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Additive Manufacturing for Proton Exchange Membrane (PEM) Hydrogen Technologies: Merits, Challenges, and Prospects
Jul 2023
Publication
With the growing demand for green technologies hydrogen energy devices such as Proton Exchange Membrane (PEM) fuel cells and water electrolysers have received accelerated developments. However the materials and manufacturing cost of these technologies are still relatively expensive which impedes their widespread commercialization. Additive Manufacturing (AM) commonly termed 3D Printing (3DP) with its advanced capabilities could be a potential pathway to solve the fabrication challenges of PEM parts. Herein in this paper the research studies on the novel AM fabrication methods of PEM components are thoroughly reviewed and analysed. The key performance properties such as corrosion and hydrogen embrittlement resistance of the additively manufactured materials in the PEM working environment are discussed to emphasise their reliability for the PEM systems. Additionally the major challenges and required future developments of AM technologies to unlock their full potential for PEM fabrication are identified. This paper provides insights from the latest research developments on the significance of advanced manufacturing technologies in developing sustainable energy systems to address the global energy challenges and climate change effects.
Energy and Environmental Costs in Transitioning to Zero and Low Emission Trucks for the Australian Truck Fleet: An Industry Perspective
May 2024
Publication
Modernising Australia’s old truck fleet and adopting a more stringent standard to reduce emissions and air pollutants is a primary objective for the Australian truck sector. Various strategies worldwide have been introduced to cut emissions and pollutants in the truck sector such as a low-emission strategy supported by strict diesel standards and a zero-emission strategy to shift to battery-electric or hydrogen trucks. The paper focuses on emissions and local air pollutants of trucks under various transition scenarios at both the tailpipe and the wider supply chain including domestic power generation and hydrogen production. In contrast for diesel we focus on tailpipe outputs following fuel standards in Australia given diesel is imported other than in some limited refineries. We compare and recommend actions that government and truck operators may take in the near to longer term in transitioning to cleaner energy. We tested a number of scenarios using a decision support system incorporating all the latest information on costs and emissions for all truck classes using diesel electric or hydrogen. A key finding from our scenario tests is that the current electricity mix has high carbon emissions and air pollutants due to fossil fuel-fired sources for power generation. Without improvement in using renewable energy sources in the future transitioning to electric trucks implies more carbon emissions and air pollutants in the atmosphere from power plants even though electric trucks generate zero tailpipe emissions. The main motivation for switching to zero-emission trucks is energy cost savings. We urge the government to decide on a clear roadmap for the truck sector before the sector is in a position to take action to shift to low or zero-emission trucks without totally relying on the likely reduction of emission intensity in electricity and renewable energy production.
Sustainable Propulsion Alternatives in Regional Aviation: The Case of the Canary Islands
May 2023
Publication
Sustainability is one of the main challenges the aviation industry is currently facing. In a global context of energy transition towards cleaner and renewable sources the sector is developing technologies to fly more efficiently and mitigate its environmental impact. Innovative propulsion alternatives such as biofuels electric aircraft and hydrogen engines are already a reality or are close to becoming so. To assess their feasibility a study is conducted on specific routes and aircraft across different flight ranges. The analysis focuses on the Canary Islands an outermost region of the EU with high mobility and no comparable alternative means of transport. For three routes flight profiles are analyzed obtaining the fuel consumption and emissions generated by the conventional propulsion and later applying the sustainable alternatives. The results indicate optimistic perspectives with reductions in environmental impact ranging between 40% and 75% compared to the present.
