Canada
Thermo-physical Numerical Model for Hydrogen Storage in Underground Tanks and Caverns
Apr 2024
Publication
Compressed hydrogen storage is an energy-efficient alternative to liquefaction and in the absence of underground salt formations reservoirs like rock caverns mining shafts and cased boreholes are gaining traction. The limited reservoir volume constrained by excavation or drilling results in short high-pressure cycles. Thus effective temperature control is crucial to maintain integrity and maximize hydrogen density. This study presents a validated numerical model with open-access code for simulating heat exchange and predicting operating pressure and temperature for underground hydrogen storage in tanks or caverns. The validation encompasses analytical solutions and existing cylindrical models. Results highlight the heat transfer’s impact on hydrogen density and the limited penetration depth of the thermal perturbation underscoring the need for simulating heat transfer across multiple layers especially in restrictive media like cement. Managing injection and extraction flow rates is crucial to limit temperature peaks for larger radius reservoirs where heat transfer is less efficient.
Greenhouse Gas Reduction Potential and Cost-effectiveness of Economy-wide Hydrogen-natural Gas Blending for Energy End Uses
Sep 2022
Publication
North American and European jurisdictions are considering repurposing natural gas infrastructure to deliver a lower carbon blend of natural gas and hydrogen; this paper evaluates the greenhouse gas reduction potential and cost-effectiveness of the repurposing. The analysis uses a bottom-up economy-wide energy-systems model of an emission-intensive jurisdiction Alberta Canada to evaluate 576 long-term scenarios from 2026 to 2050. Many scenarios were included to give the analysis broad international applicability and differ by sector hydrogen blending intensity carbon policy and hydrogen infrastructure development. Twelve hydrogen production technologies are compared in a long-term greenhouse gas and cost analysis including advanced technologies. Autothermal reforming with carbon capture provides both lower-carbon and lower-cost hydrogen compared to most other technologies in most futures even with high fugitive natural gas production emissions. Using hydrogen-natural gas blends for end-use energy applications eliminates 1–2% of economy-wide GHG emissions and marginal GHG abatement costs become negative at carbon prices over $300/tonne. The findings are useful for stakeholders expanding the international low-carbon hydrogen economy and governments engaged in formulating decarbonization policies and are considering hydrogen as an option.
Modelling the Impacts of Hydrogen–Methane Blend Fuels on a Stationary Power Generation Engine
Mar 2023
Publication
To reduce greenhouse gas emissions from natural gas use utilities are investigating the potential of adding hydrogen to their distribution grids. This will reduce the carbon dioxide emissions from grid-connected engines used for stationary power generation and it may also impact their power output and efficiency. Promisingly hydrogen and natural gas mixtures have shown encouraging results regarding engine power output pollutant emissions and thermal efficiency in well-controlled on-road vehicle applications. This work investigates the effects of adding hydrogen to the natural gas fuel for a lean-burn spark-ignited four-stroke 8.9 liter eight-cylinder naturally aspirated engine used in a commercial stationary power generation application via an engine model developed in the GT-SUITETM modelling environment. The model was validated for fuel consumption air flow and exhaust temperature at two operating modes. The focus of the work was to assess the sensitivity of the engine’s power output brake thermal efficiency and pollutant emissions to blends of methane with 0–30% (by volume) hydrogen. Without adjusting for the change in fuel energy the engine power output dropped by approximately 23% when methane was mixed with 30% by volume hydrogen. It was found that increasing the fueling rate to maintain a constant equivalence ratio prevented this drop in power and reduced carbon dioxide emissions by almost 4.5%. In addition optimizing the spark timing could partially offset the increases in in-cylinder burned and unburned gas temperatures and in-cylinder pressures that resulted from the faster combustion rates when hydrogen was added to the natural gas. Understanding the effect of fuel change in existing systems can provide insight on utilizing hydrogen and natural gas mixtures as the primary fuel without the need for major changes in the engine.
