Finland
Techno-Economic Assessment of Power-to-Liquids (PtL) Fuels Production and Global Trading Based on Hybrid PV-Wind Power Plants
Nov 2016
Publication
This paper introduces a value chain design for transportation fuels and a respective business case taking into account hybrid PV-Wind power plants electrolysis and hydrogen-to-liquids (H2tL) based on hourly resolved full load hours (FLh). The value chain is based on renewable electricity (RE) converted by power-to-liquids (PtL) facilities into synthetic fuels mainly diesel. Results show that the proposed RE-diesel value chains are competitive for crude oil prices within a minimum price range of about 79 - 135 USD/barrel (0.44 – 0.75 €/l of diesel production cost) depending on the chosen specific value chain and assumptions for cost of capital available oxygen sales and CO2 emission costs. A sensitivity analysis indicates that the RE-PtL value chain needs to be located at the best complementing solar and wind sites in the world combined with a de-risking strategy and a special focus on mid to long-term electrolyser and H2tL efficiency improvements. The substitution of fossil fuels by hybrid PV-Wind power plants could create a PV-wind market potential in the order of terawatts.
Resilience-oriented Operation of Microgrids in the Presence of Power-to-hydrogen Systems
Jul 2023
Publication
This study presents a novel framework for improving the resilience of microgrids based on the power-to-hydrogen concept and the ability of microgrids to operate independently (i.e. islanded mode). For this purpose a model is being developed for the resilient operation of microgrids in which the compressed hydrogen produced by power-to-hydrogen systems can either be used to generate electricity through fuel cells or sold to other industries. The model is a bi-objective optimization problem which minimizes the cost of operation and resilience by (i) reducing the active power exchange with the main grid (ii) reducing the ohmic power losses and (iii) increasing the amount of hydrogen stored in the tanks. A solution approach is also developed to deal with the complexity of the bi-objective model combining a goal programming approach and Generalized Benders Decomposition due to the mixed-integer nonlinear nature of the optimization problem. The results indicate that the resilience approach although increasing the operation cost does not lead to load shedding in the event of main grid failures. The study concludes that integrating distributed power-to-hydrogen systems results in significant benefits including emission reductions of up to 20 % and cost savings of up to 30 %. Additionally the integration of the decomposition method improves computational performance by 54 % compared to using commercial solvers within the GAMS software.
How "Clean" is the Hydrogen Economy? Tracing the Connections Between Hydrogen and Fossil Fuels
Feb 2024
Publication
Hydrogen is experiencing a resurgence in energy transition debates. Before representing a solution however the existing hydrogen economy is still a climate change headache: over 99 % of production depends on fossil fuels oil refining accounts for 42 % of demand and its transportation is intertwined with fossil infrastructure like natural gas pipelines. This article investigates the path-dependent dynamics shaping the hydrogen economy and its interconnections with the oil and gas industry. It draws on the global production networks (GPN) approach and political economy research to provide a comprehensive review of current and prospective enduses of hydrogen modes of transport networks of industrial actors and state strategies along the major production facilities and holders of intellectual property rights. The results presented in this article suggest that the superimposition of private agendas may jeopardise the viability of future energy systems and requires counterbalancing forces to override the negative consequences of path-dependent energy transitions.
Lessons Learned and Recommendations from Analysis of Hydrogen Incidents and Accidents to Support Risk Assessment for the Hydrogen Economy
Feb 2024
Publication
This study addresses challenges associated with hydrogen’s physio-chemical characteristics and the need for safety and public acceptance as a precursor to the emerging hydrogen economy. It highlights the gap in existing literature regarding lessons learned from events in the green hydrogen production value chain. The study aims to use the documented lessons learned from previous hydrogen-related events to assist in enhancing safety measures and to guide stakeholders on how to avoid and mitigate future hydrogen-related events. Given the potential catastrophic consequences robust safety systems are essential for hydrogen economy development. The work underscores the importance of human and operational factors as root causes of these events. The paper recommends establishing a specialized hydrogen-related event database to support risk assessment and risk mitigation thus catering to the growing hydrogen industry’s needs and facilitating quick access to critical information for stakeholders in the private and public sectors.