Exploring the Potential of Green Hydrogen Production and Application in the Antofagasta Region of Chile
Jun 2023
Publication
Green hydrogen is gaining increasing attention as a key component of the global energy transition towards a more sustainable industry. Chile with its vast renewable energy potential is well positioned to become a major producer and exporter of green hydrogen. In this context this paper explores the prospects for green hydrogen production and use in Chile. The perspectives presented in this study are primarily based on a compilation of government reports and data from the scientific literature which primarily offer a theoretical perspective on the efficiency and cost of hydrogen production. To address the need for experimental data an ongoing experimental project was initiated in March 2023. This project aims to assess the efficiency of hydrogen production and consumption in the Atacama Desert through the deployment of a mobile on-site laboratory for hydrogen generation. The facility is mainly composed by solar panels electrolyzers fuel cells and a battery bank and it moves through the Atacama Desert in Chile at different altitudes from the sea level to measure the efficiency of hydrogen generation through the energy approach. The challenges and opportunities in Chile for developing a robust green hydrogen economy are also analyzed. According to the results Chile has remarkable renewable energy resources particularly in solar and wind power that could be harnessed to produce green hydrogen. Chile has also established a supportive policy framework that promotes the development of renewable energy and the adoption of green hydrogen technologies. However there are challenges that need to be addressed such as the high capital costs of green hydrogen production and the need for supportive infrastructure. Despite these challenges we argue that Chile has the potential to become a leading producer and exporter of green hydrogen or derivatives such as ammonia or methanol. The country’s strategic location political stability and strong commitment to renewable energy provide a favorable environment for the development of a green hydrogen industry. The growing demand for clean energy and the increasing interest in decarbonization present significant opportunities for Chile to capitalize on its renewable energy resources and become a major player in the global green hydrogen market.
Evaluation of Hydrogen Transportation Networks - A Case Study on the German Energy System
May 2023
Publication
Not only due to the energy crisis European policymakers are exploring options to substitute natural gas with renewable hydrogen. A condition for the application of hydrogen is a functioning transportation infrastructure. However the most efficient transport of large hydrogen quantities is still unclear and deeper analyses are missing. A promising option is converting the existing gas infrastructure. This study presents a novel approach to develop hydrogen networks by applying the Steiner tree algorithm to derive candidates and evaluate their costs. This method uses the existing grid (brownfield) and is compared to a newly built grid (Greenfield). The goal is the technical and economic evaluation and comparison of hydrogen network candidates. The methodology is applied to the German gas grid and demand and supply scenarios covering the industry heavy-duty transport power and heating sector imports and domestic production. Five brownfield candidates are compared to a greenfield candidate. The candidates differ by network length and pipeline diameters to consider the transported volume of hydrogen. The economic evaluation concludes that most brownfield candidates’ cost is significantly lower than those of the greenfield candidate. The candidates can serve as starting points for flow simulations and policymakers can estimate the cost based on the results.
Investment Timing Analysis of Hydrogen-Refueling Stations and the Case of China: Independent or Co-Operative Investment?
Jun 2023
Publication
The investment in hydrogen-refueling stations (HRS) is key to the development of a hydrogen economy. This paper focuses on the decision-making for potential investors faced with the thought-provoking question of when the optimal timing to invest in HRS is. To fill the gap that exists due to the fact that few studies explain why HRS investment timing is critical we expound that earlier investment in HRS could induce the first mover advantages of the technology diffusion theory. Additionally differently from the previous research that only considered that HRS investment is just made by one individual firm we innovatively examine the HRS co-investment made by two different firms. Accordingly we compare these two optional investment modes and determine which is better considering either independent investment or co-operative investment. We then explore how the optimal HRS investment timing could be figured out under conditions of uncertainty with the real options approach. Given the Chinese HRS case under the condition of demand uncertainty the hydrogen demand required for triggering investment is viewed as the proxy for investment timing. Based on analytical and numerical results we conclude that one-firm independent investment is better than two-firm cooperative investment to develop HRS not only in terms of the earlier investment timing but also in terms of the attribute for dealing with the uncertainty. Finally we offer recommendations including stabilizing the hydrogen demand for decreasing uncertainty and accelerating firms’ innovation from both technological and strategic perspectives in order to ensure firms can make HRS investments on their own.
Resilience-oriented Operation of Microgrids in the Presence of Power-to-hydrogen Systems
Jul 2023
Publication
This study presents a novel framework for improving the resilience of microgrids based on the power-to-hydrogen concept and the ability of microgrids to operate independently (i.e. islanded mode). For this purpose a model is being developed for the resilient operation of microgrids in which the compressed hydrogen produced by power-to-hydrogen systems can either be used to generate electricity through fuel cells or sold to other industries. The model is a bi-objective optimization problem which minimizes the cost of operation and resilience by (i) reducing the active power exchange with the main grid (ii) reducing the ohmic power losses and (iii) increasing the amount of hydrogen stored in the tanks. A solution approach is also developed to deal with the complexity of the bi-objective model combining a goal programming approach and Generalized Benders Decomposition due to the mixed-integer nonlinear nature of the optimization problem. The results indicate that the resilience approach although increasing the operation cost does not lead to load shedding in the event of main grid failures. The study concludes that integrating distributed power-to-hydrogen systems results in significant benefits including emission reductions of up to 20 % and cost savings of up to 30 %. Additionally the integration of the decomposition method improves computational performance by 54 % compared to using commercial solvers within the GAMS software.
