Applications & Pathways
Wind Farm Control for Improved Battery Lifetime in Green Hydrogen Systems without a Grid Connection
Jul 2023
Publication
Green hydrogen is likely to play an important role in meeting the net-zero targets of countries around the globe. One potential option for green hydrogen production is to run electrolysers directly from offshore wind turbines with no grid connection and hence no expensive cabling to shore. In this work an innovative proof of concept of a wind farm control methodology designed to reduce variability in wind farm active power output is presented. Smoothing the power supplied by the wind farm to the battery reduces the size and number of battery charge cycles and helps to increase battery lifetime. This work quantifies the impact of the wind farm control method on battery lifetime for wind farms of 1 4 9 and 16 wind turbines using suitable wind farm battery and electrolyser models. The work presented shows that wind farm control for smoothing wind farm power output could play a critical role in reducing the levelised cost of green hydrogen produced from wind farms with no grid connection by reducing the damaging load cycles on batteries in the system. Hence this work paves the way for the design and testing of a full implementation of the wind farm controller.
Numerical Study on the Use of Ammonia/Hydrogen Fuel Blends for Automotive Sparking-ignition Engines
Jun 2023
Publication
The importance of new alternative fuels has assumed great relevance in the last decades to face the issues of global warming and pollutant emissions from energy production. The scientific community is responsible for developing solutions to achieve the necessary environmental restriction policies. In this context ammonia appears as a potential fuel candidate and energy vector that may solve the technological difficulties of using hydrogen (H2 ) directly in internal combustion engines. Its high hydrogen content per unit mass higher energy density than liquid hydrogen well-developed infrastructure and experience in handling and storage make it suitable to be implemented as a long-term solution. In this work a virtual engine model was developed to perform prospective simulations of different operating conditions using ammonia and H2 -enriched ammonia as fuel in a spark-ignition (SI) engine integrating a chemical kinetics model and empirical correlations for combustion prediction. In addition specific conditions were evaluated to consider and to understand the governing parameters of ammonia combustion using computational fluid dynamics (CFD) simulations. Results revealed similar thermal efficiency than methane fuel with considerable improvements after appropriate H2 - enrichment. Moreover increasing the intake temperature and the turbulence intensity inside the cylinder evinced significant reductions in combustion duration. Finally higher compression ratios ensure efficiency gains with no evidence of abnormal combustion (knocking) even at high compression ratios (above 16:1) and low engine speeds (800 rpm). Numerical simulations showed the direct influence of the flame front surface area and the turbulent combustion velocity on efficiency reflecting the need for optimizing the SI engines design paradigm for ammonia applications.
Advantages and Technological Progress of Hydrogen Fuel Cell Vehicles
Jun 2023
Publication
The automotive industry is undergoing a profound transformation driven by the need for sustainable and environmentally friendly transportation solutions [1]. In this context fuel cell technology has emerged as a promising alternative offering clean efficient and high-performance power sources for vehicles [2]. Fuel cell vehicles are electric vehicles that use fuel cell systems as a single power source or as a hybrid power source in combination with rechargeable energy storage systems. A typical fuel cell system for electric vehicle is exhibited in Figure 1 which provides a comprehensive demonstration of this kind of complex system. Hydrogen energy is a crucial field in the new energy revolution and will become a key pillar in building a green efficient and secure new energy system. As a critical field for hydrogen utilization fuel cell vehicles will play an important role in the transformation and development of the automotive industry. The development of fuel cell vehicles offers numerous advantages such as strong power outputs safety reliability and economic energy savings [3]. However improvements must urgently be made in existing technologies such as fuel cell stacks (including proton exchange membranes catalysts gas diffusion layers and bipolar plates) compressors and onboard hydrogen storage systems [4]. The advantages and current technological status are analyzed here.