Safety Compliance Verification of Fuel Cell Electric Vehicle Exhaust
Sep 2021
Publication
NREL has been developing compliance verification tools for allowable hydrogen levels prescribed by the Global Technical Regulation Number 13 (GTR-13) for hydrogen fuel cell electric vehicles (FCEVs). As per GTR-13 FCEV exhaust is to remain below 4 vol% H2 over a 3-second moving average and shall not at any time exceed 8 vol% H2 and that this requirement is to be verified with an analyzer that has a response time of less than 300 ms. To be enforceable a means to verify regulatory requirements must exist. In response to this need NREL developed a prototype analyzer that meets the GTR metrological requirements for FCEV exhaust analysis. The analyzer was tested on a commercial fuel cell electric vehicle (FCEV) under simulated driving conditions using a chassis dynamometer at the Emissions Research and Measurement Section of Environment and Climate Change Canada and FCEV exhaust was successfully profiled. Although the prototype FCEV Exhaust Analyzer met the metrological requirements of GTR-13 the stability of the hydrogen sensor was adversely impacted by condensed water in the sample gas. FCEV exhaust is at an elevated temperature and nearly saturated with water vapor. Furthermore condensed water is present in the form of droplets. Condensed water in the sample gas collected from FCEV exhaust can accumulate on the hydrogen sensing element which would not only block access of hydrogen to the sensing element but can also permanently damage the sensor electronics. In the past year the design of the gas sampling system was modified to mitigate against the transport of liquid water to the sensing element. Laboratory testing confirmed the effectiveness of the modified sampling system water removal strategy while maintaining the measurement range and response time required by GTR-13. Testing of the upgraded analyzer design on an FCEV operating on a chassis dynamometer is scheduled for the summer of 2021.
A Catalyst Fusible Link for Hydrogen Detection and Activation of Passive Ventilation Systems
Sep 2021
Publication
This paper presents an experimental study of a hydrogen fusible link developed for use in the detection of hydrogen and in the activation of passive ventilation or other safety systems. Fusible links are commonly used to passively close fire dampers in the event of a fire; they generally consist of two pieces of metal joined together by a low temperature alloy to form a single device. When exposed to fire the link will heat up and eventually melt the alloy causing the metal pieces to separate. The same principle has been adopted for the hydrogen fusible link in which hydrogen recombiner catalyst was coated onto small rectangular brass plates. These plates were then soldered together to create prototypes of the hydrogen fusible link. When the resulting link is exposed to a hydrogen-air mixture an exothermic reaction occurs on the catalyst surface that will heat up the link and melt the solder separating the two sections of the hydrogen fusible link. A series of experiments was performed to characterize the thermal response of the hydrogen fusible links to various hydrogen-air mixtures. The effect of both hydrogen concentration and its rate of accumulation on the increase of catalyst temperature was examined. This study demonstrated the applicability of the hydrogen fusible link for managing hydrogen risk.
Bayesian Inference and Uncertainty Quantification for Hydrogen-Enriched and Lean-Premixed Combustion Systems
May 2021
Publication
Development of probabilistic modelling tools to perform Bayesian inference and uncertainty quantification (UQ) is a challenging task for practical hydrogen-enriched and low-emission combustion systems due to the need to take into account simultaneously simulated fluid dynamics and detailed combustion chemistry. A large number of evaluations is required to calibrate models and estimate parameters using experimental data within the framework of Bayesian inference. This task is computationally prohibitive in high-fidelity and deterministic approaches such as large eddy simulation (LES) to design and optimize combustion systems. Therefore there is a need to develop methods that: (a) are suitable for Bayesian inference studies and (b) characterize a range of solutions based on the uncertainty of modelling parameters and input conditions. This paper aims to develop a computationally-efficient toolchain to address these issues for probabilistic modelling of NOx emission in hydrogen-enriched and lean-premixed combustion systems. A novel method is implemented into the toolchain using a chemical reactor network (CRN) model non-intrusive polynomial chaos expansion based on the point collocation method (NIPCE-PCM) and the Markov Chain Monte Carlo (MCMC) method. First a CRN model is generated for a combustion system burning hydrogen-enriched methane/air mixtures at high-pressure lean-premixed conditions to compute NOx emission. A set of metamodels is then developed using NIPCE-PCM as a computationally efficient alternative to the physics-based CRN model. These surrogate models and experimental data are then implemented in the MCMC method to perform a two-step Bayesian calibration to maximize the agreement between model predictions and measurements. The average standard deviations for the prediction of exit temperature and NOx emission are reduced by almost 90% using this method. The calibrated model then used with confidence for global sensitivity and reliability analysis studies which show that the volume of the main-flame zone is the most important parameter for NOx emission. The results show satisfactory performance for the developed toolchain to perform Bayesian inference and UQ studies enabling a robust and consistent process for designing and optimising low-emission combustion systems.