Current Development Status, Policy Support and Promotion Path of China’s Green Hydrogen Industries under the Target of Carbon Emission Peaking and Carbon Neutrality
Jun 2023
Publication
The green hydrogen industry highly efficient and safe is endowed with flexible production and low carbon emissions. It is conducive to building a low-carbon efficient and clean energy structure optimizing the energy industry system and promoting the strategic transformation of energy development and enhancing energy security. In order to achieve carbon emission peaking by 2030 and neutrality by 2060 (dual carbon goals) China is vigorously promoting the green hydrogen industry. Based on an analysis of the green hydrogen industry policies of the U.S. the EU and Japan this paper explores supporting policies issued by Chinese central and local authorities and examines the inherent advantages of China’s green hydrogen industry. After investigating and analyzing the basis for the development of the green hydrogen industry in China we conclude that China has enormous potential including abundant renewable energy resources as well as commercialization experience with renewable energy robust infrastructure and technological innovation capacity demand for large-scale applications of green hydrogen in traditional industries etc. Despite this China’s green hydrogen industry is still in its early stage and has encountered bottlenecks in its development including a lack of clarity on the strategic role and position of the green hydrogen industry low competitiveness of green hydrogen production heavy reliance on imports of PEMs perfluorosulfonic acid resins (PFSR) and other core components the development dilemma of the industry chain lack of installed capacity for green hydrogen production and complicated administrative permission etc. This article therefore proposes that an appropriate development road-map and integrated administration supervision systems including safety supervision will systematically promote the green hydrogen industry. Enhancing the core technology and equipment of green hydrogen and improving the green hydrogen industry chain will be an adequate way to reduce dependence on foreign technologies lowering the price of green hydrogen products through the scale effect and thus expanding the scope of application of green hydrogen. Financial support mechanisms such as providing tax breaks and project subsidies will encourage enterprises to carry out innovative technological research on and invest in the green hydrogen industry.
Renewable Marine Fuel Production for Decarbonised Maritime Shipping: Pathways, Policy Measures and Transition Dynamics
Jun 2023
Publication
This article investigates the potential of renewable and low-carbon fuel production for the maritime shipping sector using Sweden as a case in focus. Techno-economic modelling and socio-technical transition studies are combined to explore the conditions opportunities and barriers to decarbonising the maritime shipping industry. A set of scenarios have been developed considering demand assumptions and potential instruments such as carbon price energy tax and blending mandate. The study finds that there are opportunities for decarbonising the maritime shipping industry by using renewable marine fuels such as advanced biofuels (e.g. biomethanol) electrofuels (e.g. e-methanol) and hydrogen. Sweden has tremendous resource potential for bio-based and hydrogen-based renewable liquid fuel production. In the evaluated system boundary biomethanol presents the cheapest technology option while e-ammonia is the most expensive one. Green electricity plays an important role in the decarbonisation of the maritime sector. The results of the supply chain optimisation identify the location sites and technology in Sweden as well as the trade flows to bring the fuels to where the bunker facilities are potentially located. Biomethanol and hydrogen-based marine fuels are cost-effective at a carbon price beyond 100 €/tCO2 and 200 €/tCO2 respectively. Linking back to the socio-technical transition pathways the study finds that some shipping companies are in the process of transitioning towards using renewable marine fuels thereby enabling niche innovations to break through the carbon lock-in and eventually alter the socio-technical regime while other shipping companies are more resistant. Overall there is increasing pressure from (inter)national energy and climate policy-making to decarbonise the maritime shipping industry.