Selected Materials and Technologies for Electrical Energy Sector
Jun 2023
Publication
Ensuring the energy transition in order to decrease CO2 and volatile organic compounds emissions and improve the efficiency of energy processes requires the development of advanced materials and technologies for the electrical energy sector. The article reviews superconducting materials functional nanomaterials used in the power industry mainly due to their magnetic electrical optical and dielectric properties and the thin layers of amorphous carbon nitride which properties make them an important material from the point of view of environmental protection optoelectronic photovoltaic and energy storage. The superconductivity-based technologies material processing and thermal and nonthermal plasma generation have been reviewed as technologies that can be a solution to chosen problems in the electrical energy sector and environment. The study explains directly both—the basics and application potential of low and high-temperature superconductors as well as peculiarities of the related manufacturing technologies for Roebel cables 1G and 2G HTS tapes and superconductor coil systems. Among the superconducting materials particular attention was paid to the magnesium di-boride MgB2 and its potential applications in the power industry. The benefits of the use of carbon films with amorphous structures in electronics sensing technologies solar cells FETs and memory devices were discussed. The article provides the information about most interesting from the R&D point of view groups of materials for PV applications. It summarises the advantages and disadvantages of their use regarding commercial requirements such as efficiency lifetime light absorption impact on the environment costs of production and weather dependency. Silicon processing inkjet printing vacuum deposition and evaporation technologies that allow obtaining improved and strengthened materials for solar cell manufacturing are also described. In the case of the widely developed plasma generation field waste-to-hydrogen technology including both thermal and non-thermal plasma techniques has been discussed. The review aims to draw attention to the problems faced by the modern power industry and to encourage research in this area because many of these problems can only be solved within the framework of interdisciplinary and international cooperation.
THyGA - Test Report on Mitigation Solutions for Residential Natural Gas Appliances Not Designed for Hydrogen Admixture
Apr 2023
Publication
This report from the WP5 “Mitigation” provides information and test results regarding perturbations that hydrogen could cause to gas appliances when blended to natural gas especially on anatural draught for exhaust fumes or acidity for the condensates. The important topic of on-site adjustment is also studied with test results on alternative technologies and proposals of mitigation approaches.
Maximisation of PV Energy Use and Performance Analysis of a Stand-alone PV-hydrogen System
Sep 2023
Publication
The development of clean hydrogen and photovoltaic (PV) systems is lagging behind the goals set in the Net Zero Emissions scenario of the International Energy Agency. For this reason efficient hydrogen production systems powered from renewable energy need to be deployed faster. This work presents an optimization procedure for a stand-alone fully PVpowered alkaline electrolysis system. The approach is based on the Particle Swarm Optimization algorithm to obtain the best configuration of the PV plant that powers the electrolyzer and its compressor. The best configuration is determined with one of three indicators: cost efficiency or wasted energy. The PV plant needs to be oversized 2.63 times with respect to the electrolyzer to obtain minimum cost while for high efficiency this number increases by 2%. Additionally the configuration that minimizes cost wasted energy or maximizes efficiency does not correspond to the configuration that maximizes the annual PV yield. Optimizing for cost results also leads to the best operation of the electrolyzer at partial loads than optimizing for efficiency or wasted energy.
Modelling Large-scale Hydrogen Uptake in the Mexican Refinery and Power Sectors
Sep 2023
Publication
Due to the emissions reduction commitments that Mexico compromised in the Paris Agreement several clean fuel and renewable energy technologies need to penetrate the market to accomplish the environmental goals. Therefore there is a need to develop achievable and realistic policies for such technologies to ease the decision-making on national energy strategies. Several countries are starting to develop large-scale green hydrogen production projects to reduce the carbon footprint of the multiple sectors within the country. The conversion sectors namely power and refinery are fundamental sectors to decarbonise due to their energy supply role. Nowadays the highest energy consumables of the country are hydrocarbons (more than 90%) causing a particular challenge for deep decarbonisation. The purpose of this study is to use a multi-regional energy system model of Mexico to analyse a decarbonisation scenario in line with the latest National Energy System Development Program. Results show that if the country wants to succeed in reducing 22% of its GHG emissions and 51% of its short-lived climate pollutants emissions green hydrogen could play a role in power generation in regions with higher energy demand growth rates. These results show regarding the power sector that H2 could represent 13.8 GW or 5.1% of the total installed capacity by 2050 while for the refinery sector H2 could reach a capacity of 157 PJ/y which is around 31.8% of the total share and it is mainly driven by the increasing demands of the transport industry and power sectors. Nevertheless as oil would still represent the largest energy commodity CCS technologies would have to be deployed for new and retrofitted refinery facilities.