Alberta Hydrogen Roadmap
Nov 2021
Publication
Alberta is preparing for a lower emission future. The Hydrogen Roadmap is a key part of that future and Alberta's Recovery Plan. The roadmap is our path to building a provincial hydrogen economy and accessing global markets. It contains several policy actions that will be introduced in the coming months and years and it provides support to the sector as technology and markets develop.<br/>Alberta is already the largest hydrogen producer in Canada. We have all the resources expertise and technology needed to quickly become a global supplier of clean low-cost hydrogen. With a worldwide market estimated to be worth over $2.5 trillion a year by 2050 hydrogen can be the next great energy export that fuels jobs investment and economic opportunity across our province.
The Development of an Assessment Framework to Determine the Technical Hydrogen Production Potential from Wind and Solar Energy
Jun 2022
Publication
Electrolytic hydrogen produced from wind and solar energy is considered a long-term option for multi-sectoral decarbonization. The study objective is to develop a framework for assessing country-level hydrogen technical potential from wind and solar energy. We apply locational suitability and zonal statistical analyses methods in a geographic information system-based environment to derive granular insights on non-captive technically exploitable hydrogen potential in high-resource locations. Seven setback factors were considered for locational suitability and integrated with modules developed for evaluating the wind and solar resource penetration from open-source theoretical renewable resource geospatial data and electricity-to-hydrogen conversion analyses. The technique applied in this study would be a relevant contribution to determining national and regional-wide electrolytic hydrogen production potentials in other jurisdictions with requisite adjustments to data and technical constraints. The results from the case study country Canada – a major hydrogen-producing country – show that the technical hydrogen potentials from wind and solar energy are approximately 1897 and 448 million metric tonnes per year respectively at least 6.3 times greater than global hydrogen demand in 2019. When we integrated locational data on enabling infrastructure we discovered that the lack of access to power transmission lines in low-population-density areas of the country significantly reduces the exploitable wind- and solar-based hydrogen potential by over 80% and 6% respectively. The findings of this study show that in the absence of spatial data on infrastructural constraints the exploitable hydrogen potential in a jurisdiction can be overestimated leading to improper guidance for policy and decision-makers.
Cost and Capacity Requirements of Electrification or Renewable Gas Transition Options that Decarbonize Building Heating in Metro Vancouver, British Columbia
Jun 2022
Publication
Northern countries face a unique challenge in decarbonizing heating demands. This study compares two pathways to reduce carbon emissions from building heating by (1) replacing natural gas heaters with electric heat pumps or (2) replacing natural gas with renewable gas. Optimal annual system cost and capacity requirements for Metro Vancouver Canada are assessed for each pathway under nine scenarios. Results show that either pathway can be lower cost but the range of costs is more narrow for the renewable gas pathway. System cost is sensitive to heat demand with colder temperatures favouring the renewable gas pathway and milder temperatures favouring the electrification pathway. These results highlight the need for a better understanding of heating profiles and associated energy system requirements.