The Prospects of Hydrogen in Achieving Net Zero Emissions by 2050: A Critical Review
May 2023
Publication
Hydrogen (H2) usage was 90 metric tonnes (Mt) in 2020 almost entirely for industrial and refining uses and generated almost completely from fossil fuels leading to nearly 900 Mt of carbon dioxide emissions. However there has been significant growth of H2 in recent years. Electrolysers' total capacity which are required to generate H2 from electricity has multiplied in the past years reaching more than 300 MW through 2021. Approximately 350 projects reportedly under construction could push total capacity to 54 GW by the year 2030. Some other 40 projects totalling output of more than 35 GW are in the planning phase. If each of these projects is completed global H2 production from electrolysers could exceed 8 Mt by 2030. It's an opportunity to take advantage of H2S prospects to be a crucial component of a clean safe and cost-effective sustainable future. This paper assesses the situation regarding H2 at the moment and provides recommendations for its potential future advancement. The study reveals that clean H2 is experiencing significant unparalleled commercial and political force with the amount of laws and projects all over the globe growing quickly. The paper concludes that in order to make H2 more widely employed it is crucial to significantly increase innovations and reduce costs. The practical and implementable suggestions provided to industries and governments will allow them to fully capitalise on this growing momentum.
U.S. National Clean Hydrogen Strategy and Roadmap
Jun 2023
Publication
The U.S. National Clean Hydrogen Strategy and Roadmap explores opportunities for clean hydrogen to contribute to national decarbonization goals across multiple sectors of the economy. It provides a snapshot of hydrogen production transport storage and use in the United States today and presents a strategic framework for achieving large-scale production and use of clean hydrogen examining scenarios for 2030 2040 and 2050.
The Strategy and Roadmap also identifies needs for collaboration among federal government agencies industry academia national laboratories state local and Tribal communities environmental and justice communities labor unions and numerous stakeholder groups to accelerate progress and market liftoff. This roadmap establishes concrete targets market-driven metrics and tangible actions to measure success across sectors.
The Strategy and Roadmap responds to legislative language set forth in section 40314 of the Infrastructure Investment and Jobs Act (Public Law 117-58) also known as the Bipartisan Infrastructure Law (BIL). This document was posted for in draft form for public comment in September 2022 and the final version of the report was informed by stakeholder feedback further analysis on market liftoff as well as engagement across several federal agencies and the White House Climate Policy Office. There will also be future opportunities for stakeholder feedback as the report will be updated at least every three years as required by the BIL.
The report can be found on their website.
The Strategy and Roadmap also identifies needs for collaboration among federal government agencies industry academia national laboratories state local and Tribal communities environmental and justice communities labor unions and numerous stakeholder groups to accelerate progress and market liftoff. This roadmap establishes concrete targets market-driven metrics and tangible actions to measure success across sectors.
The Strategy and Roadmap responds to legislative language set forth in section 40314 of the Infrastructure Investment and Jobs Act (Public Law 117-58) also known as the Bipartisan Infrastructure Law (BIL). This document was posted for in draft form for public comment in September 2022 and the final version of the report was informed by stakeholder feedback further analysis on market liftoff as well as engagement across several federal agencies and the White House Climate Policy Office. There will also be future opportunities for stakeholder feedback as the report will be updated at least every three years as required by the BIL.
The report can be found on their website.
Impacts of Wind Conditions on Hydrogen Leakage During Refilling Hydrogen-powered Vehicles
Mar 2023
Publication
Although hydrogen leakage at hydrogen refueling stations has been a concern less effort has been devoted to hydrogen leakage during the refueling of hydrogen-powered vehicles. In this study hydrogen leakage and dilution from the hydrogen dispenser during the refueling of hydrogen-powered vehicles were numerically investigated under different wind configurations. The shape size and distribution of flammable gas clouds (FGC) during the leakage and dilution processes were analyzed. The results showed that the presence of hydrogen-powered vehicles resulted in irregular FGC shapes. Greater wind speeds (vwv) were associated with longer FGC propagation distances. At vwv =2 m/s and 10 m/s the FGC lengths at the end of the leakage were 7.9 m and 20.4 m respectively. Under downwind conditions higher wind speeds corresponded to lower FGC heights. The FGC height was larger under upwind conditions and was slightly affected by the magnitude of the wind speed. In the dilution process the existence of a region with a high hydrogen concentration led to the FGC volume first increasing and then gradually decreasing. Wind promoted the mixing of hydrogen and air accelerated FGC dilution inhibited hydrogen uplifting and augmented the horizontal movement of the FGC. At higher wind speeds the low-altitude FGC movements could induce potential safety hazards.
