Recent Progress and Perspectives
Feb 2023
Publication
The global energy sector accounts for ~75% of total greenhouse gas (GHG) emissions. Low-carbon energy carriers such as hydrogen are seen as necessary to enable an energy transition away from the current fossilderived energy paradigm. Thus the hydrogen economy concept is a key part of decarbonizing the global en ergy system. Hydrogen storage and transport are two of key elements of hydrogen economy. Hydrogen can be stored in various forms including its gaseous liquid and solid states as well as derived chemical molecules. Among these liquid hydrogen due to its high energy density ambient storage pressure high hydrogen purity (no contamination risks) and mature technology (stationary liquid hydrogen storage) is suitable for the transport of large-volumes of hydrogen over long distances and has gained increased attention in recent years. However there are critical obstacles to the development of liquid hydrogen systems namely an energy intensive liquefaction process (~13.8 kWh/kgLH2) and high hydrogen boil-off losses (liquid hydrogen evaporation during storage 1–5% per day). This review focuses on the current state of technology development related to the liquid hydrogen supply chain. Hydrogen liquefaction cryogenic storage technologies liquid hydrogen transmission methods and liquid hydrogen regasification processes are discussed in terms of current industrial applications and underlying technologies to understand the drivers and barriers for liquid hydrogen to become a commer cially viable part of the emerging global hydrogen economy. A key finding of this technical review is that liquid hydrogen can play an important role in the hydrogen economy - as long as necessary technological transport and storage innovations are achieved in parallel to technology demonstrations and market development efforts by countries committed liquid hydrogen as part of their hydrogen strategies.
Reducing the Environmental Impact of International Aviationg through Sustainable Aviation Fuel with Integrated Carbon Capture and Storage
Feb 2024
Publication
Sustainable aviation fuels (SAFs) represent the short-term solution to reduce fossil carbon emissions from aviation. The Carbon Offsetting and Reduction Scheme for International Aviation (CORSIA) was globally adopted to foster and make SAFs production economically competitive. Fischer-Tropsch synthetic paraffinic kerosene (FTSPK) produced from forest residue is a promising CORSIA-eligible fuel. FT conversion pathway permits the integration of carbon capture and storage (CCS) technology which provides additional carbon offsetting ca pacities. The FT-SPK with CCS process was modelled to conduct a comprehensive analysis of the conversion pathway. Life-cycle assessment (LCA) with a well-to-wake approach was performed to quantify the SAF’s carbon footprint considering both biogenic and fossil carbon dynamics. Results showed that 0.09 kg FT-SPK per kg of dry biomass could be produced together with other hydrocarbon products. Well-to-wake fossil emissions scored 21.6 gCO2e per MJ of FT-SPK utilised. When considering fossil and biogenic carbon dynamics a negative carbon flux (-20.0 gCO2eMJ− 1 ) from the atmosphere to permanent storage was generated. However FT-SPK is limited to a 50 %mass blend with conventional Jet A/A1 fuel. Using the certified blend reduced Jet A/A1 fossil emissions in a 37 % and the net carbon flux resulted positive (30.9 gCO2eMJ− 1 ). Sensitivity to variations in process as sumptions was investigated. The lifecycle fossil-emissions reported in this study resulted 49 % higher than the CORSIA default value for FT-SPK. In a UK framework only 0.7 % of aviation fuel demand could be covered using national resources but the emission reduction goal in aviation targeted for 2037 could be satisfied when considering CCS.
HyDeploy2 - Gas Network Innovation Competition: Cadent 5th Project Progress Report
Jan 2024
Publication
The HyDeploy2 project seeks to address a key issue for UK energy customers: how to reduce the carbon they emit in heating their homes. The UK has a world class gas grid delivering heat conveniently and safely to more than 83% of homes. Emissions can be reduced by lowering the carbon content of gas through blending with hydrogen. This delivers carbon savings without customers requiring disruptive and expensive changes in their homes. It also provides the platform for deeper carbon savings by enabling wider adoption of hydrogen across the energy system.