A Systems-Level Study of Ammonia and Hydrogen for Maritime Transport
Aug 2023
Publication
An energy systems comparison of grid-electricity derived liquid hydrogen (LH2) and liquid ammonia (LNH3) is conducted to assess their relative potential in a low-carbon future. Under various voyage weather conditions their performance is analysed for use in cargo transport energy vectors for low-carbon electricity transport and fuel supply. The analysis relies on literature projections for technological development and grid decarbonisation towards 2050. Various voyages are investigated from regions such as North America (NA) Europe (E) and Latin America (LA) to regions projected to have a higher electricity and fuel grid carbon intensity (CI) (i.e. Asia Pacific Africa the Middle-East and the CIS). In terms of reducing the CI of electricity and fuel at the destination port use of LH2 is predicted to be favourable relative to LNH3 whereas LNH3 is favourable for low-carbon transport of cargo. As targeted by the International Maritime Organisation journeys of LNH3 cargo ships originating in NA E and LA achieve a reduction in volumetric energy efficiency design index (kg-CO2/m3 -km) of at least 70% relative to 2008 levels. The same targets can be met globally if LH2 is supplied to high CI regions for production of LNH3 for cargo transport. A future shipping system thus benefits from the use of both LH2 and LNH3 for different functions. However there are additional challenges associated with the use of LH2. Relative to LNH3 1.6 to 1.7 times the number of LH2 ships are required to deliver the same energy. Even when reliquefaction is employed their success is reliant on the avoidance of rough sea states (i.e. Beaufort Numbers >= 6) where fuel depletion rates during a voyage are impractical.
Green Fleet: A Prototype Biogas and Hydrogen Refueling Management System for Private Fleet Stations
Aug 2023
Publication
Biogas and hydrogen (H2 ) are breaking through as alternative energy sources in road transport specifically for heavy-duty vehicles. Until a public network of service stations is deployed for such vehicles the owners of large fleets will need to build and manage their own refueling facilities. Fleet refueling management and remote monitoring at these sites will become key business needs. This article describes the construction of a prototype system capable of solving those needs. During the design and development process of the prototype the standard industry protocols involved in these installations have been considered and the latest expertise in information technology systems has been applied. This prototype has been essential to determine the Strengths Challenges Opportunities and Risks (SCOR) of such a system which is the first step of a more ambitious project. A second stage will involve setting up a pilot study and developing a commercial system that can be widely installed to provide a real solution for the industry.
Solar–Hydrogen Storage System: Architecture and Integration Design of University Energy Management Systems
May 2024
Publication
As a case study on sustainable energy use in educational institutions this study examines the design and integration of a solar–hydrogen storage system within the energy management framework of Kangwon National University’s Samcheok Campus. This paper provides an extensive analysis of the architecture and integrated design of such a system which is necessary given the increasing focus on renewable energy sources and the requirement for effective energy management. This study starts with a survey of the literature on hydrogen storage techniques solar energy storage technologies and current university energy management systems. In order to pinpoint areas in need of improvement and chances for progress it also looks at earlier research on solar–hydrogen storage systems. This study’s methodology describes the system architecture which includes fuel cell integration electrolysis for hydrogen production solar energy harvesting hydrogen storage and an energy management system customized for the needs of the university. This research explores the energy consumption characteristics of the Samcheok Campus of Kangwon National University and provides recommendations for the scalability and scale of the suggested system by designing three architecture systems of microgrids with EMS Optimization for solar–hydrogen hybrid solar–hydrogen and energy storage. To guarantee effective and safe functioning control strategies and safety considerations are also covered. Prototype creation testing and validation are all part of the implementation process which ends with a thorough case study of the solar–hydrogen storage system’s integration into the university’s energy grid. The effectiveness of the system its effect on campus energy consumption patterns its financial sustainability and comparisons with conventional energy management systems are all assessed in the findings and discussion section. Problems that arise during implementation are addressed along with suggested fixes and directions for further research—such as scalability issues and technology developments—are indicated. This study sheds important light on the viability and efficiency of solar–hydrogen storage systems in academic environments particularly with regard to accomplishing sustainable energy objectives.
Can Hydrogen Storage in Metal Hydrides be Economically Competitive with Compressed and Liquid Hydrogen Storage? A Techno-economical Perspective for the Maritime Sector
Aug 2023
Publication
The aim of this work is to evaluate if metal hydride hydrogen storage tanks are a competitive alternative for onboard hydrogen storage in the maritime sector when compared to compressed gas and liquid hydrogen storage. This is done by modelling different hydrogen supply and onboard storage scenarios and evaluating their levelized cost of hydrogen variables. The levelized cost of hydrogen for each case is calculated considering the main components that are required for the refueling infrastructure and adding up the costs of hydrogen production compression transport onshore storage dispensing and the cost of the onboard tanks when known. The results show that the simpler refueling needs of metal hydride-based onboard tanks result in a significant cost reduction of the hydrogen handling equipment. This provides a substantial leeway for the investment costs of metal hydride-based storage which depending on the scenario can be between 3400 - 7300 EUR/kgH2 while remaining competitive with compressed hydrogen storage.