Analyzing the Future Potential of Defossilizing Industrial Specialty Glass Production with Hydrogen by LCA
Mar 2022
Publication
The glass industry is part of the energy-intensive industry with most of the energy needed to melt the raw materials. To produce glass temperatures between 1000 and 1600 °C are necessary. Presently mostly fossil natural gas is the dominant energy source. As direct electrification is not always possible in this paper a Life Cycle Assessment (LCA) for specialty glass production is conducted where the conventional fossil-based reference process is compared to a hydrogen-fired furnace. This hydrogen can be produced on-site in an water electrolyzer using not only the hydrogen for the combustion but also the produced oxygen. Hydrogen can be produced alternatively off-site in a large scale electrolyzer to facilitate economy of scale. For the transport and distribution of this hydrogen different options are available. A rather new option are liquid organic hydrogen carriers (LOHC) which bind the hydrogen in a chemical substance. However temperatures around 300 °C are necessary to separate the hydrogen from the LOHC after transport. At the glass trough waste heat is available at the required temperature level to facilitate the dehydrogenation. The comparison is completed by the production of off-site hydrogen transported to the glass trough as conventional liquefied hydrogen in cooling tanks by truck or in hydrogen pipelines. In this assessment to power the electrolyzers the national grid mix of Germany is used. A time frame from 2020 till 2050 and its changing energy system towards defossilisation is analyzed. Regarding climate change on-site hydrogen production causes the least impact for specialty glass production in 2050. However negative trade-offs for other environmental impact categories e.g. Metal depletion are recorded.
Energy Sustainability: A Pragmatic Approach and Illustrations
Mar 2009
Publication
Many factors to be appropriately addressed in moving towards energy sustainability are examined. These include harnessing sustainable energy sources utilizing sustainable energy carriers increasing efficiency reducing environmental impact and improving socioeconomic acceptability. The latter factor includes community involvement and social acceptability economic affordability and equity lifestyles land use and aesthetics. Numerous illustrations demonstrate measures consistent with the approach put forward and options for energy sustainability and the broader objective of sustainability. Energy sustainability is of great importance to overall sustainability given the pervasiveness of energy use its importance in economic development and living standards and its impact on the environment.
Oxy-fuel Combustion-based Blue Hydrogen Production with the Integration of Water Electrolysis
Jun 2023
Publication
Blue hydrogen is gaining attention as an intermediate step toward achieving eco-friendly green hydrogen production. However the general blue hydrogen production requires an energy-intensive process for carbon capture and storage resulting in low process efficiency. Additionally the hydrogen production processes steam methane reforming (SMR) and electrolysis emits waste heat and byproduct oxygen respectively. To solve these problems this study proposes an oxy-fuel combustion-based blue hydrogen production process that integrates fossil fuel-based hydrogen production and electrolysis processes. The proposed processes are SMR + SOEC and SMR + PEMEC whereas SMR solid oxide electrolysis cell (SOEC) and proton exchange membrane electrolysis cell (PEMEC) are also examined for comparison. In the proposed processes the oxygen produced by the electrolyzer is utilized for oxy-fuel combustion in the SMR process and the resulting flue gas containing CO2 and H2O is condensed to easily separate CO2. Additionally the waste heat from the SMR process is recovered to heat the feed water for the electrolyzer thereby maximizing the process efficiency. Techno-economic sensitivity and greenhouse gas (GHG) analyses were conducted to evaluate the efficiency and feasibility of the proposed processes. The results show that SMR + SOEC demonstrated the highest thermal efficiency (85.2%) and exergy efficiency (80.5%) exceeding the efficiency of the SMR process (78.4% and 70.4% for thermal and exergy efficiencies respectively). Furthermore the SMR + SOEC process showed the lowest levelized cost of hydrogen of 6.21 USD/kgH2. Lastly the SMR + SOEC demonstrated the lowest life cycle GHG emissions. In conclusion the proposed SMR + SOEC process is expected to be a suitable technology for the transition from gray to green hydrogen.
Characterization of the Hydrogen Combustion Process in a Scramjet Engine
May 2024
Publication
In this paper by using a large eddy simulation we study the combustion process in the HyShot II scramjet combustor. By conducting a detailed analysis of the mass-fraction distributions of the main species such as H2 H2O and the radicals OH and HO2 of the mass source terms of these main species and of the chemical source term of the energy equation we detect the regions where chemical reactions occur through a diffusion process and the regions where auto-ignition and premixed combustion may develop. The analysis indicates that the combustion process is mainly of diffusive type along a thin shear layer enveloping the hydrogen plume whereas there could be some auto-ignition and/or premixed combustion cores inside the plume.