On the Climate Impacts of Blue Hydrogen Production
Nov 2021
Publication
Natural gas based hydrogen production with carbon capture and storage is referred to as blue hydrogen. If substantial amounts of CO2 from natural gas reforming are captured and permanently stored such hydrogen could be a low-carbon energy carrier. However recent research raises questions about the effective climate impacts of blue hydrogen from a life cycle perspective. Our analysis sheds light on the relevant issues and provides a balanced perspective on the impacts on climate change associated with blue hydrogen. We show that such impacts may indeed vary over large ranges and depend on only a few key parameters: the methane emission rate of the natural gas supply chain the CO2 removal rate at the hydrogen production plant and the global warming metric applied. State-of-the-art reforming with high CO2 capture rates combined with natural gas supply featuring low methane emissions does indeed allow for substantial reduction of greenhouse gas emissions compared to both conventional natural gas reforming and direct combustion of natural gas. Under such conditions blue hydrogen is compatible with low-carbon economies and exhibits climate change impacts at the upper end of the range of those caused by hydrogen production from renewable-based electricity. However neither current blue nor green hydrogen production pathways render fully “net-zero” hydrogen without additional CO2 removal.
A Novel Approach for Quantifying Hydrogen Embrittlement Using Side-grooved CT Samples
Feb 2022
Publication
Aerospace parts made of high strength steels such as landing gears and helicopter transmissions are often electroplated to satisfy various engineering specifications. However plated parts are occasionnaly rejected because of hydrogen embrittlement and the industry has few means of evaluating quantitatively the actual damage caused by hydrogen. In the present article we developed a novel method to measure the stress intensity threshold for hydrogen embrittlement (Kth) in industrial plating conditions. The method consists in plating side-grooved CT samples in industrial plating baths and measuring Kth with an incremental step loading methodology. We validated the method with a benchmark case known to produce embrittlement (omitted post-plating bake) and we used the method on a test case for which the level of embrittlement was unknown (delayed bake). For the benchmark case we measured a Kth of 49.0 MPa m0.5 for non-baked samples. This value is significantly lower than the fracture toughness of the unplated material which is 63.8 MPa m0.5 . We conclude that this novel combination of geometry and test method is efficient in quantifying hydrogen embrittlement of samples plated in industrial conditions. For the test case the Kth are respectively 57.9 MPa m0.5 and 58.8 MPa m0.5 for samples baked 100 h and 4 h after plating. We conclude that delaying the post-plating bake does not cause hydrogen embrittlement in the studied conditions. Using a finite element hydrogen diffusion analysis we argue that the side grooves on CT samples increase the sensitivity to hydrogen embrittlement in comparison to smooth samples. In smooth samples a zone of plane stress at the surface of the specimen shields hydrogen from penetrating to the center of the specimen a phenomenon which is alleviated with machining side grooves.
Thermodynamics and Kinetics of Hydriding and Dehydriding Reactions in Mg-based Hydrogen Storage Materials
Oct 2021
Publication
Mg-based materials are one of the most promising hydrogen storage candidates due to their high hydrogen storage capacity environmental benignity and high Clarke number characteristics. However the limited thermodynamics and kinetic properties pose major challenges for their engineering applications. Herein we review the recent progress in improving their thermodynamics and kinetics with an emphasis on the models and the influence of various parameters in the calculated models. Subsequently the impact of alloying composite and nano-crystallization on both thermodynamics and dynamics are discussed in detail. In particular the correlation between various modification strategies and the hydrogen capacity dehydrogenation enthalpy and temperature hydriding/dehydriding rates are summarized. In addition the mechanism of hydrogen storage processes of Mg-based materials is discussed from the aspect of classical kinetic theories and microscope hydrogen transferring behavior. This review concludes with an outlook on the remaining challenge issues and prospects.