The Transition to a Renewable Energy Electric Grid in the Caribbean Island Nation of Antigua and Barbuda
Aug 2023
Publication
The present study describes the development and application of a model of the national electricity system for the Caribbean dual-island nation of Antigua and Barbuda to investigate the cost optimal mix of solar photovoltaics (PVs) wind and in the most novel contribution concentrating solar power (CSP). These technologies together with battery and hydrogen energy storage can enable the aim of achieving 100% renewable electricity and zero carbon emissions. The motivation for this study was that while most nations in the Caribbean rely largely on diesel fuel or heavy fuel oil for grid electricity generation many countries have renewable resources beyond wind and solar energy. Antigua and Barbuda generates 93% of its electricity from diesel-fueled generators and has set the target of becoming a net-zero nation by 2040 as well as having 86% renewable energy generation in the electricity sector by 2030 but the nation has no hydroelectric or geothermal resources. Thus this study aims to demonstrate that CSP is a renewable energy technology that can help assist Antigua and Barbuda in its transition to a renewable energy electric grid while also decreasing electricity generation costs. The modeled optimal mix of renewable energy technologies presented here was found for Antigua and Barbuda by assessing the levelized cost of electricity (LCOE) for systems comprising various combinations of energy technologies and storage. Other factors were also considered such as land use and job creation. It was found that 100% renewable electricity systems are viable and significantly less costly than current power systems and that there is no single defined pathway towards a 100% renewable energy grid but several options are available.
Dynamic Simulation and Thermoeconomic Analysis of a Power to Gas System
Sep 2023
Publication
Power to gas technology is an innovative solution to promote the use of renewable energy technologies also including e-fuels. This work presents a techno-economic analysis of a novel concept of a renewable power to gas plant. A 2.4 MW solid oxide electrolyzer fed by a 3.1 MW photovoltaic field is coupled with a biomethane production unit to produce synthetic methane by means of a 2.4 MW methanation unit. The hydrogen produced by the electrolyzer is used for the methanation reaction aiming at producing natural gas at net zero carbon emissions. The CO2 is obtained as a byproduct of the membrane separation in a biogas upgrading unit. The methanation unit and the electrolyzer models are developed in MatLab and integrated in TRNSYS to perform a dynamic simulation of all the components and the system as a whole. Dynamic simulation results show a 42% increase in the production of natural gas from renewable energy sources. The thermoeconomic analysis shows a remarkable primary energy saving index of 176% and a total amount of 896 tons of CO2 equivalent emissions saved. As expected the critical point is the economic feasibility since the simple payback is 9 years in case local incentives and subsidies are considered. The parametric analysis on the photovoltaic capacity shows that the simple payback dramatically depends on such design parameter varying from 6 years in the best case scenario to 92 years in the worst case scenario.
Performance Evaluation of a Fuel Cell mCHP System under Different Configurations of Hydrogen Origin and Heat Recovery
Sep 2023
Publication
Motivated by the growing importance of fuel cell systems as the basis for distributed energy generation systems this work considers a micro-combined heat and power (mCHP) generation system based on a fuel cell integrated to satisfy the (power and thermal) energy demands of a residential application. The main objective of this work is to compare the performance of several CHP configurations with a conventional alternative in terms of primary energy consumption greenhouse gas (GHG) emissions and economic viability. For that a simulation tool has been developed to easily estimate the electrical and thermal energy generated by a hydrogen fuel cell and all associated results related to the hydrogen production alternatives: excess or shortfall of electrical and thermal energy CO2 emission factor overall performance operating costs payback period etc. A feasibility study of different configuration possibilities of the micro-CHP generation system has been carried out considering different heat-to-power ratios (HPRs) in the possible demands and analyzing primary energy savings CO2 emissions savings and operating costs. An extensive parametric study has been performed to analyze the effect of the fuel cell’s electric power and number of annual operation hours as parameters. Finally a study of the influence of the configuration parameters on the final results has been carried out. Results show that in general configurations using hydrogen produced from natural gas save more primary energy than configurations with hydrogen production from electricity. Furthermore it is concluded that the best operating points are those in which the generation system and the demand have similar HPR. It has also been estimated that a reduction in renewable hydrogen price is necessary to make these systems profitable. Finally it has been determined that the most influential parameters on the results are the fuel cell electrical efficiencies hydrogen production efficiency and hydrogen cost.