The UK Hydrogen Innovation Opportunity
Apr 2024
Publication
The report considers the full end-to-end nature of the hydrogen economy to ensure there is a common understanding of the economic opportunity it could represent by 2050. Insights from across industry have brought clarity to both market and technology requirements identifying four focus areas that represent the greatest potential benefit for the UK. It highlights the steps needed to build the UK industrial capability and capacity to position the UK as a market leader. The UK Hydrogen Innovation Opportunity has been developed with and for industry with the first phase of industrial engagement involving over 250 businesses and 12 sector bodies. A second phase of industrial engagement will expand to a broader set of consulted stakeholder groups concluding with a report entitled Hydrogen Innovation: The Case for Action in summer 2024. This will seek to validate the proposed focus areas provide more detailed scope definition the size of the opportunity and outline the steps required to secure them for the UK.
Correlations between Component Size Green Hydrogen Demand and Breakeven Price for Energy Islands
Jun 2023
Publication
The topic of energy islands is currently a focal point in the push for the energy transition. An ambitious project in the North Sea aims to build an offshore wind-powered electrolyser for green hydrogen production. Power-to-X (PtX) is a process of converting renewable electricity into hydrogen-based energy carriers such as natural gas liquid fuels and chemicals. PtH2 represents a subset of PtX wherein hydrogen is the resultant green energy from the conversion process. Many uncertainties surround PtH2 plants affecting the economic success of the investment and making the price of hydrogen and the levelized cost of hydrogen (LCOH) of this technology uncompetitive. Several studies have analysed PtH2 layouts to identify the hydrogen price without considering how component capacities and external inputs affect the breakeven price. Unlike previous works this paper investigates component capacity dependencies under variables such as wind and hydrogen demand shape for dedicated/non-dedicated system layouts. To this end the techno-economic analysis finds the breakeven price optimising the components to reach the lowest selling price. Results show that the hydrogen price can reach 2.2 €/kg for a non-dedicated system for certain combinations of maximum demand and electrolyser capacity. Furthermore the LCOH analysis revealed that the offshore wind electrolyser system is currently uncompetitive with hydrogen production from carbon-based technologies but is competitive with renewable technologies. The sensitivity analysis reveals the green electricity price in the non-dedicated case for which a dedicated system has a lower optimum hydrogen price. The price limit for the dedicated case is 116 €/MWh.
Market-based Asset Valuation of Hydrogen Geological Storage
Jul 2023
Publication
Because of hydrogen's low energy density hydrogen storage is a critical component of the hydrogen economy particularly when large-scale and flexible hydrogen utilization is required. There is a sense of urgency to develop hydrogen geological storage projects to support large-scale yet flexible hydrogen utilization. This study aims to answer questions not yet resolved in the research literature discussing the valuation of hydrogen geological storage options for commercial development. This study establishes a net present value (NPV) evaluation framework for geological hydrogen storage that integrates the updated techno-economic analysis and market-based operations. The capital asset pricing model (CAPM) and the related finance theories are applied to determine the risk-adjusted discount rate in building the NPV evaluation framework. The NPV framework has been applied to two geological hydrogen storage projects a single-turn storage serving downstream transportation seasonal demand versus a multiturn storage as part of an integrated renewables-based hydrogen energy system providing peak electric load. From the NPV framework both projects have positive NPVs $46 560 632 and $12 457 546 respectively and International Rate of Return (IRR) values which are higher than the costs of capital. The NPV framework is also applied to the sensitivity analysis and shows that the hydrogen price spread between withdrawal and injection prices site development and well costs are the top three factors that impact both NPV and IRR the most for both projects. The established NPV framework can be used for project risk management by discovering the key cost drivers for the storage assets.
Technology Pathways, Efficiency Gains and Price Implications of Decarbonising Residential Heat in the UK
Jun 2023
Publication
The UK government’s plans to decarbonise residential heating will mean major changes to the energy system whatever the specific technology pathway chosen driving a range of impacts on users and suppliers. We use an energy system model (UK TIMES) to identify the potential energy system impacts of alternative pathways to low or zero carbon heating. We find that the speed of transitioning can affect the network investment requirements the overall energy use and emissions generated while the primary heating fuel shift will determine which sectors and networks require most investment. Crucially we identify that retail price differences between heating fuels in the UK particularly gas and electricity could erode or eliminate bill savings from switching to more efficient heating systems.
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