Validation of a Hydrogen Jet Fire Model in FDS
Sep 2023
Publication
Hydrogen jet fire occurs with high probability when hydrogen leaks from high-pressure equipment. The hydrogen jet fire is characterized by its high velocity and energy. Computational Fluid Dynamics (CFD) numerical analysis is a prominent way to predict the potential hazards associated with hydrogen jet fire. Validation of the CFD model is essential to ensure and quantify the accuracy of numerical results. This study focuses on the validation of the hydrogen jet fire model using Fire Dynamic Simulation (FDS). Hydrogen release is modeled using high-speed Lagrangian particles released from a virtual nozzle thus avoiding the modeling of the actual nozzle. The mesh size sensitivity analysis of the model is carried out in a container-size domain with 0.04m – 0.08m resolution of the jet. The model is validated by comparing gas temperatures and heat fluxes with test data. The promising results demonstrated that the model could predict the hazardous influence of the jet fire.
Selecting Appropriate Energy Source Options for an Arctic Research Ship
Dec 2023
Publication
Interest in more sustainable energy sources has increased rapidly in the maritime industry and ambitious goals have been set for decreasing ship emissions. All industry stakeholders have reacted to this with different approaches including the optimisation of ship power plants the development of new energy-improving sub-systems for existing solutions or the design of entirely novel power plant concepts employing alternative fuels. This paper assesses the feasibility of different ship energy sources for an icebreaking Arctic research ship. To that end possible energy sources are assessed based on fuel infrastructure availability and operational endurance criteria in the operational area of interest. Promising alternatives are analysed further using the evidence-based Strengths Weaknesses Opportunities and Threats (SWOT) method. Then a more thorough investigation with respect to the required fuel tank space life cycle cost and CO2 emissions is implemented. The results demonstrate that marine diesel oil (MDO) is currently still the most convenient solution due to the space operational range and endurance limitations although it is possible to use liquefied natural gas (LNG) and methanol if the ship’s arrangement is radically redesigned which will also lead to reduced emissions and life cycle costs. The use of liquefied hydrogen as the only energy solution for the considered vessel was excluded from the potential options due to low volumetric energy density and high life cycle and capital costs. Even if it is used with MDO for the investigated ship the reduction in CO2 emissions will not be as significant as for LNG and methanol at a much higher capital and lifecycle cost. The advantage of the proposed approach is that unrealistic alternatives are eliminated in a systematic manner before proceeding to detailed techno-economic analysis facilitating the decision-making and investigation of various options in a more holistic manner.
Total Cost of Ownership Analysis for Hydrogen and Battery Powertrains: A Comparative Study in Finnish Heavy-duty Transport
Sep 2024
Publication
The road transport sector is one of the major contributors to greenhouse gas emissions as it still largely relies on traditional powertrain solutions. While some progress has been made in the passenger car sector with the diffusion of battery electric vehicles heavy-duty transport remains predominantly dependent on diesel internal combustion engines. This research aims to evaluate and compare three potential solutions for the decarbonisation of heavy-duty freight transport from an economic perspective: Battery Electric Trucks (BETs) Fuel Cell Electric Trucks (FCETs) and Hydrogen-fuelled Internal Combustion Engine Trucks (H2ICETs). The study focuses on the Finnish market and road network where affordable and low-carbon electricity creates an ideal environment for the development of alternative powertrain vehicles. The analysis employs the Total Cost of Ownership (TCO) method which allows for a comprehensive assessment of all cost components associated with the vehicles throughout their entire lifecycle encompassing both initial expenses and operational costs. Among the several factors affecting the results the impact of the three powertrain technologies on the admissible payloads has been taken into account. The study specifically focuses on the costs directly incurred by the truck owner. Additionally to evaluate the cost effectiveness of the proposed powertrain technologies under different scenarios a sensitivity analysis on electricity and hydrogen prices is conducted. The outcomes of this study reveal that no single powertrain solution emerges as universally optimal as the most cost-effective choice depends strongly on the truck type and its use (i.e. daily mileage). For relatively small trucks (18 t) covering short driving distances (approximately 100 to 200 km/day) BETs prove to be the best solution due to their higher efficiency and lower vehicle costs compared to FCETs. Conversely for larger trucks (42 and 76 t) engaged in longer hauls (>300 km/day) H2ICETs exhibit larger cost benefits due to their lower vehicle costs among the three options under investigation. Finally for small trucks (18 t) travelling long distances (200 km/day or more) FCETs represent a competitive choice due to their high efficiency and costeffective energy storage system. Considering future advancements in FCETs and BETs in terms of improved performance and reduced investment cost the fuel cell-based solution is expected to emerge as the best option across various combinations of truck sizes and daily mileages.
