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Power Sector Scenarios for the Fifth Carbon Budget
Oct 2015
Publication
This report sets out scenarios for the UK power sector in 2030 as an input to the Committee’s advice on the fifth carbon budget.<br/>These scenarios are not intended to set out a prescriptive path. Instead they provide a tool for the Committee to verify that its advice can be achieved with manageable impacts in order to meet the criteria set out in the Climate Change Act including competitiveness affordability and energy security.
Heuristic Design of Advanced Martensitic Steels That Are Highly Resistant to Hydrogen Embrittlement by ε-Carbide
Feb 2021
Publication
Many advanced steels are based on tempered martensitic microstructures. Their mechanical strength is characterized by fine sub-grain structures with a high density of free dislocations and metallic carbides and/or nitrides. However the strength for practical use has been limited mostly to below 1400 MPa owing to delayed fractures that are caused by hydrogen. A literature survey suggests that ε-carbide in the tempered martensite is effective for strengthening. A preliminary experimental survey of the hydrogen absorption and hydrogen embrittlement of a tempered martensitic steel with ε-carbide precipitates suggested that the proper use of carbides in steels can promote a high resistance to hydrogen embrittlement. Based on the surveys martensitic steels that are highly resistant to hydrogen embrittlement and that have high strength and toughness are proposed. The heuristic design of the steels includes alloying elements necessary to stabilize the ε-carbide and procedures to introduce inoculants for the controlled nucleation of ε-carbide.
Simulation and Techno-Economic Analysis of a Power-to-Hydrogen Process for Oxyfuel Glass Melting
Dec 2021
Publication
As an energy-intensive industry sector the glass industry is strongly affected by the increasingly stringent climate protection targets. As established combustion-based production systems ensure high process stability and glass quality an immediate switch to low greenhouse gas emission processes is difficult. To approach these challenges this work investigates a step-by-step integration of a Power-to-Hydrogen concept into established oxyfuel glass melting processes using a simulation approach. This is complemented by a case study for economic analysis on a selected German glass industry site by simulating the power production of a nearby renewable energy park and subsequent optimization of the power-to-hydrogen plant performance and capacities. The results of this study indicate that the proposed system can reduce specific carbon dioxide emissions by up to 60 % while increasing specific energy demand by a maximum of 25 %. Investigations of the impact of altered combustion and furnace properties like adiabatic flame temperature (+25 °C) temperature efficiency (∆ξ = −0.003) and heat capacity flow ratio (∆zHL = −0.009) indicate that pure hydrogen-oxygen combustion has less impact on melting properties than assumed so far. Within the case study high CO2 abatement costs of 295 €/t CO2-eq. were determined.. This is mainly due to the insufficient performance of renewable energy sources. The correlations between process scaling and economic parameters presented in this study show promising potential for further economic optimization of the proposed energy system in the future.
Future Regulation of the Gas Grid
Jun 2016
Publication
The CCC has established a variety of viable scenarios in which UK decarbonisation targets can be met. Each has consequences for the way in which the UK’s gas network infrastructure is utilised. This report considers the implications of decarbonisation for the future regulation of the gas grid.<br/>The CCC’s 5th Carbon Budget envisaged different scenarios that would enable the UK to meet its emissions targets for 2050. These scenarios represent holistic analyses based on internally consistent combinations of different technologies which could deliver carbon reductions across different sectors of the economy.<br/>The CCC’s scenarios incorporate projections of the demand for natural gas to 2050. The scenarios imply that the volume of throughput on the gas networks1 and the nature and location of network usage is likely to change significantly to meet emissions targets. They are also characterised by significant uncertainty.<br/>Under some decarbonisation scenarios gas networks could be re-purposed to supply hydrogen instead of natural gas meaning there would be ongoing need for network infrastructure.<br/>In other scenarios gas demand in buildings is largely replaced by electric alternatives meaning portions of the low pressure gas distribution networks could be decommissioned.<br/>Patchwork scenarios are also possible in which there is a mixture of these outcomes across the country.<br/>In this project the CCC wished to assess the potential implications for gas networks under these different demand scenarios; and evaluate the associated challenges for Government and regulatory policy. The challenge for BEIS and Ofgem is how to regulate in a way that keeps options open while uncertainty persists about the best solution for the UK; and at the same time how best to make policy and regulatory decisions which would serve to reduce this uncertainty. Both Government and Ofgem have policy and regulatory levers that they can use – and we identify and evaluate such levers in this report.