Economic Analysis of a Photovoltaic Hydrogen Refueling Station Based on Hydrogen Load
Sep 2023
Publication
With the goal of achieving “carbon peak in 2030 and carbon neutrality in 2060” as clearly proposed by China the transportation sector will face long–term pressure on carbon emissions and the application of hydrogen fuel cell vehicles will usher in a rapid growth period. However true “zero carbon” emissions cannot be separated from “green hydrogen”. Therefore it is of practical significance to explore the feasibility of renewable energy hydrogen production in the context of hydrogen refueling stations especially photovoltaic hydrogen production which is applied to hydrogen refueling stations (hereinafter referred to “photovoltaic hydrogen refueling stations”). This paper takes a hydrogen refueling station in Shanghai with a supply capacity of 500 kg/day as the research object. Based on a characteristic analysis of the hydrogen demand of the hydrogen refueling station throughout the day this paper studies and analyzes the system configuration operation strategy environmental effects and economics of the photovoltaic hydrogen refueling station. It is estimated that when the hydrogen price is no less than 6.23 USD the photovoltaic hydrogen refueling station has good economic benefits. Additionally compared with the conventional hydrogen refueling station it can reduce carbon emissions by approximately 1237.28 tons per year with good environmental benefits.
A Multicriteria Modeling Approach for Evaluating Power Generation Scenarios Under Uncertainty: The Case of Green Hydrogen in Greece
Oct 2023
Publication
Clean energy technological innovations are widely acknowledged as a prerequisite to achieving ambitious longterm energy and climate targets. However the optimal speed of their adoption has been parsimoniously studied in the literature. This study seeks to identify the optimal intensity of moving to a green hydrogen electricity sector in Greece using the OSeMOSYS energy modeling framework. Green hydrogen policies are evaluated first on the basis of their robustness against uncertainty and afterwards against conflicting performance criteria and for different decision-making profiles towards risk by applying the VIKOR and TOPSIS multi-criteria decision aid methods. Although our analysis focuses exclusively on the power sector and compares different rates of hydrogen penetration compared to a business-as-usual case without considering other game-changing innovations (such as other types of storage or carbon capture and storage) we find that a national transition to a green hydrogen economy can support Greece in potentially cutting at least 16 MtCO2 while stimulating investments of EUR 10–13 bn. over 2030–2050.
Decarbonizing the Spanish Transportation Sector by 2050: Design and Techno-economic Assessment of the Hydrogen Generation and Supply Chain
May 2023
Publication
The transport sector is difficult to decarbonize due to its high reliance on fossil fuels accounting for 37% of global end-use sectors emissions in 2021. Therefore this work proposes an energy model to replace the Spanish vehicle fleet by hydrogen-fueled vehicles by 2050. Thus six regions are defined according to their proximity to regasification plants where hydrogen generation hubs are implemented. Likewise renewables deployment is subject to their land availability. Hydrogen is transported through an overhauled primary natural gas transport network while two distribution methods are compared for levelized cost of hydrogen minimization: gaseous pipeline vs liquid hydrogen supply in trucks. Hence a capacity of 443.1 GW of renewables 214 GW of electrolyzers and 3.45 TWh of hydrogen storage is required nationwide. Additionally gaseous hydrogen distribution is on average 17% cheaper than liquid hydrogen delivery. Finally all the regions present lower prices per km traveled than gasoline or diesel.