Design and Analysis of a New Renewable-Nuclear Hybrid Energy System for Production of Hydrogen, Fresh Water and Power
Nov 2021
Publication
This paper investigates an integrated system where solar energy system (with 75MWp bifacial PV arrays) and nuclear power plant (with 2×10MWt HTR-10 type pebble bed reactors) are hybridized and integrated with a 72MWe capacity high-temperature solid oxide electrolysis (SOE) unit to produce hydrogen fresh water and electrical power. Bifacial PV plant is integrated to system for supplying electricity with a low LCOE and zero-carbon system. A Rankine cycle is integrated to generate power from the steam that generated from nuclear heat. According to the available irradiance; the steam is diverted between steam turbine and high-temperature electrolyzer for hydrogen and power generation. Multi-effect desalination unit is integrated to exploit the excess heat to generate fresh water. A system performance assessment is carried out by energy and exergy efficiencies thermodynamically. The bifacial PV plant is analyzed in six selected latitudes in order to assess the feasibility and applicability of the system. Numerous time-dependent analyses are carried out to study the effects of varying inputs such as solar radiation intensity. For 20MWt nuclear 75MWp solar capacity; hydrogen productions are found to be between 0.036 and 0.562kg/s. Among the Northern Hemisphere latitudes the peak daily hydrogen production rate is expected to reach 25.9 tons of hydrogen per day for the 75 °N case mostly with the influence of low temperature and high albedo. The pitch distance change is increased the hydrogen production rate by 28% between 3 m and 7 m tracker spacing. The overall system energy efficiency is obtained between 21.8% and 24.2% where the overall system exergy efficiency is found between 18.6% and 21.1% under dynamic conditions for the 45°N latitude case.
Heat Transfer Models for Refueling Safety of Hydrogen Vehicle
Sep 2021
Publication
Due to the simple structure and quick refueling process of the compressed hydrogen storage tank it is widely used in fuel cell vehicles at present. However temperature rise may lead to a safety problem during charging of a compressed hydrogen storage tank. To ensure the refueling safety the thermal effects need to be studied carefully during hydrogen refueling process. In this paper based on the mass and energy balance equations a general heat transfer model for refueling process of compressed hydrogen storage tank is established. According to the geometric model of the tank wall structure we have built three lumped parameter models: single-zone (hydrogen) dual-zone (hydrogen and tank wall) and triple-zone (hydrogen tank wall liner and shell) model. These three lumped parameter models are compared with U.S. Naval gas charging model and SAE MC method based refueling model. Under adiabatic and diathermic conditions four models are built in Matlab/Simulink software to simulate the hydrogen refueling process under corresponding conditions. These four models are: single-zone singletemperature (hydrogen) dual-zone single-temperature (hydrogen) dual-zone dual-temperature (hydrogen and tank wall temperatures) and triple-zone triple-temperature (hydrogen tank wall liner and tank wall shell temperatures). By comparing the analytical solution and numerical solution the temperature rise of the compressed hydrogen storage tank can be described. The analytical and numerical solutions on the heat transfer during hydrogen refueling process will provide theoretical guidance at actual refueling station so as to improve the refueling efficiency and to enhance the refueling safety.
Recent Developments of Proton Exchange Membranes for PEMFC: A Review
Sep 2022
Publication
The decreasing abundance of conventional energy resources of nature such as crude oil natural gas and coal is putting forward the issues of energy shortcoming for the future. With a sentiment of this most researchers are now directing either on non-conventional resources that already prevail or invent it. The most promising non-conventional energy resource is the hydrogen energy which can be used in fuel cell to get electricity. Therefore a number of researchers are putting a light on developing the most efficient and affordable fuel cell. This review is mainly focused on the developments of proton exchange membranes (PEMs) in two parts as low and high temperature PEMs for proton exchange membrane fuel cell (PEMFC) and based on that some outperformed PEMs are mentioned in the respective tables. Most of the energy and automobile industries are concentrating to apply PEMFCs for power generation and to apply in vehicles. The cost of PEMFCs is higher due to the manufacturing cost of PEM. Therefore research works in PEMs are now in trend to reduce the cost to improve efficiency and to withstand particular operating conditions. In this review article recent developments in PEM by number of researchers and the importance of it in near future have been elicited.