The Fourth Carbon Budget Review – Part 1 Assessment of Climate Risk and the International Response
Nov 2013
Publication
This is the first document of a two-part review of the Fourth Carbon Budget which covers 2023 to 2027. The Fourth Carbon Budget agreed by the Government in June 2011 was scheduled to be reviewed in 2014. The second part of the review is available here: The Fourth Carbon Budget Review – part 2: the cost effective path to the 2050 target (December 2013).<br/>According to the Climate Change Act 2008 carbon budgets can only be altered if there is a significant change in circumstances upon which the budget was set. Any such change in circumstances must be demonstrated through evidence and analysis.<br/>The Fourth Carbon Budget Review – part 1 focuses on developments in three categories of circumstance on which the budget was set: climate science international circumstances and European Union pathways. The report also looks at findings by the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change and assesses the implications for carbon budgets.
Quantifying Greenhouse Gas Emissions
Apr 2017
Publication
In this report Quantifying Greenhouse Gas Emissions the Committee on Climate Change assesses how the UK’s greenhouse gas emissions are quantified where uncertainties lie and the implications for setting carbon budgets and measuring progress against climate change targets. The report finds that:
- The methodology for constructing the UK’s greenhouse gas inventory is rigorous but the process for identifying improvements could be strengthened.
- There is high confidence over large parts of the inventory. A small number of sectors contribute most to uncertainty and research efforts should be directed at improving these estimates.
- UK greenhouse gas emissions for 2014 were within ±3% of the estimated level with 95% confidence which is a low level of uncertainty by international standards.
- Methodology revisions in recent years have tended to increase estimated emissions but these changes have been within uncertainty margins.
- Statistical uncertainty in the current greenhouse gas inventory is low but could rise in future.
- Uncertainty also arises from sources of emissions not currently included in the inventory and from potential changes to IPCC guidelines.
- Independent external validation of greenhouse gas emissions is important and new monitoring techniques should be encouraged.
- Government should continue to monitor consumption-based greenhouse gas estimates and support continued research to improve methodology and reduce uncertainty in these estimates.
UK Business Opportunities of Moving to a Low-carbon Economy
Mar 2017
Publication
The following report accompanies the Committee on Climate Change’s 2017 report on energy prices and bills. It was written by Ricardo Energy and Environment.
The report provides an analysis of the opportunities to UK businesses to supply global markets with low carbon materials and goods and services. The report considers: the position of the current UK low carbon economy the size of the market opportunity for UK businesses in 2030 and 2050 the barriers to UK business capturing a larger share of the global market the opportunity to increase the UK’s share of future global markets
Link to Document
The report provides an analysis of the opportunities to UK businesses to supply global markets with low carbon materials and goods and services. The report considers: the position of the current UK low carbon economy the size of the market opportunity for UK businesses in 2030 and 2050 the barriers to UK business capturing a larger share of the global market the opportunity to increase the UK’s share of future global markets
Link to Document
The New Facility for Hydrogen and Fuel Cell Vehicle Safety Evaluation
Sep 2005
Publication
For the evaluation of hydrogen and fuel cell vehicle safety a new comprehensive facility was constructed in our institute. The new facility includes an explosion resistant indoor vehicle fire test building and high pressure hydrogen tank safety evaluation equipment. The indoor vehicle fire test building has sufficient strength to withstand even an explosion of a high pressure hydrogen tank of 260 liter capacity and 70 MPa pressure. It also has enough space to observe vehicle fire flames of not only hydrogen but also other conventional fuels such as gasoline or compressed natural gas. The inside dimensions of the building are a 16 meter height and 18 meter diameter. The walls are made of 1.2 meter thick reinforced concrete covered at the insides with steel plate. This paper shows examples of hydrogen vehicle fires compared with other fuel fires and hydrogen high pressure tank fire tests utilizing several kinds of fire sources. Another facility for evaluation of high pressure hydrogen tank safety includes a 110 MPa hydrogen compressor with a capacity of 200 Nm3/h a 300 MPa hydraulic compressor for burst tests of 70 MPa and higher pressure tanks and so on. This facility will be used for not only the safety evaluation of hydrogen and fuel cell vehicles but also the establishment of domestic/international regulations codes and standards.