Investigation of Different Load Characteristics, Component Dimensioning, and System Scaling for the Optimized Design of a Hybrid Hydrogen-Based PV Energy System
Jul 2023
Publication
The realization of a carbon-neutral civilization which has been set as a goal for the coming decades goes directly hand-in-hand with the need for an energy system based on renewable energies (REs). Due to the strong weather-related daily and seasonal fluctuations in supply of REs suitable energy storage devices must be included for such energy systems. For this purpose an energy system model featuring hybrid energy storage consisting of a hydrogen unit (for long-term storage) and a lithium-ion storage device (for short-term storage) was developed. With a proper design such a system can ensure a year-round energy supply by using electricity generated by photovoltaics (PVs). In the energy system that was investigated hydrogen (H2) was produced by using an electrolyser (ELY) with a PV surplus during the summer months and then stored in an H2 tank. During the winter due to the lack of PV power the H2 is converted back into electricity and heat by a fuel cell (FC). While the components of such a system are expensive a resource- and cost-efficient layout is important. For this purpose a Matlab/Simulink model that enabled an energy balance analysis and a component lifetime forecast was developed. With this model the results of extensive parameter studies allowed an optimized system layout to be created for specific applications. The parameter studies covered different focal points. Several ELY and FC layouts different load characteristics different system scales different weather conditions and different load levels—especially in winter with variations in heating demand—were investigated.
Investigation of Hybrid Power-to-hydrogen/Nautral Gas and Hydrogen-to-X System in Cameroon
May 2024
Publication
In Sub-Saharan Africa (SSA) the capacity to generate energy faces significant hurdles. Despite efforts to integrate renewable energy sources and natural gas power plants into the energy portfolio the desired reduction in environmental impact and alleviation of energy poverty remain elusive. Hence exploring a spectrum of hybrid technologies encompassing storage and hydrogen-based solutions is imperative to optimize energy production while mitigating harmful emissions. To exemplify this necessity the 216 MW Kribi gas power plant in Cameroon is the case study. The primary aim is to investigate cutting-edge emissions and energy schemes within the SSA. This paper assessed the minimum complaint load technique and four power-to-fuel options from technical financial and environmental perspectives to assess the viability of a natural gas fuel system powered with hydrogen in a hybrid mode. The system generates hydrogen by using water electrolysis with photovoltaic electricity and gas power plant. This research also assesses process efficiency storage capacity annual costs carbon avoided costs and production prices for various fuels. Results showed that the LCOE from a photovoltaic solar plant is 0.19$/kWh with the Power-to-Hydrogen process (76.2% efficiency) being the most efficient followed by the ammonia and urea processes. The study gives a detailed examination of the hybrid hydrogen natural gas fuel system. According to the annual cost breakdown the primary costs are associated with the acquisition of electrical energy and electrolyser CAPEX and OPEX which account for 95% of total costs. Urea is the cheapest mass fuel. However it costs more in terms of energy. Hydrogen is the most cost-effective source of energy. In terms of energy storage and energy density by volume the methane resulted as the most suitable solution while the ammonia resulted as the best H2 storage medium in terms of kg of H2 per m3 of storage (108 kgH2/m3 ). By substituting the fuel system with 15% H2 the environmental effects are reduced by 1622 tons per year while carbon capture technology gathered 16664 tons of CO2 for methanation and urea operations yielding a total carbon averted cost of 21 $/ton.
Design of a Hydrogen Aircraft for Zero Persistent Contrails
Jul 2023
Publication
Contrails are responsible for a significant proportion of aviation’s climate impact. This paper uses data from the European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts to identify the altitudes and latitudes where formed contrails will not persist. This reveals that long-lived contrails may be prevented by flying lower in equatorial regions and higher in non-equatorial regions. Subsequently it is found that the lighter fuel and reduced seating capacity of hydrogen-powered aircraft lead to a reduced aircraft weight which increases the optimal operating altitude by about 2 km. In non-equatorial regions this would lift the aircraft’s cruise point into the region where long-lived contrails do not persist unlocking hydrogen-powered low-contrails operation. The baseline aircraft considered is an A320 retrofitted with in-fuselage hydrogen tanks. The impacts of the higher-altitude cruise on fuel burn and the benefits unlocked by optimizing the wing geometry for this altitude are estimated using a drag model based on theory proposed by Cavcar Lock and Mason and verified against existing aircraft. The weight penalty associated with optimizing wing geometry for this altitude is estimated using Torenbeek’s correlation. It is found that thinner wings with higher aspect ratios are particularly suited to this high-altitude operation and are enabled by the relaxation of the requirement to store fuel in the wings. An example aircraft design for the non-equatorial region is provided which cruises at a 14 km altitude at Mach 0.75 with a less than 1% average probability of generating long-lived contrails when operating at latitudes more than 35◦ from the equator. Compared to the A320 this concept design is estimated to have a 20% greater cruise lift–drag ratio due to the 33% thinner wings with a 50% larger aspect ratio enabling just 5% more energy use per passenger-km despite fitting 40% fewer seats.
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