Hybrid Renewable Hydrogen Energy Solution for Application in Remote Mines
Dec 2020
Publication
Mining operations in remote locations rely heavily on diesel fuel for the electricity haulage and heating demands. Such significant diesel dependency imposes large carbon footprints to these mines. Consequently mining companies are looking for better energy strategies to lower their carbon footprints. Renewable energies can relieve this over-reliance on fossil fuels. Yet in spite of their many advantages renewable systems deployment on a large scale has been very limited mainly due to the high battery storage system. Using hydrogen for energy storage purposes due to its relatively cheaper technology can facilitate the application of renewable energies in the mining industry. Such cost-prohibitive issues prevent achieving 100% penetration rate of renewables in mining applications. This paper offers a novel integrated renewable–multi-storage (wind turbine/battery/fuel cell/thermal storage) solution with six different configurations to secure 100% off-grid mining power supply as a stand-alone system. A detailed comparison between the proposed configurations is presented with recommendations for implementation. A parametric study is also performed identifying the effect of different parameters (i.e. wind speed battery market price and fuel cell market price) on economics of the system. The result of the present study reveals that standalone renewable energy deployment in mine settings is technically and economically feasible with the current market prices depending on the average wind speed at the mine location.
Chile and its Potential Role Among the Most Affordable Green Hydrogen Producers in the World
Jul 2022
Publication
As result of the adverse effects caused by climate change the nations have decided to accelerate the transition of the energy matrix through the use of non-conventional sources free of polluting emissions. One of these alternatives is green hydrogen. In this context Chile stands out for the exceptional climate that makes it a country with a lot of renewable resources. Such availability of resources gives the nation clear advantages for hydrogen production strong gusts of wind throughout the country the most increased solar radiation in the world lower cost of production of electrical supplies among others. Due to this the nation would be between the lowest estimated cost for hydrogen production i.e. 1.5 USD/kg H2 approximately scenario that would place it as one of the cheapest green hydrogen producer in the world.
An Eco-technoeconomic Analysis of Hydrogen Production using Solid Oxide Electrolysis Cells that Accounts for Long-term Degradation
Sep 2022
Publication
This paper presents an eco-technoeconomic analysis (eTEA) of hydrogen production via solid oxide electrolysis cells (SOECs) aimed at identifying the economically optimal size and operating trajectories for these cells. Notably degradation effects were accounted by employing a data-driven degradationbased model previously developed by our group for the analysis of SOECs. This model enabled the identification of the optimal trajectories under which SOECs can be economically operated over extended periods of time with reduced degradation rate. The findings indicated that the levelized cost of hydrogen (LCOH) produced by SOECs (ranging from 2.78 to 11.67 $/kg H2) is higher compared to gray hydrogen generated via steam methane reforming (SMR) (varying from 1.03 to 2.16 $ per kg H2) which is currently the dominant commercial process for large-scale hydrogen production. Additionally SOECs generally had lower life cycle CO2 emissions per kilogram of produced hydrogen (from 1.62 to 3.6 kg CO2 per kg H2) compared to SMR (10.72–15.86 kg CO2 per kg H2). However SOEC life cycle CO2 emissions are highly dependent on the CO2 emissions produced by its power source as SOECs powered by high-CO2-emission sources can produce as much as 32.22 kg CO2 per kg H2. Finally the findings of a sensitivity analysis indicated that the price of electricity has a greater influence on the LCOH than the capital cost.
Recovery Through Reform: Advancing a Hydrogen Economy While Minimizing Fossil Fuel Subsidies
Feb 2021
Publication
This brief explores recent momentum on hydrogen and evaluates potential implications for subsidies for fossil fuel-based hydrogen given the government's commitments on fossil fuel subsidies.