Integral Models for High Pressure Hydrogen - Methane Releases
Sep 2009
Publication
The development of hydrogen as energy carrier is promoted by the increasing in energy demand depletion of fossil resources and the global warming. However this issue relies primarily on the safety aspect which requires the knowledge in the case of gas release of the quantities such as the flammable cloud size release path and the location of the lower flammability limit of the mixture. The integral models for predicting the atmospheric dispersion were extensively used in previous works for low pressure releases such as pollutant and flammable gas transport. In the present investigation this approach is extended to the high pressure gas releases. The model is developed in the non-Boussinesq approximation and is based on Gaussian profiles for buoyant variable density jet or plume in stratified atmosphere with a crossflow. Validations have been performed on a broad range of hydrogen methane and air dispersion cases including vertical or horizontal jets or plumes into a quiescent atmosphere or with crosswind.
Meeting Carbon Budgets – 2014 Progress Report to Parliament
Jul 2014
Publication
This is our sixth statutory report to Parliament on progress towards meeting carbon budgets. In it we consider the latest data on emissions and their drivers. This year the report also includes a full assessment of how the first carbon budget (2008-2012) was met drawing out policy lessons and setting out what is required for the future to stay on track for the legislated carbon budgets and the 2050 target. The report includes assessment at the level of the economy the non-traded and traded sectors the key emitting sectors and the devolved administrations. Whilst the first carbon budget has been met and progress made on development and implementation of some policies the main conclusion is that strengthening of policies will be needed to meet future budgets.
The Future of Hydrogen
Jun 2019
Publication
At the request of the government of Japan under its G20 presidency the International Energy Agency produced this landmark report to analyse the current state of play for hydrogen and to offer guidance on its future development.
The report finds that clean hydrogen is currently enjoying unprecedented political and business momentum with the number of policies and projects around the world expanding rapidly. It concludes that now is the time to scale up technologies and bring down costs to allow hydrogen to become widely used. The pragmatic and actionable recommendations to governments and industry that are provided will make it possible to take full advantage of this increasing momentum.
Hydrogen and energy have a long shared history – powering the first internal combustion engines over 200 years ago to becoming an integral part of the modern refining industry. It is light storable energy-dense and produces no direct emissions of pollutants or greenhouse gases. But for hydrogen to make a significant contribution to clean energy transitions it needs to be adopted in sectors where it is almost completely absent such as transport buildings and power generation.
The Future of Hydrogen provides an extensive and independent survey of hydrogen that lays out where things stand now; the ways in which hydrogen can help to achieve a clean secure and affordable energy future; and how we can go about realising its potential.
Link to Document on IEA Website
The report finds that clean hydrogen is currently enjoying unprecedented political and business momentum with the number of policies and projects around the world expanding rapidly. It concludes that now is the time to scale up technologies and bring down costs to allow hydrogen to become widely used. The pragmatic and actionable recommendations to governments and industry that are provided will make it possible to take full advantage of this increasing momentum.
Hydrogen and energy have a long shared history – powering the first internal combustion engines over 200 years ago to becoming an integral part of the modern refining industry. It is light storable energy-dense and produces no direct emissions of pollutants or greenhouse gases. But for hydrogen to make a significant contribution to clean energy transitions it needs to be adopted in sectors where it is almost completely absent such as transport buildings and power generation.
The Future of Hydrogen provides an extensive and independent survey of hydrogen that lays out where things stand now; the ways in which hydrogen can help to achieve a clean secure and affordable energy future; and how we can go about realising its potential.
Link to Document on IEA Website
Batteries and Hydrogen Technology: Keys for a Clean Energy Future
May 2020
Publication
As governments focus on dealing with the Covid-19 health emergency they are increasingly turning their attention to the impact of shutting down their economies and how to revive them quickly through stimulus measures. Economic recovery packages offer a unique opportunity to create jobs while supporting clean energy transitions around the world.
Energy efficiency and renewable energy like wind and solar PV – the cornerstones of any clean energy transition – are good places to start. Those industries employ millions of people across their value chains and offer environmentally sustainable ways to create jobs and help revitalise the global economy.
But more than just renewables and efficiency will be required to put the world on track to meet climate goals and other sustainability objectives. IEA analysis has repeatedly shown that a broad portfolio of clean energy technologies will be needed to decarbonise all parts of the economy. Batteries and hydrogen-producing electrolysers stand out as two important technologies thanks to their ability to convert electricity into chemical energy and vice versa. This is why they also deserve a place in any economic stimulus packages being discussed today.