Green Hydrogen and Wind Synergy: Assessing Economic Benefits and Optimal Operational Strategies
Aug 2024
Publication
Volatile electricity prices have raised concerns about the economic feasibility of wind projects in Finland. This study assesses the economic viability and optimal operational strategies for integrating wind-powered green hydrogen production systems. Utilizing modeling and optimization this research evaluates various wind farms in Western Finland over electricity market scenarios from 2019 to 2022 with forecasts extending to 2030. Key economic metrics considered include internal rate of return future value net present value (NPV) and the levelized cost of hydrogen (LCOH). Results indicate that integration of hydrogen production with wind farms shows economic benefits over standalone wind projects potentially reducing LCOH to €2.0/kgH2 by 2030 in regular and low electricity price scenarios and to as low as €0.6/kgH2 in high-price scenarios. The wind farm with the highest capacity factor achieves 47% reductions in LCOH and 22% increases in NPV underscoring the importance of strategic site selection and operational flexibility.
The Role of Power-to-hydrogen in Carbon Neutral Energy and Industrial Systems: Case Finland
Aug 2023
Publication
To combat climate change decarbonization measures are undertaken across the whole energy sector. Industry and transportation sectors are seen as difficult sectors to decarbonize with green hydrogen being proposed as a solution to achieve decarbonization in these sectors. While many methods of introducing hydrogen to these sectors are present in literature few systemlevel works study the specific impacts of large-scale introduction has on power and heat sectors in an energy system. This contribution examines the effects of introducing hydrogen into a Finnish energy system in 2040 by conducting scenario simulations in EnergyPLAN – software. Primary energy consumption and CO2 emissions of the base scenario and hydrogen scenarios are compared. Additionally the differences between a constant and flexible hydrogen production profile are studied. Introducing hydrogen increases electricity consumption by 31.9 % but reduces CO2 emissions by 71.5 % and fossil energy consumption by 72.6%. The flexible hydrogen profile lowers renewable curtailment and improves energy efficiency but requires economically unfeasible hydrogen storage. Biomass consumption remains high and is not impacted significantly by the introduction of hydrogen. Additional measures in other sectors are needed to ensure carbon neutrality.
Mathematical Optimization Modeling for Scenario Analysis of Integrated Steelworks Transitioning Towards Hydrogen-based Reduction
Jul 2024
Publication
To reduce carbon dioxide emissions from the steel industry efforts are made to introduce a steelmaking route based on hydrogen reduction of iron ore instead of the commonly used cokebased reduction in a blast furnace. Changing fundamental pieces of steelworks affects the functions of most every system unit involved and thus warrants the question of how such a transition could optimally take place over time and no rigorous attempts have until now been made to tackle this problem mathematically. This article presents a steel plant optimization model written as a mixed-integer non-linear programming problem where aging blast furnaces and basic oxygen furnaces could potentially be replaced with shaft furnaces and electric arc furnaces minimizing costs or emissions over a long-term time horizon to identify possible transition pathways. Example cases show how various parameters affect optimal investment pathways stressing the necessity of appropriate planning tools for analyzing diverse cases.