Energy-exergy Evaluation of Liquefied Hydrogen Production System Based on Steam Methane Reforming and LNG Revaporization
Jul 2023
Publication
The research motivation of this paper is to utilize the large amount of energy wasted during the LNG (liquefied natural gas) gasification process and proposes a synergistic liquefied hydrogen (LH2) production and storage process scheme for LNG receiving station and methane reforming hydrogen production process - SMR-LNG combined liquefied hydrogen production system which uses the cold energy from LNG to pre-cool the hydrogen and subsequently uses an expander to complete the liquefaction of hydrogen. The proposed process is modeled and simulated by Aspen HYSYS software and its efficiency is evaluated and sensitivity analysis is carried out. The simulation results show that the system can produce liquefied hydrogen with a flow rate of 5.89t/h with 99.99% purity when the LNG supply rate is 50t/h. The power consumption of liquefied hydrogen is 46.6kWh/kg LH2; meanwhile the energy consumption of the HL subsystem is 15.9kWh/kg LH2 lower than traditional value of 17~19kWh/kg LH2. The efficiency of the hydrogen production subsystem was 16.9%; the efficiency of the hydrogen liquefaction (HL) subsystem was 29.61% which was significantly higher than the conventional industrial value of 21%; the overall energy efficiency (EE1) of the system was 56.52% with the exergy efficiency (EE2) of 22.2% reflecting a relatively good thermodynamic perfection. The energy consumption of liquefied hydrogen per unit product is 98.71 GJ/kg LH2.
Exergy Analysis in Intensification of Sorption-enhanced Steam Methane Reforming for Clean Hydrogen Production: Comparative Study and Efficiency Optimisation
Feb 2024
Publication
Hydrogen has a key role to play in decarbonising industry and other sectors of society. It is important to develop low-carbon hydrogen production technologies that are cost-effective and energy-efficient. Sorption-enhanced steam methane reforming (SE-SMR) is a developing low-carbon (blue) hydrogen production process which enables combined hydrogen production and carbon capture. Despite a number of key benefits the process is yet to be fully realised in terms of efficiency. In this work a sorption-enhanced steam methane reforming process has been intensified via exergy analysis. Assessing the exergy efficiency of these processes is key to ensuring the effective deployment of low-carbon hydrogen production technologies. An exergy analysis was performed on an SE-SMR process and was then subsequently used to incorporate process improvements developing a process that has theoretically an extremely high CO2 capture rate of nearly 100 % whilst simultaneously demonstrating a high exergy efficiency (77.58 %) showcasing the potential of blue hydrogen as an effective tool to ensure decarbonisation in an energy-efficient manner.
Great Britain's Hydrogen Infrastructure Development - Investment Priorities and Locational Flexibility
Aug 2024
Publication
Future pathways for Great Britain’s energy system decarbonization have highlighted the importance of lowcarbon hydrogen as an energy carrier and demand flexibility support. However the potential application within various sectors (heating industry transport) and production capacity through different technologies (methane reformation with carbon capture biomass gasification electrolysis) is highly varying introducing substantial uncertainties for hydrogen infrastructure development. This study sets out infrastructure priorities and identifies locational flexibility for hydrogen supply and demand options. Advances on limitations of previous research are made by developing an open-source model of the hydrogen system of Great Britain based on three Net Zero scenarios set out by National Grid in their Future Energy Scenarios in high temporal and spatial resolution. The model comprehensively covers demand sectors and supply options in addition to extending the locational considerations of the Future Energy Scenarios. This study recommends prioritizing the establishment of green hydrogen hubs in the near-term aligning with demands for synthetic fuels production industry and power which can facilitate the subsequent roll out of up to 10GW of hydrogen production capacity by 2050. The analysis quantifies a high proportion of hydrogen supply and demand which can be located flexibly.
Green Hydrogen Energy Production: Current Status and Potential
Jan 2024
Publication
The technique of producing hydrogen by utilizing green and renewable energy sources is called green hydrogen production. Therefore by implementing this technique hydrogen will become a sustainable and clean energy source by lowering greenhouse gas emissions and reducing our reliance on fossil fuels. The key beneft of producing green hydrogen by utilizing green energy is that no harmful pollutants or greenhouse gases are directly released throughout the process. Hence to guarantee all of the environmental advantages it is crucial to consider the entire hydrogen supply chain involving storage transportation and end users. Hydrogen is a promising clean energy source and targets plan pathways towards decarbonization and net-zero emissions by 2050. This paper has highlighted the techniques for generating green hydrogen that are needed for a clean environment and sustainable energy solutions. Moreover it summarizes an overview outlook and energy transient of green hydrogen production. Consequently its perspective provides new insights and research directions in order to accelerate the development and identify the potential of green hydrogen production.