Link to Document on IEA Website
Energy efficiency and renewable energy like wind and solar PV – the cornerstones of any clean energy transition – are good places to start. Those industries employ millions of people across their value chains and offer environmentally sustainable ways to create jobs and help revitalise the global economy.
But more than just renewables and efficiency will be required to put the world on track to meet climate goals and other sustainability objectives. IEA analysis has repeatedly shown that a broad portfolio of clean energy technologies will be needed to decarbonise all parts of the economy. Batteries and hydrogen-producing electrolysers stand out as two important technologies thanks to their ability to convert electricity into chemical energy and vice versa. This is why they also deserve a place in any economic stimulus packages being discussed today.
Link to Document on IEA Website
Explosion Characteristics of Hydrogen-air and Hydrogen-Oxygen Mixtures at Elevated Pressures
Sep 2005
Publication
An essential problem for the operation of high pressure water electrolyzers and fuel cells is the permissible contamination of hydrogen and oxygen. This contamination can create malfunction and in the worst case explosions in the apparatus and gas cylinders. In order to avoid dangerous conditions the exact knowledge of the explosion characteristics of hydrogen/air and hydrogen/oxygen mixtures is necessary. The common databases e.g. the CHEMSAFE® database published by DECHEMA BAM and PTB contains even a large number of evaluated safety related properties among other things explosion limits which however are mainly measured according to standard procedures under atmospheric conditions.<br/>Within the framework of the European research project “SAFEKINEX” and other research projects the explosion limits explosion pressures and rates of pressure rise (KG values) of H2/air and H2/O2 mixtures were measured at elevated conditions of initial pressures and temperatures by the Federal Institute of Materials Research and Testing (BAM). Empirical equations of the temperature influence could be deduced from the experimental values. An anomaly was found at the pressure influence on the upper explosion limits of H2/O2 and H2/air mixtures in the range of 20 bars. In addition explosion pressures and also rates of pressure rises have been measured for different hydrogen concentrations inside the explosion range. Such data are important for constructive explosion protection measures. Furthermore the mainly used standards for the determination of explosion limits have been compared. Therefore it was interesting to have a look at the systematic differences between the new EN 1839 tube and bomb method ASTM E 681-01 and German DIN 51649-1.
Safety of Hydrogen-fueled Motor Vehicles with IC Engines.
Sep 2005
Publication
Clarification of questions of safety represents a decisive contribution to the successful introduction of vehicles fuelled by hydrogen. At the moment the safety of hydrogen is being discussed and investigated by various bodies. The primary focus is on fuel-cell vehicles with hydrogen stored in gaseous form. This paper looks at the safety of hydrogen-fuelled vehicles with an internal combustion engine and liquefied hydrogen storage. The safety concept of BMW’s hydrogen vehicles is described and the specific aspects of the propulsion and storage concepts discussed. The main discussion emphasis is on the utilization of boil-off parking of the vehicles in an enclosed space and their crash behaviour. Theoretical safety observations are complemented by the latest experimental and test results. Finally reference is made to the topic-areas in the field of hydrogen safety in which cooperative research work could make a valuable contribution to the future of the hydrogen-powered vehicle.
Progressing the Gas Goes Green Roadmap to Net Zero Webinar
Dec 2021
Publication
The Gas Goes Green Programme developed by the gas networks and the Energy Networks Association (ENA) describes a viable pathway to the injection of hydrogen and biomethane as a practical step towards the decarbonisation of the UK gas sector and will play a key role in the UK’s Net Zero energy strategy. It therefore follows that technical and management teams in the supply chain and related industries will need a sound understanding of the issues surrounding this deployment. This video shares the industry’s progress towards implementing the Gas Goes Green programme. Presenters including Oliver Lancaster CEO IGEM Dr Thomas Koller Programme Lead Gas Goes Green at the Energy Network Association (ENA) and Ian McCluskey CEng FIMechE FIGEM Head of Technical and Policy IGEM share their views on what has already been achieved and explain what they feel still needs to be done to develop the decarbonised gas network of tomorrow.
