Policy & Socio-Economics

Developing a thriving hydrogen industry will depend on public and community support. Past research mainly focusing on the acceptance of hydrogen fuelling stations and cars suggests that people generally support hydrogen energy technology (HET). Few studies have however considered how people think about other components of the hydrogen supply chain (i.e. technologies required to make store transport and use hydrogen). Moreover there has been limited research investigating how people interpret and develop beliefs about HET after being presented with technical information. This paper attempts to address these research gaps by presenting the findings from four face-to-face focus group discussions conducted in Australia. The findings suggest that people have differing views about HET which depends on the type of technology and these views influence levels of support. The study also revealed concerns about a range of other factors that have yet to be considered in hydrogen acceptance research (e.g. perceived water use efficiency and indirect benefits). The findings highlight the value of qualitative research for identifying salient beliefs that shape attitudes towards HET and provide recommendations for future research and how to effectively communicate with the public and communities about an emerging hydrogen industry.

Island energy systems are becoming an important part of energy transformation due to the growing needs for the penetration of renewable energy. Among the possible systems a combination of different energy generation technologies is a viable option for local users as long as energy storage is implemented. The presented paper describes an energy-economic assessment of an island system with a photovoltaic field small wind turbine wood chip gasifier battery and hydrogen circuit with electrolyzer and fuel cell. The system is designed to satisfy the electrical energy demand of a tourist facility in two European localizations. The operation of the system is developed and dynamically simulated in the Transient System Simulation (TRNSYS) environment taking into account realistic user demand. The results show that in Gdansk Poland it is possible to satisfy 99% of user demand with renewable energy sources with excess energy equal to 31% while in Agkistro Greece a similar result is possible with 43% of excess energy. Despite the high initial costs it is possible to obtain Simple Pay Back periods of 12.5 and 22.5 years for Gdansk and Agkistro respectively. This result points out that under a high share of renewables in the energy demand of the user the profitability of the system is highly affected by the local cost of energy vectors. The achieved results show that the system is robust in providing energy to the users and that future development may lead to an operation based fully on renewables.

As a reformist approach to low-carbon transitions green hydrogen is often promoted as an easy replacement for fossil fuels. This substitution narrative makes this technology compelling as it offers to reduce emissions while continuing the contemporary energy system. Using ‘sociotechnical imaginaries’ this paper explores the underlying political processes on what appears to be a mostly technical vision of green hydrogen. Analysis through expert interviews in Aotearoa New Zealand revealed two contrasting energy visions one emphasizing the technical role of green hydrogen in New Zealand's transition—the green hydrogen imaginary and the other which advocated for a future motivated by social change—the alternative energy imaginary. Comparing the tensions through a lens of hydrogen justice exposed the assumptions and exclusions present in the emerging green hydrogen imaginary. This paper argues that the technocratic business as usual approach of green hydrogen depoliticizes the social nature of energy and thus risks perpetuating inequalities and harms present in the current energy system. However these critiques also suggest that there is hope for green hydrogen to be reimagined in more ethical and just ways.

A simulation tool called HYDRA to optimize individual hydrogen infrastructure layouts is presented. The different electrolyzer technologies namely proton exchange membrane electrolysis anion exchange membrane electrolysis alkaline electrolysis and solid oxide electrolysis as well as hydrogen storage possibilities are described in more detail and evaluated. To illustrate the application opportunities of HYDRA three project examples are discussed. The examples include central and decentral applications while taking the usage of hydrogen into account.

The transportation industry’s transition to carbon neutrality is essential for addressing sustainability concerns. This study details a model for calculating the carbon footprint of the transportation sector as it progresses towards carbon neutrality. The model aims to support policymakers in estimating the potential impact of various decisions regarding transportation technology and infrastructure. It accounts for energy demand technological advancements and infrastructure upgrades as they relate to each transportation market: passenger vehicles commercial vehicles aircraft watercraft and trains. A technology roadmap underlies this model outlining anticipated advancements in batteries hydrogen storage biofuels renewable grid electricity and carbon capture and sequestration. By estimating the demand and the technologies that comprise each transportation market the model estimates carbon emissions. Results indicate that based on the technology roadmap carbon neutrality can be achieved by 2070 for the transportation sector. Furthermore the model found that carbon neutrality can still be achieved with slippage in the technology development schedule; however delays in infrastructure updates will delay carbon neutrality while resulting in a substantial increase in the cumulative carbon footprint of the transportation sector.