A Comparative Total Cost of Ownership Analysis of Heavy Duty On-road and Off-road Vehicles Powered by Hydrogen, Electricity, and Diesel
Dec 2022
Publication
This study investigated the cost competitiveness using total cost of ownership (TCO) analysis of hydrogen fuel cell electric vehicles (FCEVs) in heavy duty on and off-road fleet applications as a key enabler in the decarbonisation of the transport sector and compares results to battery electric vehicles (BEVs) and diesel internal combustion engine vehicles (ICEVs). Assessments were carried out for a present day (2021) scenario and a sensitivity analysis assesses the impact of changing input parameters on FCEV TCO. This identified conditions under which FCEVs become competitive. A future outlook is also carried out examining the impact of time-sensitive parameters on TCO when net zero targets are to be reached in the UK and EU. Several FCEVs are cost competitive with ICEVs in 2021 but not BEVs under base case conditions. However FCEVs do have potential to become competitive with BEVs under specific conditions favouring hydrogen including the application of purchase grants and a reduced hydrogen price. By 2050 a number of FCEVs running on several hydrogen scenarios show a TCO lower than ICEVs and BEVs using rapid chargers but for the majority of vehicles considered BEVs remain the lowest in cost unless specific FCEV incentives are implemented. This paper has identified key factors hindering the deployment of hydrogen and conducted comprehensive TCO analysis in heavy duty on and off-road fleet applications. The output has direct contribution to the decarbonisation of the transport sector.
Cost and Competitiveness of Green Hydrogen and the Effects of the European Union Regulatory Framework
May 2024
Publication
By passing the delegated acts supplementing the revised Renewable Energy Directive the European Commission has recently set a regulatory benchmark for the classifcation of green hydrogen in the European Union. Controversial reactions to the restricted power purchase for electrolyser operation refect the need for more clarity about the efects of the delegated acts on the cost and the renewable characteristics of green hydrogen. To resolve this controversy we compare diferent power purchase scenarios considering major uncertainty factors such as electricity prices and the availability of renewables in various European locations. We show that the permission for unrestricted electricity mix usage does not necessarily lead to an emission intensity increase partially debilitating concerns by the European Commission and could notably decrease green hydrogen production cost. Furthermore our results indicate that the transitional regulations adopted to support a green hydrogen production ramp-up can result in similar cost reductions and ensure high renewable electricity usage.
Nanoporous Polymer-based Composites for Enhanced Hydrogen Storage
May 2019
Publication
The exploration and evaluation of new composites possessing both processability and enhanced hydrogen storage capacity are of signifcant interest for onboard hydrogen storage systems and fuel cell based electric vehicle development. Here we demonstrate the fabrication of composite membranes with sufcient mechanical properties for enhanced hydrogen storage that are based on a polymer of intrinsic microporosity (PIM-1) matrix containing nano-sized fllers: activated carbon (AX21) or metal–organic framework (MIL-101). This is one of the frst comparative studies of diferent composite systems for hydrogen storage and in addition the frst detailed evaluation of the difusion kinetics of hydrogen in polymer-based nanoporous composites. The composite flms were characterised by surface area and porosity analysis hydrogen adsorption measurements mechanical testing and gas adsorption modelling. The PIM-1/AX21 composite with 60 wt% AX21 provides enhanced hydrogen adsorption kinetics and a total hydrogen storage capacity of up to 9.35 wt% at 77 K; this is superior to the US Department of Energy hydrogen storage target. Tensile testing indicates that the ultimate stress and strain of PIM-1/ AX21 are higher than those of the MIL-101 or PAF-1 containing composites and are sufcient for use in hydrogen storage tanks. The data presented provides new insights into both the design and characterisation methods of polymer-based composite membranes. Our nanoporous polymer-based composites ofer advantages over powders in terms of safety handling and practical manufacturing with potential for hydrogen storage applications either as means of increasing storage or decreasing operating pressures in high-pressure hydrogen storage tanks.