Flame Characteristics of High-Pressure Hydrogen Gas Jet
Sep 2005
Publication
It is expected that hydrogen will serve as a nonpolluting carrier of energy for the next generation of vehicles and guidelines for its safe use are required. Hydrogen-gas service stations for supplying fuel cell vehicles will have to handle high-pressure hydrogen gas but safety regulations for such installations have not received much investigation. In this study we experimentally investigated the flame characteristics of a rapid leakage of high-pressure hydrogen gas. A hydrogen jet diffusion flame was injected horizontally from convergent nozzles of various diameters between 0.1 and 4 mm at reservoir over pressures of between 0.01 and 40 MPa. The sizes of the flame were measured and experimental equations were obtained for the length and the width of the flame. Flame sizes depend not only on the nozzle diameter but also on the spouting pressure. Blow-off limits exists and are determined by the nozzle diameter and the spouting pressure. Furthermore the radiation from a hydrogen flame can be predicted from the flow rate of the gas and the distance from the flame.
Reducing UK Emissions Progress Report to Parliament
Jun 2020
Publication
This is the Committee’s 2020 report to Parliament assessing progress in reducing UK emissions over the past year. This year the report includes new advice to the UK Government on securing a green and resilient recovery following the COVID-19 pandemic. The Committee’s new analysis expands on its May 2020 advice to the UK Prime Minister in which it set out the principles for building a resilient recovery. In its new report the Committee has assessed a wide set of measures and gathered the latest evidence on the role of climate policies in the economic recovery. Its report highlights five clear investment priorities in the months ahead:
- Low-carbon retrofits and buildings that are fit for the future
- Tree planting peatland restoration and green infrastructure
- Energy networks must be strengthened
- Infrastructure to make it easy for people to walk cycle and work remotely
- Moving towards a circular economy.
- Reskilling and retraining programmes
- Leading a move towards positive behaviours
- Targeted science and innovation funding
Sectoral Scenarios for the Fifth Carbon Budget
Nov 2015
Publication
This report forms part of the Committee’s advice on the level of the fifth carbon budget.<br/>The report describes the scenarios used by the Committee to inform its judgements over the cost-effective path to meeting the UK’s greenhouse reduction targets in the period 2028-2032.
Digital Navigation of Energy–structure–function Maps for Hydrogen-bonded Porous Molecular Crystals
Feb 2021
Publication
Energy–structure–function (ESF) maps can aid the targeted discovery of porous molecular crystals by predicting the stable crystalline arrangements along with their functions of interest. Here we compute ESF maps for a series of rigid molecules that comprise either a triptycene or a spiro-biphenyl core functionalized with six different hydrogen-bonding moieties. We show that the positioning of the hydrogen-bonding sites as well as their number has a profound influence on the shape of the resulting ESF maps revealing promising structure–function spaces for future experiments. We also demonstrate a simple and general approach to representing and inspecting the high-dimensional data of an ESF map enabling an efficient navigation of the ESF data to identify ‘landmark’ structures that are energetically favourable or functionally interesting. This is a step toward the automated analysis of ESF maps an important goal for closed-loop autonomous searches for molecular crystals with useful functions.
Role of Chemical Kinetics on the Detonation Properties of Hydrogen, Natural Gas & Air Mixtures
Sep 2005
Publication
The first part of the present work is to validate a detailed kinetic mechanism for the oxidation of hydrogen – methane – air mixtures in a detonation waves. A series of experiments on auto-ignition delay times have been performed by shock tube technique coupled with emission spectrometry for H2 / CH4 / O2 mixtures highly diluted in argon. The CH4/H2 ratio was varied from 0 to 4 and the equivalence ratio from 0.4 up to 1. The temperature range was from 1250 K to 2000 K and the pressure behind reflected shock waves was between 0.15 and 1.6 MPa. A correlation was proposed between temperature (K) concentration of chemical species (mol m-3) and ignition delay times. The experimental auto-ignition delay times were compared to the modelled ones using four different mechanisms from the literature: GRI [22] Marinov et al. [23] Hughes et al. [24] Konnov [25]. A large discrepancy was generally found between the different models. The Konnov’s model that predicted auto-ignition delay times close to the measured ones has been selected to calculate the ignition delay time in the detonation waves. The second part of the study concerned the experimental determination of the detonation properties namely the detonation velocity and the cell size. The effect of the initial composition hydrogen to methane ratio and the amount of oxygen in the mixture as well as the initial pressure on the detonation velocity and on the cell size were investigated. The ratio of methane / (methane + hydrogen) varied between 0 and 0.6 for 2 different equivalence ratio (0.75 and 1) while the initial pressure was fixed to 10 kPa. A correlation was established between the characteristic cell size and the ignition delay time behind the leading shock of the detonation. It was clearly showed that methane has an important inhibitor effect on the detonation of these combustible mixtures.
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