Utilization of Hydrogen Fuel in Reheating Furnace and its Effect on Oxide Scale Formation of Low-carbon Steels
Nov 2024
Publication
The transition from fossil-based fuel to hydrogen combustion in steel reheating furnaces is a possible way to decrease the process-originated CO2 emissions significantly. This potential change alters the furnace gas atmo sphere’s composition impacting the oxide scale formation of the slab surface. Dynamic heating tests are per formed for three low-carbon steels using different simulated combustion atmospheres including natural gas coke oven gas and hydrogen combustion in air and hydrogen combustion in oxygen. Significant differences are found in the oxidation behavior of steel grades in the simulated hydrogen reheating scenario. A steel grade with low Mn content only has an 18% increase in oxidation between methane-air to hydrogen-oxygen methods while it is 41% for a high Mn and Si steel grade and 65% for a high-Mn steel grade. Thus in terms of material loss increase by oxidation the transition of the heating method causes the least problems for the low-Mn steel grade.
Power-to-X Economy: Green E-hydrogen, E-fuels, E-chemicals, and E-materials Opportunities in Africa
Aug 2024
Publication
Africa has enormous potential to produce low-cost e-fuels e-chemicals and e-materials required for complete defossilisation using its abundant renewable resources widely distributed across the continent. This research builds on techno-economic investigations using the LUT Energy System Transition Model and related tools to assess the power-to-X potential in Africa for meeting the local demand and exploring the export potential of power-to-products applications. In this context we analysed the economic viability of exporting green e-fuel echemicals and e-materials from Africa to Europe. We also present the core elements of the Power-to-X Economy i.e. renewable electricity and hydrogen. The results show that hydrogen will likely not be traded simply due to high transport costs. However there is an opportunity for African countries to export e-ammonia e-methanol ekerosene jet fuel e-methane e-steel products and e-plastic to Europe at low cost. The results show that Africa’s low-cost power-to-X products backed by low-cost renewable electricity mainly supplied by solar photovoltaics is the basis for Africa’s vibrant export business opportunities. Therefore the Power-to-X Economy could more appropriately be called a Solar-to-X Economy for Africa. The Power-to-X Economy will foster socio-economic growth in the region including new industrial opportunities new investment portfolios boost income and stimulate local technical know-how thereby delivering a people-driven energy economy. Research on the topic in Africa is limited and at a nascent stage. Thus more studies are required in future to guide investment decisions and cater to policy decisions in achieving carbon neutrality with e-fuels e-chemicals and e-materials.
Hydrogen in Natural Gas Grids: Prospects and Recommendations About Gas Flow Meters
Aug 2024
Publication
To inject green hydrogen (H2) into the existing natural gas (NG) infrastructure is one way to decarbonize the European energy system. However asset readiness is necessary to be successful. Preliminary analysis and experimental results about the compatibility of hydrogen and natural gas mixtures (H2NG) with the actual gas grids make the scientific community confident about the feasibility. Nevertheless specific technical questions need more research. A significant topic of debate is the impact of H2NG mixtures on the performance of state-ofthe-art fiscal measuring devices which are essential for accurate billing. Identifying and addressing any potential degradation in their metrological performance due to H2NG is critical for decision-making. However the literature lacks data about the gas meters’ technologies currently installed in the NG grids such as a comprehensive overview of their readiness at different concentrations while data are fragmented among different sources. This paper addresses these gaps by analyzing the main characteristics and categorizing more than 20000 gas meters installed in THOTH2 project partners’ grids and by summarizing the performance of traditional technologies with H2NG mixtures and pure H2 based on literature review operators experience and manufacturers knowledge. Based on these insights recommendations are given to stakeholders on overcoming the identified barriers to facilitate a smooth transition.
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