Spending on hydrogen has the potential to significantly influence the direction taken by the world’s energy systems. In December 2020 Canada unveiled a national hydrogen strategy following the announcement of a strengthened climate plan. The strategy emphasized both blue and green hydrogen. As the government considers whether to provide subsidies for hydrogen we recommend government:
This brief is one of three International Institute for Sustainable Development (IISD) policy briefs in its Recovery Through Reform series which assesses how efforts to achieve a green recovery from COVID-19 in Canada rely on—and can contribute to—fossil fuel subsidy reform.
Spending on hydrogen has the potential to significantly influence the direction taken by the world’s energy systems. In December 2020 Canada unveiled a national hydrogen strategy following the announcement of a strengthened climate plan. The strategy emphasized both blue and green hydrogen. As the government considers whether to provide subsidies for hydrogen we recommend government:
- Ensure that any subsidies for hydrogen are in line with the government’s commitments to phase out inefficient fossil fuel subsidies by 2025 and meet net-zero by 2050.
- Thoroughly evaluate the potential efficiency of subsidies for hydrogen against robust social environmental and economic criteria. • Improve transparency by publicly reporting on direct spending and tax expenditures for hydrogen production.
- Follow international best practices being set by Canada’s peers. For example Germany and Spain have laid out hydrogen strategies prioritizing green hydrogen.
This brief is one of three International Institute for Sustainable Development (IISD) policy briefs in its Recovery Through Reform series which assesses how efforts to achieve a green recovery from COVID-19 in Canada rely on—and can contribute to—fossil fuel subsidy reform.
Comparative Assessment of Blue Hydrogen from Steam Methane Reforming, Autothermal Reforming, and Natural Gas Decomposition Technologies for Natural Gas-producing Regions
Jan 2022
Publication
Interest in blue hydrogen production technologies is growing. Some researchers have evaluated the environmental and/or economic feasibility of producing blue hydrogen but a holistic assessment is still needed. Many aspects of hydrogen production have not been investigated. There is very limited information in the literature on the impact of plant size on production and the extent of carbon capture on the cost and life cycle greenhouse gas (GHG) emissions of blue hydrogen production through various production pathways. Detailed uncertainty and sensitivity analyses have not been included in most of the earlier studies. This study conducts a holistic comparative cost and life cycle GHG emissions’ footprint assessment of three natural gas-based blue hydrogen production technologies – steam methane reforming (SMR) autothermal reforming (ATR) and natural gas decomposition (NGD) to address these research gaps. A hydrogen production plant capacity of 607 tonnes per day was considered. For SMR based on the percentage of carbon capture and capture points we considered two scenarios SMR-52% (indicates 52% carbon capture) and SMR-85% (indicates 85% carbon capture). A scale factor was developed for each technology to understand the hydrogen production cost with a change in production plant size. Hydrogen cost is 1.22 1.23 2.12 1.69 2.36 1.66 and 2.55 $/kg H2 for SMR ATR NGD SMR-52% SMR-85% ATR with carbon capture and sequestration (ATR-CCS) and NGD with carbon capture and sequestration (NGD-CCS) respectively. The results indicate that when uncertainty is considered SMR-52% and ATR are economically preferable to NGD and SMR-85%. SMR-52% could outperform ATR-CCS when the natural gas price decreases and the rate of return increases. SMR-85% is the least attractive pathway; however it could outperform NGD economically when CO2 transportation cost and natural gas price decrease. Hydrogen storage cost significantly impacts the hydrogen production cost. SMR-52% SMR-85% ATR-CCS and NGD-CCS have scale factors of 0.67 0.68 0.54 and 0.65 respectively. The hydrogen cost variation with capacity shows that operating SMR-52% and ATR-CCS above hydrogen capacity of 200 tonnes/day is economically attractive. Blue hydrogen from autothermal reforming has the lowest life cycle GHG emissions of 3.91 kgCO2eq/kg H2 followed by blue hydrogen from NGD (4.54 kgCO2eq/kg H2) SMR-85% (6.66 kgCO2eq/kg H2) and SMR-52% (8.20 kgCO2eq/kg H2). The findings of this study are useful for decision-making at various levels.
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