Impact of Capillary Pressure Hysteresis and Injection-withdrawal Scehemes on Performance of Underground Hydrogen Storage
Oct 2023
Publication
Underground hydrogen storage in depleted hydrocarbon reservoirs and aquifers has been proposed as a potential long-term solution to storing intermittently produced renewable electricity as the subsurface formations provide secure and large storage space. Various phenomena can lead to hydrogen loss in subsurface systems with the key cause being the trapping especially during the withdrawal cycle. Capillary trapping in particular is strongly related to the hysteresis phenomena observed in the capillary pressure/saturation and relative-permeability/saturation curves. This paper address two key points: (1) the sole impact of hysteresis in capillary pressure on hydrogen trapping during withdrawal cycles and (2) the dependency of optimal operational parameters (injection/withdrawal flow rate) and the reservoir characteristics such as permeability thickness and wettability of the porous medium on the remaining hydrogen saturation.<br/>Model<br/>To study the capillary hysteresis during underground hydrogen storage Killough [1] model was implemented in the MRST toolbox [2]. A comparative study was performed to quantify the impact of changes in capillary pressure behaviour by including and excluding the hysteresis and scanning curves. Additionally this study investigates the impact of injection/withdrawal rates and the aquifer permeability for various capillary and Bond numbers in a homogeneous system.<br/>Findings<br/>It was found that although the hydrogen storage efficiency is not considerably impacted by the inclusion of the capillary-pressure scanning curves the impact of capillary pressure on the well properties (withdrawal rate and pressure) can become significant. Higher injection and withdrawal rates does not necessarily lead to a better performance in terms of productivity. The productivity enhancement depends on the competition between gravitational capillary and viscous forces. The observed water upconing at relatively high capillary numbers resulted in low hydrogen productivity. highlighting the importance of well design and placement.
Trapping, Hysteresis and Ostwald Ripening in Hydrogen Storage: A Pore-scale Imaging Study
Jan 2024
Publication
Green hydrogen produced from surplus electricity during peak production can be injected into subsurface reservoirs and retrieved during high-demand periods. In this study X-ray tomography was employed to examine hysteresis resulting from repeated hydrogen injection and withdrawal. An unsteady state experiment was performed to evaluate the distribution of hydrogen and brine after drainage and imbibition cycles: images of the pore-space configuration of fluids were taken immediately once injection had stopped and after waiting for a period of 16 h with no flow. A Bentheimer sandstone sample with a length of 60 mm and diameter of 12.8 mm was used and hydrogen was injected at ambient temperature and a pore pressure of 1 MPa. The gas flow rate was decreased from 2 ml/min to 0.08 ml/min over three cycles of gas injection followed by water flooding while the brine injection rate was kept constant. The results showed the presence of capillary pressure hysteresis and hydrogen migration through Ostwald ripening due to the diffusion of gas dissolved in the brine. These phenomena were characterized through analysis of interfacial curvature area connectivity and pore occupancy. The hydrogen tended to reside in the larger pore spaces consistent with water-wet conditions. 16 h after flow had stopped the hydrogen aggregated into larger ganglia with a single large connected ganglion dominating the volume. Moreover the Euler characteristic decreased after 16 h indicating an improvement in connectivity. The work implies that Ostwald ripening – mass transport of dissolved gas – leads to less hysteresis and better connectivity than would be assumed ignoring this effect as done in assessments of hydrocarbon flow and trapping.
Secure Hydrogen Production Analysis and Prediction Based on Blockchain Service Framework for Intelligent Power Management System
Nov 2023
Publication
The rapid adoption of hydrogen as an eco-friendly energy source has necessitated the development of intelligent power management systems capable of efficiently utilizing hydrogen resources. However guaranteeing the security and integrity of hydrogen-related data has become a significant challenge. This paper proposes a pioneering approach to ensure secure hydrogen data analysis by integrating blockchain technology enhancing trust transparency and privacy in handling hydrogen-related information. Combining blockchain with intelligent power management systems makes the efficient utilization of hydrogen resources feasible. Using smart contracts and distributed ledger technology facilitates secure data analysis (SDA) real-time monitoring prediction and optimization of hydrogen-based power systems. The effectiveness and performance of the proposed approach are demonstrated through comprehensive case studies and simulations. Notably our prediction models including ABiLSTM ALSTM and ARNN consistently delivered high accuracy with MAE values of approximately 0.154 0.151 and 0.151 respectively enhancing the security and efficiency of hydrogen consumption forecasts. The blockchain-based solution offers enhanced security integrity and privacy for hydrogen data analysis thus advancing clean and sustainable energy systems. Additionally the research identifies existing challenges and outlines future directions for further enhancing the proposed system. This study adds to the growing body of research on blockchain applications in the energy sector specifically on secure hydrogen data analysis and intelligent power management systems.