The green hydrogen industry highly efficient and safe is endowed with flexible production and low carbon emissions. It is conducive to building a low-carbon efficient and clean energy structure optimizing the energy industry system and promoting the strategic transformation of energy development and enhancing energy security. In order to achieve carbon emission peaking by 2030 and neutrality by 2060 (dual carbon goals) China is vigorously promoting the green hydrogen industry. Based on an analysis of the green hydrogen industry policies of the U.S. the EU and Japan this paper explores supporting policies issued by Chinese central and local authorities and examines the inherent advantages of China’s green hydrogen industry. After investigating and analyzing the basis for the development of the green hydrogen industry in China we conclude that China has enormous potential including abundant renewable energy resources as well as commercialization experience with renewable energy robust infrastructure and technological innovation capacity demand for large-scale applications of green hydrogen in traditional industries etc. Despite this China’s green hydrogen industry is still in its early stage and has encountered bottlenecks in its development including a lack of clarity on the strategic role and position of the green hydrogen industry low competitiveness of green hydrogen production heavy reliance on imports of PEMs perfluorosulfonic acid resins (PFSR) and other core components the development dilemma of the industry chain lack of installed capacity for green hydrogen production and complicated administrative permission etc. This article therefore proposes that an appropriate development road-map and integrated administration supervision systems including safety supervision will systematically promote the green hydrogen industry. Enhancing the core technology and equipment of green hydrogen and improving the green hydrogen industry chain will be an adequate way to reduce dependence on foreign technologies lowering the price of green hydrogen products through the scale effect and thus expanding the scope of application of green hydrogen. Financial support mechanisms such as providing tax breaks and project subsidies will encourage enterprises to carry out innovative technological research on and invest in the green hydrogen industry.

The U.S. National Clean Hydrogen Strategy and Roadmap explores opportunities for clean hydrogen to contribute to national decarbonization goals across multiple sectors of the economy. It provides a snapshot of hydrogen production transport storage and use in the United States today and presents a strategic framework for achieving large-scale production and use of clean hydrogen examining scenarios for 2030 2040 and 2050.

The Strategy and Roadmap also identifies needs for collaboration among federal government agencies industry academia national laboratories state local and Tribal communities environmental and justice communities labor unions and numerous stakeholder groups to accelerate progress and market liftoff. This roadmap establishes concrete targets market-driven metrics and tangible actions to measure success across sectors.

The Strategy and Roadmap responds to legislative language set forth in section 40314 of the Infrastructure Investment and Jobs Act (Public Law 117-58) also known as the Bipartisan Infrastructure Law (BIL). This document was posted for in draft form for public comment in September 2022 and the final version of the report was informed by stakeholder feedback further analysis on market liftoff as well as engagement across several federal agencies and the White House Climate Policy Office. There will also be future opportunities for stakeholder feedback as the report will be updated at least every three years as required by the BIL.

The report can be found on their website.

The report considers the full end-to-end nature of the hydrogen economy to ensure there is a common understanding of the economic opportunity it could represent by 2050. Insights from across industry have brought clarity to both market and technology requirements identifying four focus areas that represent the greatest potential benefit for the UK. It highlights the steps needed to build the UK industrial capability and capacity to position the UK as a market leader. The UK Hydrogen Innovation Opportunity has been developed with and for industry with the first phase of industrial engagement involving over 250 businesses and 12 sector bodies. A second phase of industrial engagement will expand to a broader set of consulted stakeholder groups concluding with a report entitled Hydrogen Innovation: The Case for Action in summer 2024. This will seek to validate the proposed focus areas provide more detailed scope definition the size of the opportunity and outline the steps required to secure them for the UK.

Because of hydrogen's low energy density hydrogen storage is a critical component of the hydrogen economy particularly when large-scale and flexible hydrogen utilization is required. There is a sense of urgency to develop hydrogen geological storage projects to support large-scale yet flexible hydrogen utilization. This study aims to answer questions not yet resolved in the research literature discussing the valuation of hydrogen geological storage options for commercial development. This study establishes a net present value (NPV) evaluation framework for geological hydrogen storage that integrates the updated techno-economic analysis and market-based operations. The capital asset pricing model (CAPM) and the related finance theories are applied to determine the risk-adjusted discount rate in building the NPV evaluation framework. The NPV framework has been applied to two geological hydrogen storage projects a single-turn storage serving downstream transportation seasonal demand versus a multiturn storage as part of an integrated renewables-based hydrogen energy system providing peak electric load. From the NPV framework both projects have positive NPVs $46 560 632 and $12 457 546 respectively and International Rate of Return (IRR) values which are higher than the costs of capital. The NPV framework is also applied to the sensitivity analysis and shows that the hydrogen price spread between withdrawal and injection prices site development and well costs are the top three factors that impact both NPV and IRR the most for both projects. The established NPV framework can be used for project risk management by discovering the key cost drivers for the storage assets.

Hydrogen is crucial in achieving global energy transition and carbon neutrality goals. Existing market estimates typically presume linear or exponential growth but fail to consider how market demand responds to the declining cost of underlying technologies. To address this this study utilizes a learning curve model to project the cost of electrolyzers and its subsequent impact on hydrogen market aligning with a premise that the market demand is proportional to the cost of hydrogen. In a case study of China’s hydrogen market projecting from 2020 to 2060 we observed substantial differences in market evolution compared to exponential growth scenarios. Contrary to exponential growth scenarios China’s hydrogen market experiences faster growth during the 2020–2040 period rather than later. Such differences underscore the necessity for proactive strategic planning in emerging technology markets particularly for those experiencing rapid cost decline such as hydrogen. The framework can also be extended to other markets by using local data providing valuable insights to investors policymakers and developers engaged in the hydrogen market.