A Critical Analysis of Morocco’s Green Hydrogen Roadmap: A Modelling Approach to Assess Country Readiness from the Energy Trilemma Perspective
Apr 2024
Publication
Morocco despite its heavy reliance on imported fossil fuels which made up 68% of electricity generation in 2020 has recognised its significant renewable energy potential. The Nationally Determined Contribution (NDC) commitment is to reduce emissions by 45.5% from baseline levels with international assistance and abstain from constructing new coal plants. Moreover the Green Hydrogen Roadmap aims to export 10 TWh of green hydrogen by 2030 as well as use it for local electricity storage. This paper critically analyses this Roadmap and Morocco’s readiness to reach its ambitious targets focusing specifically on an energy trilemma perspective and using OSeMOSYS (Open-Source energy Modelling System) for energy modelling. The results reveal that the NDC scenario is only marginally more expensive than the least-cost scenario at around 1.3% (approximately USD 375 million) and facilitates a 23.32% emission reduction by 2050. An important note is the continued reliance on existing coal power plants across all scenarios which challenges both energy security and emissions. The assessment of the Green Hydrogen Scenarios highlights that it could be too costly for the Moroccan government to fund the Green Hydrogen Roadmap at this scale which leads to increased imports of polluting fossil fuels for cost reduction. In fact the emission levels are 39% higher in the green hydrogen exports scenario than in the least-cost scenario. Given these findings it is recommended that the Green Hydrogen Roadmap be re-evaluated with a suggestion for a postponement and reduction in scope.
Geomechanics of Hydrogen Storage in a Depleted Gas Field
Feb 2024
Publication
We perform a simulation study of hydrogen injection in a depleted gas reservoir to assess the geomechanical impact of hydrogen storage relative to other commonly injected gases (methane CO2). A key finding is that the differences in hydrogen density compressibility viscosity and thermal properties compared to the other gases result in significantly less thermal perturbation at reservoir level. The risks of fault reactivation and wellbore fractures due to thermally-induced stress changes are significantly lower when storing hydrogen compared to results observed in CO2 scenarios. This implies that hydrogen injection and production has a much smaller geomechanical footprint with benefits for operational safety. We also find that use of nitrogen cushion gas ensures efficient deliverability and phase separation in the reservoir. However in this study a large fraction of cushion gas was back-produced in each cycle demonstrating the need for further studies of the surface processing requirements and economic implications.
Conceptual Design of an Offshore Hydrogen Platform
Feb 2024
Publication
Offshore green hydrogen emerges as a guiding light in the global pursuit of environmental sustainability and net-zero objectives. The burgeoning expansion of offshore wind power faces significant challenges in grid integration. This avenue towards generating offshore green hydrogen capitalises on its ecological advantages and substantial energy potential to efficiently channel offshore wind power for onshore energy demands. However a substantial research void exists in efficiently integrating offshore wind electricity and green hydrogen. Innovative designs of offshore hydrogen platforms present a promising solution to bridge the gap between offshore wind and hydrogen integration. Surprisingly there is a lack of commercially established offshore platforms dedicated to the hydrogen industry. However the wealth of knowledge from oil and gas platforms contributes valuable insights to hydrogen platform design. Diverging from the conventional decentralised hydrogen units catering to individual turbines this study firstly introduces a pioneering centralised Offshore Green Hydrogen Platform (OGHP) which seamlessly integrates modular production storage and offloading modulars. The modular design of facilitates scalability as wind capacity increases. Through a detailed case study centred around a 100-Megawatt floating wind farm the design process of offshore green hydrogen modulars and its floating sub-structure is elucidated. Stability analysis and hydrodynamic analysis are performed to ensure the safety of the OGHP under the operation conditions. The case study will enhance our understanding OGHP and its modularised components. The conceptual design of modular OGHP offers an alternative solution to ‘‘Power-to-X’’ for offshore renewable energy sector.
Simulations of Blast Wave and Fireball Occurring due to Rupture oj High-Pressure Hydrogen Tank
Jun 2017
Publication
In the present study pilot simulations of the phenomena of blast wave and fireball generated by the rupture of a high-pressure (35 MPa) hydrogen tank (volume 72 L) due to fire were carried out. The computational fluid dynamics (CFD) model includes the realizable k-ε model for turbulence and the eddy dissipation model coupled with the one-step chemical reaction mechanism for combustion. The simulation results were compared with experimental data on a stand-alone hydrogen tank rupture in a bonfire test. The simulations provided insights into the interaction between the blast wave propagation and combustion process. The simulated blast wave decay is approximately identical to the experimental data concerning pressure at various distances. Fireball is first ignited at the ground level which is considered to be due to stagnation flow conditions. Subsequently the flame propagates toward the interface between hydrogen and air.
Modelling the Innovation-decision Process for Hydrogen Homes: An Integrated Model of Consumer Acceptance and Adoption Intention
Nov 2024
Publication
As the global energy transition progresses a range of drivers and barriers will continue to shape consumer attitudes and behavioural intentions towards emerging low-carbon technologies. The innovation-decision process for technologies composing the residential sector such as hydrogen-fuelled heating and cooking appliances is inherently governed by the complex interplay between perceptual cognitive and emotional factors. In response this study responds to the call for an integrated research perspective to advance theoretical and empirical insights on consumer engagement in the domestic hydrogen transition. Drawing on online survey data collected in the United Kingdom where a policy decision on ‘hydrogen homes’ is set for 2026 this study systematically explores whether an integrated modelling approach supports higher levels of explanatory and predictive power. Leveraging the foundations of the unified theory of domestic hydrogen acceptance the analysis suggests that production perceptions public trust perceived relative advantage safety perceptions knowledge and awareness and positive emotions will shape consumer support for hydrogen homes. Conversely perceived disruptive impacts perceived socio-economic costs financial perceptions and negative emotions may impede the domestic hydrogen transition. Consumer acceptance stands to significantly shape deployment prospects for hydrogen boilers and hobs which are perceived to be somewhat advantageous to natural gas appliances from a technological and safety perspective. The study attests to the predictive benefits of adopting an integrated theoretical perspective when modelling the early stages of the innovation-decision process while acknowledging opportunities for leveraging innovative research approaches in the future. As national hydrogen economies gain traction adopting a neuroscience-based approach may help deepen scientific understanding regarding the neural psychological and emotional signatures shaping consumer perspectives towards hydrogen homes.
Decarbonising International Shipping - A Life Cycle Perspective on Alternative Fuel Options
Nov 2023
Publication
This study aimed to compare hydrogen ammonia methanol and waste-derived biofuels as shipping fuels using life cycle assessment to establish what potential they have to contribute to the shipping industry’s 100% greenhouse gas emission reduction target. A novel approach was taken where the greenhouse gas emissions associated with one year of global shipping fleet operations was used as a common unit for comparison therefore allowing the potential life cycle greenhouse gas emission reduction from each fuel option to be compared relative to Paris Agreement compliant targets for international shipping. The analysis uses life cycle assessment from resource extraction to use within ships with all GHGs evaluated for a 100-year time horizon (GWP100). Green hydrogen waste-derived biodiesel and bio-methanol are found to have the best decarbonisation po tential with potential emission reductions of 74–81% 87% and 85–94% compared to heavy fuel oil; however some barriers to shipping’s decarbonisation progress are identified. None of the alternative fuels considered are currently produced at a large enough scale to meet shipping’s current energy demand and uptake of alternative fuel vessels is too slow considering the scale of the challenge at hand. The decarbonisation potential from alternative fuels alone is also found to be insufficient as no fuel option can offer the 100% emission reduction required by the sector by 2050. The study also uncovers several sensitives within the life cycles of the fuel options analysed that have received limited attention in previous life cycle investigations into alternative shipping fuels. First the choice of allocation method can potentially double the life cycle greenhouse gas emissions of e-methanol due to the carbon ac counting challenges of using waste carbon dioxide streams during fuel production. This leads to concerns related to the true impact of using carbon dioxide captured from fossil-fuelled processes to produce a combustible product due to the resultant high downstream emissions. Second nitrous oxide emissions from ammonia combustion are found to be highly sensitive due to high greenhouse gas potency potentially offsetting any greenhouse reduction potential compared to heavy fuel oil. Further uncertainties are highlighted due to limited available data on the rate of nitrous oxide production from ammonia engines. The study therefore highlights an urgent need for the shipping sector to consider these factors when investing in new ammonia and methanol engines; failing to do so risks jeopardizing the sector’s progress towards decarbonisation. Finally whilst alternative fuels can offer good decarbonisation potential (particularly waste derived biomethanol and bio-diesel and green hydrogen) this cannot be achieved without accelerated investment in new and retrofit vessels and new fuel supply chains: the research concludes that existing pipeline of vessel orders and fuel production facilities is insufficient. Furthermore there is a need to integrate alternative fuel uptake with other decarbonisation strategies such as slow steaming and wind propulsion.
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